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Jacek Zielinski
MKS Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
MKS Korona Kielce
3-4-2-1 · 3-1-4-2
Legia Warszawa
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
40614 EUR · live
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
44.9%
-51.3 vs price
Away
27.0 · implied 3.7%
38.9%
+35.1 vs price
Home
26.0 · implied 3.8%
16.9%
+13.1 vs price
Half time
401 EUR · live
Home
4.8 · implied 20.8%
55.2%
+34.3 vs price
Draw
2.16 · implied 46.3%
24.0%
-22.3 vs price
Away
3.45 · implied 29.0%
20.5%
-8.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
27072 EUR · live
Under
1.04 · implied 96.2%
76.6%
-19.5 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
23.4%
+18.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5475 EUR · live
Under
1.07 · implied 93.5%
97.9%
+4.4 vs price
Over
15.0 · implied 6.7%
2.1%
-4.5 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
28'
⚽
Ł. Zjawiński · assist K. Piątkowski0–1
Half-time · 0–1
51'
R. Adamski · Foul
60'
K. Jakubczyk · Foul
62'
🔁
S. Davidović ◂ A. Mosór
67'
🔁
M. Rajović ◂ Ł. Zjawiński
67'
🔁
J. Żewłakow ◂ W. Urbański
70'
⚽
M. Stępiński · assist W. Długosz1–1
71'
🔁
M. Remacle ◂ K. Jakubczyk
85'
🔁
Nono ◂ S. Gustafson
85'
🔁
D. Bąk ◂ M. Stępiński
87'
🔁
H. Arreiol ◂ B. Kapustka
88'
🔁
A. Reca ◂ P. Wszołek
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Jacek ZielinskiMarek Papszun 
Recent form
MKS Korona KielceWHAris Limassol1-0
LAJagiellonia Białystok0-1
LHBruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza0-2
DHStal Rzeszów0-0
DHOmonia Nicosia0-0
Legia WarszawaWHZagłębie Lubin3-1
WAPogoń Szczecin1-0
LHAris Limassol0-2
WHPogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki2-1
WHRadomiak Radom3-1
Where to watch
VeikkausTV
Arena Sport 2 HR
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Exbud Arena
City
Kielce
Kickoff
08 Aug, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
MKS Korona Kielce
3-4-2-1 · 3-1-4-2
Legia Warszawa
1
X. Dziekoński
6.6
23
S. Rubežić
6.8
44
C. Sotiriou
6.9
9
S. Davidović
6.3
↑ 62'
71
W. Długosz
7.2
18
P. Hellebrand
7.9
8
M. Remacle
6.4
↑ 71'
6
M. Pieczek
6.5
10
Nono
6.3
↑ 85'
22
M. Fassbender
6.6
99
D. Bąk
6.6
↑ 85'
89
O. Hindrich
6.7
91
K. Piątkowski
7.3
8
R. Augustyniak
8.1
5
R. Deziel Jr.
6.8
4
D. Szymański
7.4
13
A. Reca
6.4
↑ 88'
20
J. Żewłakow
6.5
↑ 67'
6
H. Arreiol
6.6
↑ 87'
19
R. Vinagre
6.6
29
M. Rajović
6.5
↑ 67'
9
R. Adamski
6.2
Substitutes
87GR. Mamla
2DA. Mosór↓ 62'7.1
24DB. Smolarczyk
67DN. Barczak
21DK. Ciszek
35MK. Jakubczyk↓ 71'6.5
86MS. Gustafson↓ 85'6.5
11MK. Matuszewski
37MH. Zwozny
14FM. Stępiński↓ 85'7.5
Coach: Jacek Zielinski
Substitutes
59GJ. Bienduga
22DP. Wszołek↓ 88'6.2
67MB. Kapustka↓ 87'6.5
53MW. Urbański↓ 67'6.1
11MK. Chodyna
77MF. Przybylko
23MM. Ševčík
97ME. Mikanovich
79FŁ. Zjawiński↓ 67'7.3
Coach: Marek Papszun
Top stats
61%Possession39%
1.1Expected goals (xG)1.59
14Total shots8
3Shots on target1
1Big chances3
6Corners0
Shots
7Shots off target6
4Blocked shots1
7Shots inside box7
7Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed2
-0.38Goals prevented0.1
Attack
18Touches in box16
60Final third entries45
1Offsides1
19Free kicks17
1Fouled in final third0
Passing
561Passes349
469Accurate passes277
30/68 (44%)Long balls14/40 (35%)
5/16 (31%)Crosses5/14 (36%)
16Throw-ins16
Duels
51Duels49
40/76 (53%)Ground duels36/76 (47%)
17/36 (47%)Aerial duels19/36 (53%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles7/10 (70%)
5Dispossessed13
Defending
16Tackles13
63Tackles won46
10Interceptions6
18Clearances30
42Recoveries43
Discipline
17Fouls19
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
0Big saves1
9Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
Who winsLegia to win (DNB) 52% · 1.83 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Novibet
1X2Legia to win 37% · 2.95 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.54 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 30% · 2.50 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.81 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.30 @ fonbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.37 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.61 @ Pinnacle
1X2Korona to win 34% · 3.30 @ forbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.75
MKS Korona Kielce
3.13
Draw
2.50
Legia Warszawa
Double Chanceconsensus
1.48
MKS Korona Kielce or Draw
1.33
MKS Korona Kielce or Legia Warszawa
1.40
Draw or Legia Warszawa
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.76
Yes
1.94
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.33
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.13
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50
1.73
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.46
Over 3.50
1.26
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.15
Over 4.50 ▲
1.08
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.95
MKS Korona Kielce
1.77
Legia Warszawa
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.13
Over 6.50
5.57
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.58
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50
2.46
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.80
Over 9.50
1.90
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.29
Over 10.50 ▼
1.55
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.06
Over 11.50 ▼
1.32
Under 11.50 ▲
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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