Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Levski are rolling, but Varna's at home and hungry** — this is the classic David-vs-Goliath setup where the underdog gets the crowd behind them. 🏟️
Levski are 3-1-1 in their last five and look genuinely sharp, while Cherno More have limped through recent weeks (that 0-5 hammering from Ludogorets still stings). But here's the thing: **Varna's 11-11 H2H record** against Levski suggests they're not a pushover on their turf, and the Sofia side's win over CSKA 1948 came with clean sheets that could be tested.
Key storylines:
- **Levski's midfield engine** — **Serginho** and **G. Trdin** have been tidy in possession, and they'll need to control tempo against a desperate home side
- **Cherno More's creative spark** — **C. Sidney** and **V. Panayotov** have to stay dangerous in midfield if Varna want any shot at breaking through
- **Levski's recent shutouts** — three clean sheets in the last four, but **K. Tomov** in Varna's goal has been solid too
Expected lineups:
- **Cherno More Varna**: K. Tomov, V. Kerchev, L. Squadrone, Z. Atanasov, A. Donchev, D. Teles, V. Panayotov, C. Sidney, M. Achi, M. Barandas, G. Lazarov
- **Levski Sofia**: S. Vutsov, Á. Centelles, K. Dimitrov, N. Serafimov, Aldair, Serginho, G. Trdin, Reinaldo, M. Soula, Perea, E. Bala
Prediction:
**Levski 2-0 Varna**. Sofia have the form edge and defensive discipline to grind out a win on the road. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.