Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA Sofia: Stats & xG – Sep 20, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA Sofia.

90+4'

J. Zwarts

Attempt blocked. J. Zwarts (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

90+4'

J. Zwarts

Attempt blocked. J. Zwarts (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.27.

90+3'

M. Ebong

Yellow card for M. Ebong (CSKA Sofia).

90+2'

I. Ivanov

Attempt saved. I. Ivanov (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

90'

D. Ali

Attempt missed. D. Ali (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.20.

88'

L. Ryan

Attempt missed. L. Ryan (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), header from a set piece. xG 0.11.

88'

J. Eto'o

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: L. Godoy comes on for J. Eto'o.

87'

D. Ali

Attempt blocked. D. Ali (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

85'

B. Cotter

Yellow card for B. Cotter (CSKA Sofia).

83'

Pastor

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: B. Cotter comes on for Pastor.

77'

P. Umarbaev

Substitution, Lokomotiv Plovdiv: J. Lamy comes on for P. Umarbaev.

75'

C. Longville

Substitution, Lokomotiv Plovdiv: R. Y. Leijten comes on for C. Longville.

75'

E. Ali

Substitution, Lokomotiv Plovdiv: M. Trdan comes on for E. Ali.

74'

T. Ivanov

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: L. Pereira comes on for T. Ivanov.

70'

J. Burban

Attempt saved. J. Burban (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), header from a throw-in. xG 0.05.

68'

P. Umarbaev

Yellow card for P. Umarbaev (Lokomotiv Plovdiv).

67'

Burban

Yellow card for Burban (Lokomotiv Plovdiv).

66'

Pastor

Attempt missed. Pastor (CSKA Sofia), header. xG 0.04.

58'

A. Cova

Off the woodwork! A. Cova (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

55'

I. Pittas

Attempt missed. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

50'

T. Ivanov

Attempt missed. T. Ivanov (CSKA Sofia), header from a corner. xG 0.17.

46'

Á. Martino

Attempt blocked. Á. Martino (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

D. Mrankov

Substitution, Lokomotiv Plovdiv: D. Ali comes on for D. Mrankov.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA Sofia.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

L. Ryan

Yellow card for L. Ryan (Lokomotiv Plovdiv).

40'

M. Ebong

Attempt blocked. M. Ebong (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

40'

J. Zwarts

Attempt blocked. J. Zwarts (CSKA Sofia), header from a throw-in. xG 0.26.

40'

I. Pittas

Attempt missed. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

34'

J. Zwarts

Attempt saved. J. Zwarts (CSKA Sofia), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

26'

E. Ali

Attempt missed. E. Ali (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

21'

S. Sensi

Attempt saved. S. Sensi (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

18'

I. Pittas

Goal! Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 CSKA Sofia. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia) scores, assisted by Pastor.

14'

J. Gbamin

Attempt saved. J. Gbamin (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.12.

10'

P. Umarbaev

Goal! Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 CSKA Sofia. P. Umarbaev (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) scores, assisted by Burban.

7'

S. Sensi

Attempt blocked. S. Sensi (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

5'

C. Longville

Attempt missed. C. Longville (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia.

