FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-0 Botev Plovdiv: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-0 Botev Plovdiv.

90+2'

H. Cuellar

Attempt missed. H. Cuellar (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

90'

2 minutes of added time.

89'

C. Meotti

Attempt blocked. C. Meotti (Botev Plovdiv), left-footed shot. xG 0.00.

88'

G. Rusev

Substitution, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia: B. Sobrero comes on for G. Rusev.

87'

G. Milanov

Attempt saved. G. Milanov (Botev Plovdiv), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

87'

S. Kalu

Attempt blocked. S. Kalu (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

84'

M. Zemzemi

Goal! FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-0 Botev Plovdiv. M. Zemzemi (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia) scores.

83'

C. Meotti

Attempt saved. C. Meotti (Botev Plovdiv), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

82'

V. Mendes

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: B. Kostov comes on for V. Mendes.

79'

F. Mascote

Attempt saved. F. Mascote (Botev Plovdiv), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

78'

D. Tarasenko

Substitution, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia: D. Grivić comes on for D. Tarasenko.

78'

E. Franco

Substitution, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia: F. Maciel comes on for E. Franco.

77'

S. Kalu

Yellow card for S. Kalu (Botev Plovdiv).

72'

M. Rodrigues

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: G. Milanov comes on for M. Rodrigues.

71'

B. Benamar

Attempt saved. B. Benamar (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), header from a set piece. xG 0.19.

71'

J. Meyer

Attempt saved. J. Meyer (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.09.

69'

A. Hoffmann

Substitution, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia: B. Benamar comes on for A. Hoffmann.

67'

G. Rusev

Off the woodwork! G. Rusev (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

66'

G. Rusev

Attempt missed. G. Rusev (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

62'

D. Tarasenko

Yellow card for D. Tarasenko (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia).

61'

C. Meotti

Attempt missed. C. Meotti (Botev Plovdiv), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.09.

59'

A. Salido

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: F. Mascote comes on for A. Salido.

59'

A. Chandarov

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: S. Shopov comes on for A. Chandarov.

58'

S. Kalu

Attempt missed. S. Kalu (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

56'

D. Tarasenko

Attempt blocked. D. Tarasenko (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.

54'

G. Rusev

Attempt saved. G. Rusev (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.00.

51'

A. Salido

Attempt saved. A. Salido (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

48'

S. Petrov

Attempt missed. S. Petrov (Botev Plovdiv), header. xG 0.06.

46'

P. Vitanov

Substitution, FC CSKA 1948 Sofia: A. Iliev comes on for P. Vitanov.

46'

I. Videv

Substitution, Botev Plovdiv: C. Meotti comes on for I. Videv.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-0 Botev Plovdiv.

45'

1 minute of added time.

44'

P. Vitanov

Goal! FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 3-0 Botev Plovdiv. P. Vitanov (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia) scores.

40'

C. A. López

Attempt missed. C. A. López (Botev Plovdiv), header from a set piece. xG 0.12.

38'

M. Zemzemi

Attempt missed. M. Zemzemi (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.00.

35'

Emerson

Yellow card for Emerson (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia).

33'

C. A. López

Attempt saved. C. A. López (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.05.

29'

J. Meyer

Goal! FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-0 Botev Plovdiv. J. Meyer (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia) scores, assisted by P. Vitanov.

28'

G. Rusev

Attempt blocked. G. Rusev (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

24'

Emerson

Attempt saved. Emerson (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

18'

G. Rusev

Attempt missed. G. Rusev (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

16'

E. Franco

Attempt blocked. E. Franco (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), left-footed shot. xG 0.19.

14'

S. Kalu

Attempt missed. S. Kalu (Botev Plovdiv), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

13'

H. Cuellar

Attempt saved. H. Cuellar (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia), header from a corner. xG 0.15.

13'

E. Franco

Goal! FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-0 Botev Plovdiv. E. Franco (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia) scores.

10'

A. Chandarov

Attempt missed. A. Chandarov (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

5'

P. Vitanov

Yellow card for P. Vitanov (FC CSKA 1948 Sofia).

2'

E. Ukaki

Attempt blocked. E. Ukaki (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

2'

V. Vidolov

Attempt blocked. V. Vidolov (Botev Plovdiv), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

1'

Kick-off: FC CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv.

Where the money is

37927 EUR matched · captured 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 18757 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

