Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia: Stats & xG – Oct 27, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia.

90+5'

Reinaldo

Attempt saved. Reinaldo (Levski Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

90+5'

E. M. Moubarik

Attempt blocked. E. M. Moubarik (Levski Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

90+4'

M. Sangaré

Attempt saved. M. Sangaré (Levski Sofia), header. xG 0.06.

90+2'

L. Kotev

Yellow card for L. Kotev (Arda Kardzhali).

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

S. Kovachev

Yellow card for S. Kovachev (Arda Kardzhali).

88'

Reinaldo

Attempt blocked. Reinaldo (Levski Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

84'

Perea

Attempt missed. Perea (Levski Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

83'

Á. Centelles

Substitution, Levski Sofia: Perea comes on for Á. Centelles.

77'

Derick

Substitution, Arda Kardzhali: V. Lyubenov comes on for Derick.

77'

S. Ivanov

Substitution, Arda Kardzhali: A. Vutov comes on for S. Ivanov.

77'

M. Soula

Substitution, Levski Sofia: M. Sangaré comes on for M. Soula.

72'

B. Karagaren

Substitution, Arda Kardzhali: A. Kabov comes on for B. Karagaren.

72'

D. Velkovski

Substitution, Arda Kardzhali: D. Yankov comes on for D. Velkovski.

71'

N. Serafimov

Yellow card for N. Serafimov (Levski Sofia).

69'

A. Oko-Flex

Substitution, Levski Sofia: Maicon comes on for A. Oko-Flex.

69'

M. Grujić

Substitution, Levski Sofia: E. Bala comes on for M. Grujić.

69'

Aldair

Substitution, Levski Sofia: O. Kamdem comes on for Aldair.

68'

M. Soula

Attempt missed. M. Soula (Levski Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

67'

P. Bachev

Substitution, Arda Kardzhali: N. Makni comes on for P. Bachev.

64'

A. Oko-Flex

Attempt missed. A. Oko-Flex (Levski Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

62'

Á. Centelles

Goal! Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Levski Sofia. Á. Centelles (Levski Sofia) scores.

59'

D. Velkovski

Yellow card for D. Velkovski (Arda Kardzhali).

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Levski Sofia.

45'

1 minute of added time.

23'

P. Bachev

Goal! Arda Kardzhali 1-0 Levski Sofia. P. Bachev (Arda Kardzhali) scores, assisted by D. Velkovski.

20'

S. Kovachev

Attempt missed. S. Kovachev (Arda Kardzhali), left-footed shot. xG 0.17.

19'

A. Oko-Flex

Attempt saved. A. Oko-Flex (Levski Sofia), header. xG 0.09.

9'

Reinaldo

Attempt saved. Reinaldo (Levski Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

2'

B. Karagaren

Off the woodwork! B. Karagaren (Arda Kardzhali), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

2'

B. Karagaren

Attempt missed. B. Karagaren (Arda Kardzhali), header. xG 0.17.

1'

Kick-off: Arda Kardzhali vs Levski Sofia.

Where the money is

160901 EUR matched · captured 3 days, 3 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 95302 EUR · live

Home 100.0 · implied 1.0%

36.0%

+35.0 vs price

Draw 1.07 · implied 93.5%

34.6%

-58.8 vs price

Away 18.0 · implied 5.6%

29.8%

+24.2 vs price

Half time 591 EUR

Away 2.5 · implied 40.0%

81.1%

+41.0 vs price

Home 7.2 · implied 13.9%

11.1%

-2.8 vs price

Draw 2.1 · implied 47.6%

7.9%

-39.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 40894 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

75.9%

-20.3 vs price

Over 12.5 · implied 8.0%

24.2%

+16.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 24 EUR

Over 12.5 · implied 8.0%

100.0%

+92.0 vs price

Under 1.07 · implied 93.5%

59.5%

-34.0 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Match events

23' ⚽ P. Bachev · assist D. Velkovski1–0

Half-time · 1–0

59' D. Velkovski

62' ⚽ Á. Centelles1–1

67' 🔁 N. Makni ◂ P. Bachev

69' 🔁 O. Kamdem ◂ Aldair

69' 🔁 E. Bala ◂ M. Grujić

69' 🔁 Maicon ◂ A. Oko-Flex

71' N. Serafimov

72' 🔁 D. Yankov ◂ D. Velkovski

72' 🔁 A. Kabov ◂ B. Karagaren

77' 🔁 M. Sangaré ◂ M. Soula

77' 🔁 A. Vutov ◂ S. Ivanov

77' 🔁 V. Lyubenov ◂ Derick

83' 🔁 Perea ◂ Á. Centelles

Full-time · 1–1

90' S. Kovachev

90'⁺² L. Kotev

Coaches

Alexander Tunchev

Julio Velazquez

Recent form

Arda Kardzhali

LALudogorets0-5

LALokomotiv Plovdiv0-2

DHCherno More Varna1-1

LACSKA Sofia1-4

LHBotev Plovdiv2-3

Levski Sofia

WAFC Viktoria Plzeň2-1

DANEC Nijmegen1-1

WACherno More Varna2-0

LHRed Bull Salzburg0-1

DABotev Vratsa0-0

About this match

**Arda are in freefall, Levski are rolling.** This is a **total mismatch on form** — one side's won twice in five, the other's lost four of five. 🔴

