Botev Vratsa 0-1 FK Spartak Varna: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Botev Vratsa 0-1 FK Spartak Varna.

90+4'

I. Goranov

Yellow card for I. Goranov (Botev Vratsa).

90+3'

L. Boyanov

Attempt saved. L. Boyanov (Botev Vratsa), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

90+1'

F. Gigov

Attempt saved. F. Gigov (Botev Vratsa), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

89'

D. Genov

Attempt missed. D. Genov (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

87'

R. Tsonev

Attempt saved. R. Tsonev (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.08.

86'

A. Buchkov

Substitution, Botev Vratsa: L. Boyanov comes on for A. Buchkov.

84'

R. Sousa

Substitution, FK Spartak Varna: V. Oliveira comes on for R. Sousa.

81'

D. Genov

Attempt blocked. D. Genov (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

78'

R. Tsonev

Attempt saved. R. Tsonev (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

77'

R. Tsonev

Attempt blocked. R. Tsonev (Botev Vratsa), left-footed shot. xG 0.00.

76'

R. Tsonev

Attempt blocked. R. Tsonev (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

74'

D. V. Juan

Substitution, FK Spartak Varna: D. Lozev comes on for D. V. Juan.

74'

C. Okoh

Substitution, FK Spartak Varna: T. Chunchukov comes on for C. Okoh.

74'

J. Gallegos

Substitution, Botev Vratsa: S. Mechev comes on for J. Gallegos.

74'

V. Naydenov

Substitution, Botev Vratsa: D. Genov comes on for V. Naydenov.

72'

C. Okoh

Attempt saved. C. Okoh (FK Spartak Varna), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

68'

M. Petkov

Attempt saved. M. Petkov (Botev Vratsa), header. xG 0.15.

66'

M. Petkov

Yellow card for M. Petkov (Botev Vratsa).

65'

J. Gallegos

Attempt saved. J. Gallegos (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

62'

J. Lopes

Substitution, FK Spartak Varna: E. Silva comes on for J. Lopes.

61'

A. Granchov

Yellow card for A. Granchov (FK Spartak Varna).

58'

B. Hanne

Goal! Botev Vratsa 0-1 FK Spartak Varna. B. Hanne (FK Spartak Varna) scores.

57'

J. Gallegos

Attempt saved. J. Gallegos (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

55'

R. Tsonev

Attempt missed. R. Tsonev (Botev Vratsa), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.14.

50'

C. Okoh

Attempt missed. C. Okoh (FK Spartak Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

47'

M. Smolenski

Attempt blocked. M. Smolenski (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.14.

46'

A. Ivanov

Substitution, FK Spartak Varna: B. Ivanov comes on for A. Ivanov.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Botev Vratsa 0-0 FK Spartak Varna.

45+1'

I. Yurukov

Attempt blocked. I. Yurukov (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

M. Petkov

Attempt missed. M. Petkov (Botev Vratsa), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

43'

D. V. Juan

Yellow card for D. V. Juan (FK Spartak Varna).

42'

J. Lopes

Attempt saved. J. Lopes (FK Spartak Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

42'

A. Ivanov

Attempt blocked. A. Ivanov (FK Spartak Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.47.

42'

J. Lopes

Attempt blocked. J. Lopes (FK Spartak Varna), left-footed shot. xG 0.17.

42'

A. Granchov

Attempt missed. A. Granchov (FK Spartak Varna), header from a corner. xG 0.21.

40'

J. Gallegos

Attempt blocked. J. Gallegos (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

36'

V. Naydenov

Attempt saved. V. Naydenov (Botev Vratsa), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

32'

M. Petkov

Attempt missed. M. Petkov (Botev Vratsa), header. xG 0.18.

31'

D. Krastev

Attempt blocked. D. Krastev (FK Spartak Varna), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

28'

A. Ivanov

Attempt missed. A. Ivanov (FK Spartak Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

27'

R. Tsonev

Attempt blocked. R. Tsonev (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.22.

26'

S. Sanyang

Attempt saved. S. Sanyang (Botev Vratsa), left-footed shot. xG 0.13.

23'

C. Okoh

Attempt saved. C. Okoh (FK Spartak Varna), header from a corner. xG 0.16.

23'

S. Major

Attempt saved. S. Major (FK Spartak Varna), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.69.

22'

M. Petkov

Attempt missed. M. Petkov (Botev Vratsa), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

21'

M. Petkov

Attempt saved. M. Petkov (Botev Vratsa), header. xG 0.18.

19'

R. Tsonev

Attempt missed. R. Tsonev (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

14'

M. Petkov

Attempt missed. M. Petkov (Botev Vratsa), left-footed shot. xG 0.38.

8'

S. Major

Attempt saved. S. Major (FK Spartak Varna), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

7'

S. Major

Attempt blocked. S. Major (FK Spartak Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

6'

C. Okoh

Attempt missed. C. Okoh (FK Spartak Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

5'

J. Lopes

Attempt missed. J. Lopes (FK Spartak Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

4'

M. Petkov

Attempt missed. M. Petkov (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

3'

M. Stoev

Attempt missed. M. Stoev (Botev Vratsa), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.37.

1'

Kick-off: Botev Vratsa vs FK Spartak Varna.

