CSKA Sofia 2-0 Ludogorets: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. CSKA Sofia 2-0 Ludogorets.

90+1'

I. Chochev

Attempt missed. I. Chochev (Ludogorets), header from a throw-in. xG 0.14.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

88'

L. Godoy

Goal! CSKA Sofia 2-0 Ludogorets. L. Godoy (CSKA Sofia) scores.

87'

I. Solet

Attempt saved. I. Solet (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

86'

P. Stanić

Yellow card for P. Stanić (Ludogorets).

86'

S. Sensi

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: I. Solet comes on for S. Sensi.

84'

K. Duah

Attempt saved. K. Duah (Ludogorets), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

82'

P. Panayotov

Yellow card for P. Panayotov (CSKA Sofia).

81'

M. Brahimi

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: P. Panayotov comes on for M. Brahimi.

81'

T. Ivanov

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: D. Almeida comes on for T. Ivanov.

79'

J. Andersson

Substitution, Ludogorets: I. Chochev comes on for J. Andersson.

79'

Rwan Cruz

Substitution, Ludogorets: ? comes on for Rwan Cruz.

78'

I. Zhelyzko

Attempt missed. I. Zhelyzko (Ludogorets), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

75'

J. Gbamin

Attempt missed. J. Gbamin (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

73'

J. Andersson

Attempt blocked. J. Andersson (Ludogorets), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

71'

Erick Marcus

Attempt missed. Erick Marcus (Ludogorets), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

69'

Pastor

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: B. Cotter comes on for Pastor.

69'

I. Pittas

Substitution, CSKA Sofia: J. Gbamin comes on for I. Pittas.

65'

T. Ivanov

Yellow card for T. Ivanov (CSKA Sofia).

64'

A. Camara

Substitution, Ludogorets: P. Stanić comes on for A. Camara.

64'

B. Tekpetey

Substitution, Ludogorets: Erick Marcus comes on for B. Tekpetey.

63'

Á. Martino

Yellow card for Á. Martino (CSKA Sofia).

62'

I. Pittas

Attempt saved. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.10.

60'

Caio Vidal

Yellow card for Caio Vidal (Ludogorets).

56'

I. Zhelyzko

Attempt saved. I. Zhelyzko (Ludogorets), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

52'

B. Jordão

Yellow card for B. Jordão (CSKA Sofia).

51'

Rwan Cruz

Attempt missed. Rwan Cruz (Ludogorets), header from a corner. xG 0.09.

47'

F. Rodríguez

Attempt missed. F. Rodríguez (CSKA Sofia), header from a set piece. xG 0.14.

46'

S. Shishkov

Substitution, Ludogorets: A. Nedyalkov comes on for S. Shishkov.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. CSKA Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets.

45+1'

A. Camara

Attempt missed. A. Camara (Ludogorets), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

M. Brahimi

Attempt saved. M. Brahimi (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

40'

S. Sensi

Attempt saved. S. Sensi (CSKA Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

40'

I. Pittas

Attempt missed. I. Pittas (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.46.

39'

Caio Vidal

Attempt missed. Caio Vidal (Ludogorets), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

37'

Rwan Cruz

Attempt blocked. Rwan Cruz (Ludogorets), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

35'

Rwan Cruz

Attempt missed. Rwan Cruz (Ludogorets), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

26'

Á. Martino

Goal! CSKA Sofia 1-0 Ludogorets. Á. Martino (CSKA Sofia) scores.

24'

B. Tekpetey

Attempt blocked. B. Tekpetey (Ludogorets), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

22'

Á. Martino

Attempt blocked. Á. Martino (CSKA Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

18'

I. Zhelyzko

Attempt missed. I. Zhelyzko (Ludogorets), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

16'

L. Godoy

Attempt saved. L. Godoy (CSKA Sofia), header from a corner. xG 0.20.

12'

D. Duarte

Attempt missed. D. Duarte (Ludogorets), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

11'

S. Shishkov

Attempt blocked. S. Shishkov (Ludogorets), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

4'

Rwan Cruz

Yellow card for Rwan Cruz (Ludogorets).

1'

Kick-off: CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets.

Where the money is

119870 EUR matched · captured 4 days, 3 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 31931 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

81.8%

-17.2 vs price

Draw 130.0 · implied 0.8%

9.7%

+8.9 vs price

Away 990.0 · implied 0.1%

8.7%

+8.6 vs price

Half time 11 EUR

Home 2.94 · implied 34.0%

100.0%

+66.0 vs price

Draw 2.38 · implied 42.0%

85.6%

+43.5 vs price

Away 4.0 · implied 25.0%

2.6%

-22.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 36282 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