Where the money is

101365 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 29040 EUR · live

Away 18.0 · implied 5.6%

48.1%

+42.5 vs price

Draw 1.08 · implied 92.6%

42.4%

-50.2 vs price

Home 50.0 · implied 2.0%

9.5%

+7.5 vs price

Half time 1238 EUR · live

Away 5.8 · implied 17.2%

78.4%

+61.2 vs price

Home 15.5 · implied 6.5%

16.5%

+10.0 vs price

Draw 1.3 · implied 76.9%

4.9%

-72.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 29589 EUR · live

Over 8.8 · implied 11.4%

65.0%

+53.6 vs price

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

35.0%

-61.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 10761 EUR · live

Under 1.17 · implied 85.5%

91.0%

+5.6 vs price

Over 7.4 · implied 13.5%

8.9%

-4.6 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Match events

10' ⚽ P. Umarbaev · assist Burban1–0

18' ⚽ I. Pittas · assist Pastor1–1

43' L. Ryan

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 D. Ali ◂ D. Mrankov

67' Burban

68' P. Umarbaev

74' 🔁 L. Pereira ◂ T. Ivanov

75' 🔁 M. Trdan ◂ E. Ali

75' 🔁 R. Y. Leijten ◂ C. Longville

77' 🔁 J. Lamy ◂ P. Umarbaev

83' 🔁 B. Cotter ◂ Pastor

85' B. Cotter

88' 🔁 L. Godoy ◂ J. Eto'o

Full-time · 1–1

90'⁺³ M. Ebong

Coaches

Dušan Kosič

Hristo Yanev

Recent form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

LABotev Plovdiv0-2

WHCherno More Varna1-0

LAFC CSKA 1948 Sofia0-2

LHArda Kardzhali0-1

LHFK Dunav Ruse1-2

CSKA Sofia

WALokomotiv Sofia2-0

WHArda Kardzhali4-1

DAFK Spartak Varna1-1

WHCherno More Varna3-1

LHOFI Crete0-2

About this match

**CSKA rolls into Plovdiv riding serious form** — Lokomotiv's struggling hard at home, and the visitors have won three of their last five. This is a mismatch on paper. ⚽

Lokomotiv are limping along with just one win in five, while CSKA keep turning up heat (4-1 demolition of Arda last time out). The head-to-head favors Sofia heavily over the years, and that trend looks ready to continue.

Key storylines:

- **CSKA's attack** is clicking — 4-1, 2-0 back-to-back wins show they're clinical in front of goal right now
- **Lokomotiv's home form is dire** — one win in five means they can't lean on their own crowd for much
- **Sofia's midfield balance** with **B. Jordão** and **S. Sensi** should control tempo against a shaky Plovdiv side

Expected lineups:

- **Lokomotiv Plovdiv**: B. Milosavljević, A. Chindriş, L. Ryan, T. Pavlov, A. Cova, E. Ali, I. Ivanov, S. Idriz, P. Umarbaev, J. Lamy, C. Longville
- **CSKA Sofia**: F. Lapoukhov, T. Ivanov, F. Rodríguez, Á. Martino, A. Yordanov, M. Ebong, B. Jordão, S. Sensi, I. Pittas, L. Godoy, J. Zwarts

Prediction:

**CSKA Sofia 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv**

Sofia's form and Plovdiv's vulnerability give the visitors a clear edge here. 🔴

Where to watch

Diema Sport HD

Match facts

Stadium

Lokomotiv Stadium

City

Plovdiv

Referee

Marijan Grebencharski

4.61 yellows/match · 23 matches

Kickoff

20 Sep, 14:45 UTC

Competition

Parva Liga

Highlights & clips

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2 CSKA Sofia

1 B. Milosavljević 5 T. Pavlov 44 M. Petrović 13 L. Ryan 2 A. Cova 22 I. Ivanov 6 M. Trdan ↑ 75' 7 S. Idriz 99 J. Lamy ↑ 77' 11 R. Y. Leijten 3 D. Ali ↑ 46' 21 F. Lapoukhov 37 B. Cotter 14 T. Ivanov 4 D. Almeida 17 Á. Martino 99 J. Eto'o 6 B. Jordão 7 M. Ebong 38 L. Pereira 9 L. Godoy 28 I. Pittas ⚽1

Substitutes

40GP. Zovko 4DA. Chindriş 26DD. Kirashki 12ME. Ali↓ 75' 39MP. Umarbaev↓ 77' 10MY. Iliev 17MA. Fase 29FC. Longville↓ 75' 9FA. Velev 19FJ. Burban 31FD. Mrankov

Coach: Dušan Kosič

Substitutes

25GD. Evtimov 2DPastor 5DJ. Gbamin 19DA. Yordanov 32DF. Rodríguez 8MS. Sensi 11MM. Brahimi 30MP. Panayotov 67MC. Itu 54MI. Solet 10FJ. Zwarts

Coach: Hristo Yanev

Top stats

0.62Expected goals (xG)1.27

Discipline

3Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 15%

24%

CSKA Sofia 61%

Who winsCSKA Sofia to win (DNB) 72% · 1.19 @ Betano

1X2CSKA Sofia to win 61% · 2.10 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.72 @ Novibet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 70%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 58%

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 24% · 2.25 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.30 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 53%

1X2Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win 15% · 6.50 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

6.25

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

3.90

Draw

1.51

CSKA Sofia

Double Chanceconsensus

2.38

Lokomotiv Plovdiv or Draw

1.25

Lokomotiv Plovdiv or CSKA Sofia

1.12

Draw or CSKA Sofia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.08

Yes

1.67

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

9.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.30

Over 1.50

3.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.00

Over 2.50

1.80

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.50

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.00

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

4.50

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

1.17

CSKA Sofia

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

6.50

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

2.25

Draw

2.10

CSKA Sofia

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

CSKA Sofia to win or draw

✓

85% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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