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Leszek Ojrzynski
Zagłębie Lubin
Śląsk Wrocław
Zagłębie Lubin
3-5-2 · 5-3-2
Śląsk Wrocław
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
86624 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
65.6%
-33.4 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
25.0%
+24.9 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
14.5%
+11.5 vs price
Half time
1536 EUR · live
Home
60.0 · implied 1.7%
56.6%
+55.0 vs price
Draw
6.0 · implied 16.7%
21.9%
+5.3 vs price
Away
1.21 · implied 82.6%
21.3%
-61.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
66431 EUR · live
Under
1.49 · implied 67.1%
72.2%
+5.1 vs price
Over
3.05 · implied 32.8%
27.8%
-5.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
9278 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.7%
-2.4 vs price
Over
23.0 · implied 4.3%
3.3%
-1.0 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
10'
M. Llinares · Foul
22'
G. Tomasiewicz · Foul
34'
⚽
P. Samiec-Talar · assist M. Dembélé0–1
Half-time · 0–1
52'
⚽
J. Ćorluka1–1
69'
🔁
J. Sypek ◂ I. Orlikowski
69'
🔁
M. Mlinarić ◂ S. Kerk
69'
🔁
L. Szabó ◂ F. Szymczak
74'
🔁
M. Rosiak ◂ A. T. Andersson
74'
🔁
L. Marjanac ◂ M. Dembélé
85'
⚽
L. Szabó · assist J. Ćorluka2–1
86'
L. Szabó
87'
M. Regula · Time wasting
89'
🔁
J. Kolan ◂ M. Regula
89'
🔁
A. Ciucka ◂ J. Yriarte
Full-time · 2–1
90'+5
🔁
M. Stangret ◂ P. Banaszak
90'+12
🔁
D. Michalski ◂ D. Dąbrowski
Coaches
Ante Šimundža 
Recent form
LALegia Warszawa1-3
WHPiast Gliwice2-0
WHChrobry Głogów3-0
LHBohemians Praha 19050-2
LHBaník Ostrava0-2
DHKS Cracovia0-0
WHRaków Częstochowa2-1
LAGórnik Zabrze1-2
WHFC Zlín3-1
DHOKS Odra Opole0-0
Where to watch
Arena Sport 2 HR
Match facts
Stadium
KGHM Zagłębie Arena
City
Lubin
Kickoff
15 Aug, 12:45 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
33
Z. Alomerović
6.7
88
M. Mlinarić
6.4
↑ 69'
25
M. Nalepa
7.3
5
A. Ławniczak
6.8
13
M. Grzybek
6.5
4
D. Michalski
↑ 90'
39
F. Kocaba
6.9
7
J. Sypek
6.4
↑ 69'
16
J. Ćorluka
8.1
26
J. Kolan
6.6
↑ 89'
17
L. Szabó
7.2
↑ 69'
1
K. Niemczycki
6.7
27
M. Rosiak
6.5
↑ 74'
33
Y. Matsenko
6.1
44
M. Malec
7.2
3
I. Christodoulou
6.8
8
M. Llinares
6.5
7
P. Samiec-Talar
7.7
88
A. Ciucka
6.7
↑ 89'
20
G. Tomasiewicz
6.9
23
M. Stangret
6.7
↑ 90'
11
L. Marjanac
6.4
↑ 74'
Top stats
58%Possession42%
0.89Expected goals (xG)1.26
12Total shots12
5Shots on target2
0Big chances1
8Corners0
Shots
3Shots off target6
4Blocked shots4
7Shots inside box7
5Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0.0Goals prevented-0.3
Attack
25Touches in box21
54Final third entries50
1Offsides0
10Free kicks13
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
414Passes301
336Accurate passes221
26/59 (44%)Long balls19/54 (35%)
5/25 (20%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
26Throw-ins16
Duels
42Duels58
20/49 (41%)Ground duels29/49 (59%)
15/35 (43%)Aerial duels20/35 (57%)
4/11 (36%)Dribbles4/7 (57%)
5Dispossessed3
Defending
6Tackles12
17Tackles won50
6Interceptions4
33Clearances52
36Recoveries37
Discipline
13Fouls10
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
0Big saves1
11Goal kicks10
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 64 bookmakers
CornersOver 10.5 corners 50% · 1.95 @ Unibet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 61% · 1.62 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 72% · 1.33 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 30% · 2.66 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 2.07 @ betinasia
Who winsZagłębie to win (DNB) 61% · 1.67 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.05 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.77 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Zagłębie to win 43% · 2.74 @ efbet.net
1X2Śląsk to win 27% · 3.60 @ granmadrid
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 1.33 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.18
Zagłębie Lubin
3.23
Draw
3.23
Śląsk Wrocław
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
Zagłębie Lubin or Draw
1.31
Zagłębie Lubin or Śląsk Wrocław
1.63
Draw or Śląsk Wrocław
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.67
Yes
2.08
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.05
Over 0.50
9.78
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50
3.53
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.86
Over 2.50
1.88
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.08
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.60
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.56
Zagłębie Lubin
2.31
Śląsk Wrocław
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.07
Over 6.50
8.00
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
4.95
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
3.23
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50
2.38
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.85
Over 10.50
1.83
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.37
Over 11.50
1.52
Under 11.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.11
Over 12.50
1.32
Under 12.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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