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Marek Papszun
Legia Warszawa
Radomiak Radom
Legia Warszawa
3-1-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Radomiak Radom
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
47510 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.8%
-16.2 vs price
Draw
750.0 · implied 0.1%
10.0%
+9.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.1%
+7.0 vs price
Half time
168 EUR
Away
7.4 · implied 13.5%
95.2%
+81.6 vs price
Home
2.16 · implied 46.3%
3.6%
-42.7 vs price
Draw
2.6 · implied 38.5%
0.0%
-38.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
6610 EUR · live
Under
12.5 · implied 8.0%
65.1%
+57.1 vs price
Over
1.09 · implied 91.7%
34.9%
-56.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
185 EUR
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
78.8%
-8.1 vs price
Over
7.4 · implied 13.5%
20.5%
+7.0 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
M. Ševčík · assist P. Wszołek1–0
9'
Z. Ouattara · Foul
10'
⚽
R. Augustyniak2–0
10'
VAR
Goal check · R. Augustyniak
17'
⚽
R. Adamski · assist R. Vinagre3–0
44'
⚽
B. Kapustka4–0
Half-time · 4–0
45'+2
A. Diéguez · Foul
46'
🔁
J. Żewłakow ◂ M. Ševčík
51'
⚽
B. Kapustka · assist P. Wszołek5–0
56'
🔁
H. Arreiol ◂ D. Szymański
56'
🔁
J. Kuchta ◂ R. Adamski
57'
🔁
F. Gouré ◂ A. Tapsoba
57'
🔁
R. Baró ◂ R. Lumungo
61'
🔁
C. Donis ◂ I. Camará
61'
🔁
F. Koperski ◂ A. Diéguez
71'
🔁
M. Rajović ◂ Ł. Zjawiński
81'
🔁
K. Karasek ◂ Conrado
82'
🔁
E. Mikanovich ◂ P. Wszołek
Full-time · 5–0
90'+1
B. Kapustka · Foul
Coaches
Marek PapszunTomasz Kaczmarek 
Recent form
Legia WarszawaDAMKS Korona Kielce1-1
WHZagłębie Lubin3-1
WAPogoń Szczecin1-0
LHAris Limassol0-2
WHPogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki2-1
Radomiak RadomDHAEL Limassol1-1
LHGórnik Zabrze1-3
LAGKS Katowice1-3
LHNea Salamina Famagusta2-3
WHWieczysta Kraków2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie
City
Warsaw
Kickoff
14 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
Legia Warszawa
3-1-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Radomiak Radom
89
O. Hindrich
6.9
91
K. Piątkowski
7.6
8
R. Augustyniak
7.8
5
R. Deziel Jr.
7.0
6
H. Arreiol
6.6
↑ 56'
97
E. Mikanovich
6.6
↑ 82'
20
J. Żewłakow
6.6
↑ 46'
67
B. Kapustka
9.4
19
R. Vinagre
7.9
29
M. Rajović
6.7
↑ 71'
7
J. Kuchta
6.2
↑ 56'
99
B. Gradecki
3.9
24
Z. Ouattara
4.8
3
K. Szcześniak
6.3
77
C. Donis
6.5
↑ 61'
23
K. Karasek
7.0
↑ 81'
72
F. Koperski
7.0
↑ 61'
28
R. Baró
6.7
↑ 57'
27
R. Wolski
6.2
82
Luquinhas
6.5
13
J. Grzesik
6.4
11
F. Gouré
6.4
↑ 57'
Top stats
49%Possession51%
1.68Expected goals (xG)0.38
17Total shots7
7Shots on target2
2Big chances1
3Corners2
Shots
6Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
11Shots inside box4
6Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
0.09Goals prevented-3.54
Attack
23Touches in box13
44Final third entries32
1Offsides2
11Free kicks21
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
393Passes411
335Accurate passes353
26/42 (62%)Long balls13/30 (43%)
5/14 (36%)Crosses2/14 (14%)
11Throw-ins18
Duels
50Duels50
36/77 (47%)Ground duels41/77 (53%)
21/36 (58%)Aerial duels15/36 (42%)
8/12 (67%)Dribbles11/22 (50%)
6Dispossessed7
Defending
18Tackles10
56Tackles won40
13Interceptions8
25Clearances14
46Recoveries34
Discipline
21Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
1Big saves0
6Goal kicks8
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsLegia to win (DNB) 80% · 1.28 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Legia to win 63% · 1.88 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.83 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.50 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 56% · 4.40 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.28 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 1.99 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 21% · 3.03 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.07 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.65 @ 888Sport
1X2Radomiak to win 15% · 6.05 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.50
Legia Warszawa
4.16
Draw
5.99
Radomiak Radom
Double Chanceconsensus
1.12
Legia Warszawa or Draw
1.20
Legia Warszawa or Radomiak Radom
2.45
Draw or Radomiak Radom
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.84
Yes
1.86
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.65
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.22
Over 1.50
3.83
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.72
Over 2.50
2.01
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.78
Over 3.50
1.39
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.90
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.17
Legia Warszawa
4.48
Radomiak Radom
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.04
Over 5.50
12.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
6.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.70
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.42
Over 8.50 ▼
2.58
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50 ▼
1.99
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.15
Over 10.50 ▼
1.60
Under 10.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.80
Over 11.50
1.35
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Legia Warszawa to win or draw
✓
85% confidence
Legia Warszawa to avoid defeat
✓
80% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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