Where the money is

53731 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 24481 EUR · live

Away 1.07 · implied 93.5%

75.9%

-17.6 vs price

Home 120.0 · implied 0.8%

16.7%

+15.9 vs price

Draw 16.0 · implied 6.2%

7.5%

+1.3 vs price

Half time 90 EUR

Draw 1.73 · implied 57.8%

79.3%

+21.4 vs price

Away 5.7 · implied 17.5%

20.4%

+2.8 vs price

Home

0.0%

Over/Under 2.5 goals 5081 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

88.1%

-10.9 vs price

Over 40.0 · implied 2.5%

12.3%

+9.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 5205 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

98.1%

-0.9 vs price

Over 23.0 · implied 4.3%

1.9%

-2.5 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Match events

43' D. V. Juan

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 B. Ivanov ◂ A. Ivanov

58' ⚽ B. Hanne0–1

61' A. Granchov

62' 🔁 E. Silva ◂ J. Lopes

66' M. Petkov

74' 🔁 D. Genov ◂ V. Naydenov

74' 🔁 S. Mechev ◂ J. Gallegos

74' 🔁 T. Chunchukov ◂ C. Okoh

74' 🔁 D. Lozev ◂ D. V. Juan

84' 🔁 V. Oliveira ◂ R. Sousa

86' 🔁 L. Boyanov ◂ A. Buchkov

Full-time · 0–1

90'⁺⁴ I. Goranov

Coaches

Todor Simov

Vasil Petrov

Recent form

Botev Vratsa

LHSlavia Sofia1-2

DAFK Dunav Ruse2-2

DHLevski Sofia0-0

WAFK Septemvri Sofia3-2

LAArda Kardzhali0-2

FK Spartak Varna

LHLokomotiv Sofia0-1

DASlavia Sofia0-0

DHCSKA Sofia1-1

DHLudogorets1-1

LALevski Sofia0-6

About this match

**Botev at home is the safer bet here** — they've got the H2H edge and a slightly steadier pulse than Varna's sluggish run. 🏟️

Vratsa are mixed but functional (1W, 2D, 2L lately), while Spartak Varna have been stuck in neutral with zero wins and three draws in their last five. That's the kind of form that gets you nowhere fast in the Parva Liga.

Key storylines:

- **Botev's home fortress** vs a Varna side that can't seem to break down defenses (0-1 loss to Lokomotiv, back-to-back stalemates)
- **M. Petkov** leading the line for Vratsa; needs service from a midfield anchored by **R. Tsonev** and **V. Naydenov**
- **B. Hanne and A. Ahmedov** tasked with breaking through a Botev defense that held Levski goalless last time out

Expected lineups:

- **Botev Vratsa**: L. Vasilev, S. Sanyang, I. Yurukov, M. Stoev, A. Buchkov, R. Tsonev, V. Naydenov, J. Gallegos, M. Smolenski, K. Hadji, M. Petkov
- **FK Spartak Varna**: P. Iliev, B. Ivanov, A. Granchov, J. Tshitoku, D. V. Juan, T. Marinov, S. Major, T. Chunchukov, A. Ivanov, B. Hanne, A. Ahmedov

Prediction:

**Botev Vratsa 1–0 FK Spartak Varna**

Vratsa's home edge and Varna's toothless form give the locals a slight lean. 🎯

Where to watch

Diema Sport HD

Match facts

Stadium

Hristo Botev Stadium

City

Vratsa

Referee

Georgi Stoyanov

3.85 yellows/match · 13 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 12:00 UTC

Competition

Parva Liga

Highlights & clips

Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 FK Spartak Varna

94 M. Orlinov 88 L. Boyanov ↑ 86' 36 M. Stoev 4 I. Goranov 3 S. Sanyang 12 I. Yurukov 24 M. Smolenski 9 D. Genov ↑ 74' 7 R. Tsonev 17 S. Mechev ↑ 74' 79 M. Petkov 23 P. Iliev 20 D. Lozev ↑ 74' 44 A. Granchov 29 Z. Tindano 5 D. Krastev 19 S. Major 72 V. Oliveira ↑ 84' 11 B. Hanne ⚽1 16 E. Silva ↑ 62' 4 B. Ivanov ↑ 46' 9 T. Chunchukov ↑ 74'

Substitutes

98GL. Vasilev 25DA. Buchkov↓ 86' 11DM. Achkov 21DM. Dimitrov 97MV. Naydenov↓ 74' 10MJ. Gallegos↓ 74' 6MA. Kichukov 8MA. Stoyanov 90FF. Gigov

Coach: Todor Simov

Substitutes

1GP. Victor 76DD. V. Juan↓ 74' 45DJ. Tshitoku 77MA. Ivanov↓ 46' 10MJ. Lopes↓ 62' 6MR. Sousa↓ 84' 14MD. Pavlov. 7MBuá 90FC. Okoh↓ 74'

Coach: Vasil Petrov

Top stats

2.56Expected goals (xG)2.51

Discipline

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Botev Vratsa 50%

28%

Spartak Varna 22%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.12 @ William Hill

Who winsBotev Vratsa to win (DNB) 66% · 1.34 @ Betsson

1X2Botev Vratsa to win 50% · 2.30 @ Bet365

BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.22 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.24 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 28% · 2.34 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.40 @ William Hill

1X2Spartak Varna to win 22% · 4.70 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.80

Botev Vratsa

3.26

Draw

4.20

FK Spartak Varna

Double Chanceconsensus

1.19

Botev Vratsa or Draw

1.27

Botev Vratsa or FK Spartak Varna

1.89

Draw or FK Spartak Varna

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.98

Yes

1.73

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

8.25

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.39

Over 1.50

2.88

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.15

Over 2.50

1.65

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.03

Over 3.50

1.22

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.75

Over 4.50

1.05

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.32

Botev Vratsa

3.10

FK Spartak Varna

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.18

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.54

Over 8.50

2.31

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.92

Over 9.50

1.81

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.45

Over 10.50

1.48

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.31

Over 11.50

1.25

Under 11.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.41

Botev Vratsa

2.05

Draw

5.00

FK Spartak Varna

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

2.20

Botev Vratsa

2.30

Draw

4.60

FK Spartak Varna

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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