81.3%

-17.7 vs price

Draw 160.0 · implied 0.6%

11.2%

+10.5 vs price

Away 220.0 · implied 0.5%

8.4%

+7.9 vs price

Half time 2 EUR

Draw 2.4 · implied 41.7%

100.0%

+58.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 4075 EUR · live

Under 6.2 · implied 16.1%

58.0%

+41.9 vs price

Over 1.21 · implied 82.6%

42.0%

-40.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 7 EUR

Under 1.14 · implied 87.7%

100.0%

+12.3 vs price

10 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 5 clips

Match events

5' P. Vitanov

13' ⚽ E. Franco1–0

29' ⚽ J. Meyer · assist P. Vitanov2–0

35' Emerson

44' ⚽ P. Vitanov3–0

Half-time · 3–0

46' 🔁 C. Meotti ◂ I. Videv

46' 🔁 A. Iliev ◂ P. Vitanov

59' 🔁 S. Shopov ◂ A. Chandarov

59' 🔁 F. Mascote ◂ A. Salido

62' D. Tarasenko

69' 🔁 B. Benamar ◂ A. Hoffmann

72' 🔁 G. Milanov ◂ M. Rodrigues

77' S. Kalu

78' 🔁 F. Maciel ◂ E. Franco

78' 🔁 D. Grivić ◂ D. Tarasenko

82' 🔁 B. Kostov ◂ V. Mendes

84' ⚽ M. Zemzemi4–0

88' 🔁 B. Sobrero ◂ G. Rusev

Full-time · 4–0

Coaches

Ognyan Mladenov

Stanislav Genchev

Recent form

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia

LHCSKA Sofia2-3

WASlavia Sofia2-1

WHFK Dunav Ruse2-1

LALevski Sofia0-1

WHLokomotiv Plovdiv2-0

Botev Plovdiv

WHSlavia Sofia1-0

WAFK Septemvri Sofia3-0

WHLokomotiv Plovdiv2-0

WAArda Kardzhali3-2

LHLevski Sofia1-3

About this match

**CSKA 1948's home form has been sharp, but Botev's rolling through the league right now** — this is the clash between Sofia's resurgence and Plovdiv's ruthless streak. 🔥

CSKA 1948 have won their last two at home and sit pretty with three wins in five, though that slip-up vs CSKA Sofia shows they're not untouchable. Botev, meanwhile, are on **four wins in five** with back-to-back clean sheets and are looking genuinely scary on the road.

Key storylines:

- **Botev's defense** has been a fortress lately — three shutouts in their last five means CSKA 1948 will need to be surgical in attack
- **Home advantage** matters here: CSKA 1948 are 6-4 up in the H2H over 14 meetings, and Bistritsa is their fortress
- **Botev's momentum** is undeniable, but road form against a fired-up home side is always the test

Expected lineups:

- **FC CSKA 1948 Sofia**: A. Bozhev, O. Gašević, L. Dvali, A. Hoffmann, D. Medina, M. Zemzemi, H. Cuellar, E. Franco, J. Meyer, G. Rusev
- **Botev Plovdiv**: D. Naumov, B. Chibuike Hein, S. Petrov, N. Soldo, V. Mendes, A. Chandarov, L. Araújo, S. Kalu, C. Meotti, M. Rodrigues

Prediction:

**2-1 CSKA 1948**. Botev's form is excellent, but CSKA's home record and the H2H edge give them the slight lean. Tight match, probably decided by one set-piece. ⚽

Match facts

Stadium

Bistritsa Stadium

City

Bistritsa

Referee

Ventsislav Mitrev

4.95 yellows/match · 22 matches

Kickoff

23 Oct, 16:00 UTC

Competition

Parva Liga

Highlights & clips

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Botev Plovdiv

31 A. Bozhev 33 H. Cuellar 5 B. Benamar ↑ 69' 3 L. Dvali 6 Emerson 30 J. Meyer ⚽1 8 M. Zemzemi ⚽1 94 A. Iliev ↑ 46' 96 D. Grivić ↑ 78' 67 F. Maciel ↑ 78' 20 B. Sobrero ↑ 88' 29 D. Naumov 44 E. Ukaki 87 S. Petrov 4 N. Soldo 15 B. Kostov ↑ 82' 14 C. A. López 11 S. Shopov ↑ 59' 17 G. Milanov ↑ 72' 16 V. Vidolov 90 S. Kalu 30 F. Mascote ↑ 59'

Substitutes

1GP. Marinov 4DA. Hoffmann↓ 69' 70DK. Iliev 34MP. Vitanov↓ 46' 77ME. Franco↓ 78' 11MG. Rusev↓ 88' 10MB. Tsonev 23MF. Krebs 44MK. Strinski 71FD. Tarasenko↓ 78'

Coach: Ognyan Mladenov

Substitutes

1GH. Slavkov 82DV. Mendes↓ 82' 20DT. Awany 22DM. Senger 10MA. Chandarov↓ 59' 19MM. Rodrigues↓ 72' 66MC. Meotti↑ 46' 88MW. C. Oluebube 7FA. Salido↓ 59'

Coach: Stanislav Genchev

Top stats

2.57Expected goals (xG)0.96

Discipline

3Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 14 bookmakers

CSKA 1948 Sofia 44%

27%

Botev Plovdiv 30%

Who winsCSKA 1948 Sofia to win (DNB) 66% · 1.50 @ 888Sport

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.68 @ fonbet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60%

1X2Draw 27% · 2.25 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 1.80 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.25 @ Bet365

1X2CSKA 1948 Sofia to win 44% · 2.75 @ Bet365

1X2Botev Plovdiv to win 30% · 3.60 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.36 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52%

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia

3.40

Draw

3.10

Botev Plovdiv

Double Chanceconsensus

1.36

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia or Draw

1.30

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia or Botev Plovdiv

1.67

Draw or Botev Plovdiv

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.66

Yes

2.10

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

12.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.75

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.80

Over 2.50

2.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.00

Over 3.50

1.36

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.46

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia

2.55

Botev Plovdiv

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.75

FC CSKA 1948 Sofia

2.25

Draw

3.60

Botev Plovdiv

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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