80.1%

-16.1 vs price

Over 22.0 · implied 4.5%

20.1%

+15.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 73 EUR

Over 7.6 · implied 13.2%

59.9%

+46.7 vs price

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

40.1%

-47.6 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 3 clips

Match events

4' Rwan Cruz

26' ⚽ Á. Martino1–0

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 A. Nedyalkov ◂ S. Shishkov

52' B. Jordão

60' Caio Vidal

63' Á. Martino

64' 🔁 Erick Marcus ◂ B. Tekpetey

64' 🔁 P. Stanić ◂ A. Camara

65' T. Ivanov

69' 🔁 J. Gbamin ◂ I. Pittas

69' 🔁 B. Cotter ◂ Pastor

79' 🔁 ◂ Rwan Cruz

79' 🔁 I. Chochev ◂ J. Andersson

81' 🔁 D. Almeida ◂ T. Ivanov

81' 🔁 P. Panayotov ◂ M. Brahimi

82' P. Panayotov

86' 🔁 I. Solet ◂ S. Sensi

86' P. Stanić

88' ⚽ L. Godoy2–0

Full-time · 2–0

Coaches

Markus Gisdol

Igor Jovićević

Recent form

CSKA Sofia

DAFC Nordsjælland2-2

LHAS Monaco1-2

WAFC CSKA 1948 Sofia3-2

DALokomotiv Plovdiv1-1

WALokomotiv Sofia2-0

Ludogorets

WHArda Kardzhali5-0

WHCherno More Varna5-0

WHFK Septemvri Sofia2-1

WALokomotiv Sofia2-1

DAFK Spartak Varna1-1

About this match

**Ludogorets rolls into Sofia red-hot** — the visitors are basically unstoppable right now, and CSKA's midweek wobble against Monaco won't help their cause. 🔥

CSKA bounced back with a win over CSKA 1948 but have drawn too much (2D in five), while **Ludogorets just demolished Arda and Cherno More back-to-back** with 5-0 hammerings. The head-to-head leans Ludogorets' way (24 wins v 4), and form says this should be one-sided.

Key storylines:

- **Ludogorets' firepower** has been genuinely scary — consecutive 5-0 wins show they're sharper than ever
- **CSKA's inconsistency** is the real problem; draws and losses pile up when they need streaks
- **Rwan Cruz vs T. Ivanov** — the visitors' star forward up against CSKA's backline will be the tactical flashpoint

Expected lineups:

- **CSKA Sofia**: F. Lapoukhov, Á. Martino, F. Rodríguez, T. Ivanov, Pastor, M. Ebong, B. Jordão, S. Sensi, L. Pereira, J. Zwarts, I. Pittas
- **Ludogorets**: H. Bonmann, A. Nedyalkov, S. Shishkov, E. Kurtulus, Son, A. Camara, B. Tekpetey, I. Chochev, D. Duarte, J. Andersson, Rwan Cruz

Prediction:

**Ludogorets 2–0 CSKA Sofia** — the visitors' form is too hot to ignore, and CSKA's defensive wobbles make them vulnerable. Slight lean to the away side.

Where to watch

Diema Sport HD

Match facts

Stadium

Balgarska Armiya Stadium

City

Sofia

Referee

Marijan Grebencharski

4.61 yellows/match · 23 matches

Kickoff

26 Oct, 17:30 UTC

Competition

Parva Liga

Highlights & clips

CSKA Sofia 4-3-3 · 4-1-4-1 Ludogorets

21 F. Lapoukhov 17 Á. Martino ⚽1 32 F. Rodríguez 4 D. Almeida ↑ 81' 5 J. Gbamin ↑ 69' 7 M. Ebong 6 B. Jordão 8 S. Sensi 37 B. Cotter ↑ 69' 9 L. Godoy ⚽1 30 P. Panayotov ↑ 81' 39 H. Bonmann 18 I. Chochev ↑ 79' 15 E. Kurtulus 4 H. Abdelmaguid 3 A. Nedyalkov ↑ 46' 6 I. Zhelyzko 11 Caio Vidal 14 P. Stanić ↑ 64' 23 D. Duarte 77 Erick Marcus ↑ 64' 12 Rwan Cruz

Substitutes

25GD. Evtimov 2DPastor↓ 69' 14DT. Ivanov↓ 81' 3DT. Ouorou 19DA. Yordanov 91DA. Tunchev 11MM. Brahimi↓ 81' 99MJ. Eto'o 67MC. Itu 28FI. Pittas↓ 69'

Coach: Markus Gisdol

Substitutes

13GI. Grbić 42DS. Shishkov↓ 46' 2DJ. Andersson↓ 79' 5DG. Terziev 22DM. Polendakov 20MA. Camara↓ 64' 37MB. Tekpetey↓ 64' 8MA. Hadžiahmetović 26MF. Kaloč 9FK. Duah 10FN. Fernandes

Coach: Igor Jovićević

Top stats

1.76Expected goals (xG)0.68

Discipline

4Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 14 bookmakers

CSKA Sofia 42%

28%

Ludogorets 31%

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.80 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.65 @ Betsson

1X2Draw 28% · 2.20 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55%

1X2Ludogorets to win 31% · 3.60 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.30 @ Bet365

1X2CSKA Sofia to win 42% · 3.00 @ Bet365

Who winsCSKA Sofia to win (DNB) 54% · 1.57 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.20

CSKA Sofia

3.30

Draw

3.00

Ludogorets

Double Chanceconsensus

1.36

CSKA Sofia or Draw

1.33

CSKA Sofia or Ludogorets

1.61

Draw or Ludogorets

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.64

Yes

2.15

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.06

Over 0.50

10.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.30

Over 1.50

3.40

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.00

Over 2.50

1.80

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.50

Over 3.50

1.29

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

7.00

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.51

CSKA Sofia

2.35

Ludogorets

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.00

CSKA Sofia

2.20

Draw

3.60

Ludogorets

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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