Cherno More Varna 2-0 FK Septemvri Sofia: Stats

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Cherno More Varna 2-0 FK Septemvri Sofia.

90+6'

A. Liberal

Red card! A. Liberal (FK Septemvri Sofia) is sent off.

90+5'

I. Bounaas

Second yellow card for I. Bounaas (Cherno More Varna), who is sent off.

90+4'

P. Ferreira

Yellow card for P. Ferreira (FK Septemvri Sofia).

90'

6 minutes of added time.

90'

V. Panayotov

Substitution, Cherno More Varna: G. Ventsislavov comes on for V. Panayotov.

87'

F. Herard

Attempt missed. F. Herard (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

86'

E. Ribeiro

Off the woodwork! E. Ribeiro (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

85'

D. Teles

Substitution, Cherno More Varna: B. Beyhan comes on for D. Teles.

83'

E. Ribeiro

Attempt missed. E. Ribeiro (FK Septemvri Sofia), header from a set piece. xG 0.14.

82'

V. Kerchev

Yellow card for V. Kerchev (Cherno More Varna).

81'

N. Fontaine

Off the woodwork! N. Fontaine (FK Septemvri Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

79'

G. Lazarov

Attempt missed. G. Lazarov (Cherno More Varna), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.13.

79'

K. Onashchi

Substitution, FK Septemvri Sofia: P. Gospodinov comes on for K. Onashchi.

77'

I. Bounaas

Attempt saved. I. Bounaas (Cherno More Varna), left-footed shot. xG 0.43.

76'

G. Lazarov

Attempt blocked. G. Lazarov (Cherno More Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

75'

C. Sidney

Substitution, Cherno More Varna: M. Achi comes on for C. Sidney.

75'

M. Barandas

Substitution, Cherno More Varna: A. Donchev comes on for M. Barandas.

73'

E. Tombak

Yellow card for E. Tombak (Cherno More Varna).

68'

E. Ribeiro

Attempt missed. E. Ribeiro (FK Septemvri Sofia), header. xG 0.09.

67'

N. Iliev

Substitution, FK Septemvri Sofia: E. Ribeiro comes on for N. Iliev.

61'

N. Fontaine

Attempt missed. N. Fontaine (FK Septemvri Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

57'

V. Ivanov

Yellow card for V. Ivanov (FK Septemvri Sofia).

54'

V. Panayotov

Attempt missed. V. Panayotov (Cherno More Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

50'

C. Sidney

Attempt blocked. C. Sidney (Cherno More Varna), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.00.

46'

B. Penchev

Substitution, FK Septemvri Sofia: P. Gomes comes on for B. Penchev.

46'

V. Ozornwafor

Substitution, FK Septemvri Sofia: S. Vulikić comes on for V. Ozornwafor.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Cherno More Varna 2-0 FK Septemvri Sofia.

45+1'

M. Hristov

Yellow card for M. Hristov (FK Septemvri Sofia).

45'

1 minute of added time.

39'

G. Ivanov

Attempt blocked. G. Ivanov (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

38'

C. Sidney

Attempt missed. C. Sidney (Cherno More Varna), header from a set piece. xG 0.16.

37'

P. Igor

Substitution, FK Septemvri Sofia: N. Fontaine comes on for P. Igor.

35'

Z. Atanasov

Yellow card for Z. Atanasov (Cherno More Varna).

29'

I. Bounaas

Yellow card for I. Bounaas (Cherno More Varna).

26'

V. Panayotov

Goal! Cherno More Varna 2-0 FK Septemvri Sofia. V. Panayotov (Cherno More Varna) scores.

24'

N. Iliev

Attempt missed. N. Iliev (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

23'

P. Ferreira

Off the woodwork! P. Ferreira (FK Septemvri Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

22'

M. Barandas

Attempt missed. M. Barandas (Cherno More Varna), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

20'

D. Teles

Attempt missed. D. Teles (Cherno More Varna), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.22.

17'

G. Lazarov

Attempt missed. G. Lazarov (Cherno More Varna), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

15'

G. Lazarov

Goal! Cherno More Varna 1-0 FK Septemvri Sofia. G. Lazarov (Cherno More Varna) scores.

1'

Kick-off: Cherno More Varna vs FK Septemvri Sofia.

Where the money is

82310 EUR matched · captured 3 days, 5 hours ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 38104 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