Levski's sitting pretty after beating Cherno More and holding their own in Europe. Arda, meanwhile, just got demolished 5-0 at Ludogorets and can't buy a W. The head-to-head favors Levski heavily (10 wins to 2), so this feels like a coronation waiting to happen.

Key storylines:

- **Levski's attacking depth** (Reinaldo, Perea, E. Bala) should feast on an Arda backline that's leaking goals
- **Arda need P. Bachev** to salvage something up top, but scoring has dried up completely
- **Serginho and Aldair** anchor Levski's midfield against Arda's desperate scramble for possession

Expected lineups:

- **Arda Kardzhali**: A. Gospodinov, D. Velkovski, V. Lyubenov, M. Paskalev, V. Velev, S. Kovachev, L. Kotev, G. Nikolov, D. Yankov, S. Ivanov, P. Bachev
- **Levski Sofia**: S. Vutsov, Maicon, C. Makoun, K. Dimitrov, Aldair, Serginho, E. M. Moubarik, Reinaldo, M. Soula, Perea, E. Bala

Prediction:

**Levski 3–0 Arda.** Clean sheet, easy points — Levski's the heavy favorite here. 💪

Where to watch

Diema Sport HD

Match facts

Stadium

Arena Arda

City

Kardzhali

Referee

Gero Piskov

5.27 yellows/match · 15 matches

Kickoff

27 Oct, 17:30 UTC

Competition

Parva Liga

Highlights & clips

Arda Kardzhali 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2 Levski Sofia

1 A. Gospodinov 6 V. Popov 5 V. Lyubenov ↑ 77' 24 M. Paskalev 8 D. Yankov ↑ 72' 80 L. Kotev 21 V. Velev 10 S. Kovachev 11 A. Kabov ↑ 72' 39 A. Vutov ↑ 77' 70 N. Makni ↑ 67' 1 O. Vladimirov 71 O. Kamdem 50 K. Dimitrov 31 N. Serafimov 9 Perea ↑ 83' 12 M. Sangaré ↑ 77' 3 Maicon ↑ 69' 19 E. M. Moubarik 17 E. Bala ↑ 69' 35 Serginho 7 Reinaldo

Substitutes

22GY. Georgiev 35DD. Velkovski↓ 72' 2DDerick↓ 77' 44DA. A. Traoré 18DS. Vasilev 99MB. Karagaren↓ 72' 91MS. Ivanov↓ 77' 4MI. D. Akintola 26MB. Akandzha 16FP. Bachev↓ 67'

Coach: Alexander Tunchev

Substitutes

92GS. Vutsov 20DÁ. Centelles↓ 83' 21DAldair 4DC. Makoun 55DP. Hristov 8MM. Grujić↓ 69' 11MA. Oko-Flex↓ 69' 22MM. Soula↓ 77' 77MA. Raychev 47MA. Bouras 28FS. Stoyanchov

Coach: Julio Velazquez

Top stats

1.1Expected goals (xG)0.72

Discipline

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Arda 19%

27%

Levski Sofia 55%

Who winsLevski Sofia to win (DNB) 70% · 1.22 @ 888Sport

1X2Levski Sofia to win 55% · 2.10 @ William Hill

BTTSBTTS: No 57% · 1.17 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 75% · 1.27 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 8.5 corners 52% · 1.88 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 63% · 1.52 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.10 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.20 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 27% · 2.30 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.62 @ William Hill

1X2Arda to win 19% · 6.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

5.45

Arda Kardzhali

3.40

Draw

1.62

Levski Sofia

Double Chanceconsensus

2.09

Arda Kardzhali or Draw

1.27

Arda Kardzhali or Levski Sofia

1.11

Draw or Levski Sofia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.35

Yes

1.53

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

7.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.44

Over 1.50

2.54

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.40

Over 2.50

1.51

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

4.80

Over 3.50

1.14

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

9.50

Over 4.50

1.02

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.98

Arda Kardzhali

1.21

Levski Sofia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.50

Over 7.50

2.42

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.85

Over 8.50

1.88

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.37

Over 9.50

1.52

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.18

Over 10.50

1.27

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.66

Over 11.50

1.11

Under 11.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

6.50

Arda Kardzhali

2.00

Draw

2.26

Levski Sofia

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

5.65

Arda Kardzhali

2.27

Draw

2.07

Levski Sofia

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Levski Sofia to win or draw

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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