89.7%

-9.4 vs price

Draw 190.0 · implied 0.5%

5.6%

+5.1 vs price

Away 400.0 · implied 0.2%

4.8%

+4.5 vs price

Half time 128 EUR

Away 6.0 · implied 16.7%

65.3%

+48.6 vs price

Home 2.44 · implied 41.0%

25.3%

-15.7 vs price

Draw 2.3 · implied 43.5%

11.9%

-31.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 26904 EUR · live

Under 1.04 · implied 96.2%

65.8%

-30.3 vs price

Over 17.5 · implied 5.7%

34.3%

+28.5 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 5 clips

Match events

15' ⚽ G. Lazarov1–0

26' ⚽ V. Panayotov2–0

29' I. Bounaas

35' Z. Atanasov

37' 🔁 N. Fontaine ◂ P. Igor

Half-time · 2–0

45'⁺¹ M. Hristov

46' 🔁 S. Vulikić ◂ V. Ozornwafor

46' 🔁 P. Gomes ◂ B. Penchev

57' V. Ivanov

67' 🔁 E. Ribeiro ◂ N. Iliev

73' E. Tombak

75' 🔁 A. Donchev ◂ M. Barandas

75' 🔁 M. Achi ◂ C. Sidney

79' 🔁 P. Gospodinov ◂ K. Onashchi

82' V. Kerchev

85' 🔁 B. Beyhan ◂ D. Teles

Full-time · 2–0

90' 🔁 G. Ventsislavov ◂ V. Panayotov

90'⁺⁴ P. Ferreira

90'⁺⁵ I. Bounaas

90'⁺⁶ A. Liberal

Coaches

Ilian Iliev

Saulo Freitas

Recent form

Cherno More Varna

LHLevski Sofia0-2

LALudogorets0-5

WHFK Dunav Ruse1-0

DAArda Kardzhali1-1

DHLokomotiv Sofia2-2

FK Septemvri Sofia

LHFK Dunav Ruse2-3

LHBotev Plovdiv0-3

LALudogorets1-2

LHBotev Vratsa2-3

DASlavia Sofia1-1

About this match

**Cherno More Varna's home comfort should see them past a Septemvri side in total freefall.** This is a classic mismatch on paper — and the H2H backs it up. 🏟️

Varna are inconsistent but solid at home, while Septemvri are winless in their last five and bleeding goals. The visitors haven't won since early in the campaign, and they're coming off back-to-back hammerings.

Key storylines:

- **Cherno More's home fortress** — 1W and 1D in recent outings at Ticha, vs Septemvri's zero wins in five
- **Septemvri's attack struggles** — they've conceded 8 in their last three matches with **S. Vulikić** sidelined
- **Historic edge** — Varna lead the H2H 6-4 and should exploit that in a low-block setup

Expected lineups:

- **Cherno More Varna**: K. Tomov, V. Kerchev, L. Squadrone, Z. Atanasov, A. Donchev, D. Teles, V. Panayotov, G. Lazarov, M. Achi, M. Barandas, C. Sidney
- **FK Septemvri Sofia**: V. Ivanov, B. Penchev, M. Hristov, K. Onashchi, V. Ozornwafor, Y. Baurenski, P. Ferreira, P. Igor, G. Ivanov, F. Herard, A. Liberal

Prediction:

**Cherno More Varna 2-0 FK Septemvri Sofia**

Varna have the slight edge in form, home advantage, and the head-to-head record. Expect a controlled win. ⚽

Where to watch

Diema Sport HD

Match facts

Stadium

Ticha Stadium

City

Varna

Referee

Georgi Stoyanov

3.85 yellows/match · 13 matches

Kickoff

27 Oct, 15:00 UTC

Competition

Parva Liga

Highlights & clips

Cherno More Varna 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1 FK Septemvri Sofia

81 K. Tomov 50 E. Tombak 3 Z. Atanasov 5 L. Squadrone 37 V. Kerchev 93 G. Ventsislavov ↑ 90' 29 B. Beyhan ↑ 85' 8 A. Donchev ↑ 75' 99 I. Bounaas 11 M. Achi ↑ 75' 19 G. Lazarov ⚽1 12 V. Ivanov 3 P. Gospodinov ↑ 79' 4 M. Hristov 25 S. Vulikić ↑ 46' 23 P. Gomes ↑ 46' 6 P. Ferreira 17 N. Fontaine ↑ 37' 7 E. Ribeiro ↑ 67' 33 G. Ivanov 29 F. Herard 27 A. Liberal

Substitutes

70GA. Manasiev 44DN. Lumbu 13DE. Nyagolov 24MD. Teles↓ 85' 71MV. Panayotov↓ 90' 23MM. Banev 34MK. Mihaylov 22MN. P. Kostadinov 7FM. Barandas↓ 75' 10FC. Sidney↓ 75' 9FJ. Padilla

Coach: Ilian Iliev

Substitutes

1GA. Radkov 26DV. Ozornwafor↓ 46' 13DK. Onashchi↓ 79' 20DB. Tomovski 19MP. Igor↓ 37' 8MB. Penchev↓ 46' 10MN. Iliev↓ 67' 28MS. Stoichkov 24MZ. Atanasov

Coach: Saulo Freitas

Top stats

1.59Expected goals (xG)0.87

Discipline

5Yellow cards4

1Red cards1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Cherno More 55%

26%

Septemvri 19%

Who winsCherno More to win (DNB) 72% · 1.31 @ Betano

1X2Cherno More to win 55% · 2.10 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 73% · 1.30 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 56% · 1.12 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.56 @ 1xBet

BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.22 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.25 @ betfair

1X2Draw 26% · 2.42 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 2.30 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.81 @ Pinnacle

1X2Septemvri to win 19% · 5.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.65

Cherno More Varna

3.52

Draw

4.75

FK Septemvri Sofia

Double Chanceconsensus

1.15

Cherno More Varna or Draw

1.23

Cherno More Varna or FK Septemvri Sofia

2.10

Draw or FK Septemvri Sofia

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

2.05

Yes

1.70

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.05

Over 0.50

8.90

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.33

Over 1.50

3.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

2.10

Over 2.50

1.66

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.90

Over 3.50

1.22

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

8.25

Over 4.50

1.06

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.25

Cherno More Varna

3.50

FK Septemvri Sofia

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.44

Over 7.50

2.56

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.79

Over 8.50

1.94

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.28

Over 9.50

1.56

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

3.02

Over 10.50

1.30

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

4.37

Over 11.50

1.13

Under 11.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.25

Cherno More Varna

2.15

Draw

5.50

FK Septemvri Sofia

1X2 (2nd Half)consensus

2.06

Cherno More Varna

2.40

Draw

5.00

FK Septemvri Sofia

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Cherno More Varna to win or draw

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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