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Jacek Zielinski
MKS Korona Kielce
Motor Lublin
MKS Korona Kielce
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Motor Lublin
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
54673 EUR · live
Home
26.0 · implied 3.8%
58.1%
+54.2 vs price
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
27.8%
-66.6 vs price
Away
70.0 · implied 1.4%
14.1%
+12.7 vs price
Half time
1794 EUR · live
Draw
1.52 · implied 65.8%
83.4%
+17.6 vs price
Away
13.5 · implied 7.4%
8.7%
+1.3 vs price
Home
7.2 · implied 13.9%
7.9%
-6.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
53105 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
53.4%
-39.2 vs price
Over
12.5 · implied 8.0%
46.6%
+38.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
14342 EUR · live
Under
1.16 · implied 86.2%
91.6%
+5.4 vs price
Over
7.0 · implied 14.3%
8.4%
-5.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
S. Rubežić · Foul
19'
⚽
M. Stępiński · assist M. Remacle1–0
28'
M. Aïko · Argument
30'
⚽
K. Czubak · assist I. Rodrigues1–1
Half-time · 1–1
46'
🔁
F. Ronaldo ◂ M. Aïko
46'
🔁
Nono ◂ S. Davidović
54'
K. Jakubczyk · Foul
67'
M. Ndiaye · Foul
72'
M. Fassbender · Foul
78'
I. Rodrigues · Foul
79'
🔁
K. Lukoszek ◂ T. Santos
80'
🔁
M. Łęgowski ◂ I. Rodrigues
85'
🔁
F. Haxha ◂ M. Ndiaye
87'
W. Długosz · Argument
87'
P. Meyer · Foul
88'
🔁
D. Bąk ◂ M. Remacle
Full-time · 1–1
90'+1
🔁
T. Plavotić ◂ C. Simon
Coaches
Jacek ZielinskiMariusz Misiura 
Recent form
MKS Korona KielceWAWidzew Łódź2-1
DHLegia Warszawa1-1
WHAris Limassol1-0
LAJagiellonia Białystok0-1
LHBruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza0-2
Motor LublinWHGKS Katowice1-0
LAPogoń Szczecin1-3
LHJagiellonia Białystok1-2
DAWidzew Łódź2-2
WHHapoel Jerusalem2-0
Where to watch
Arena Sport 5 HR
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Exbud Arena
City
Kielce
Kickoff
22 Aug, 12:45 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
MKS Korona Kielce
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Motor Lublin
1
X. Dziekoński
6.1
71
W. Długosz
7.7
23
S. Rubežić
6.6
2
A. Mosór
7.1
6
M. Pieczek
6.7
35
K. Jakubczyk
6.4
18
P. Hellebrand
7.3
10
Nono
7.0
↑ 46'
99
D. Bąk
↑ 88'
22
M. Fassbender
6.3
14
M. Stępiński
7.5
71
M. Popa
6.0
17
K. Lukoszek
6.8
↑ 79'
18
B. Bereszyński
6.8
39
M. K. Bartoš
6.8
24
F. Luberecki
7.2
4
T. Plavotić
↑ 90'
2
P. Meyer
6.5
6
M. Łęgowski
6.8
↑ 80'
23
F. Haxha
6.5
↑ 85'
10
K. Czubak
7.9
11
F. Ronaldo
6.4
↑ 46'
Substitutes
87GR. Mamla
12GM. Mikielewicz
24DB. Smolarczyk
67DN. Barczak
44DC. Sotiriou
21DK. Ciszek
8MM. Remacle↓ 88'7.0
9MS. Davidović↓ 46'6.2
11MK. Matuszewski
20MK. Minuczyc
Coach: Jacek Zielinski
Top stats
59%Possession41%
0.88Expected goals (xG)0.68
16Total shots11
3Shots on target2
3Big chances2
4Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target4
7Blocked shots5
9Shots inside box5
7Shots outside box6
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
-0.82Goals prevented-0.82
Attack
26Touches in box15
68Final third entries46
0Offsides2
14Free kicks16
1Fouled in final third4
Passing
476Passes330
406Accurate passes259
20/43 (47%)Long balls16/44 (36%)
9/32 (28%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
27Throw-ins16
Duels
49Duels51
28/60 (47%)Ground duels32/60 (53%)
22/43 (51%)Aerial duels21/43 (49%)
4/12 (33%)Dribbles5/12 (42%)
4Dispossessed4
Defending
11Tackles12
36Tackles won67
3Interceptions11
26Clearances49
39Recoveries38
Discipline
16Fouls14
4Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
0Saves2
5Goal kicks8
2Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
1X2Korona to win 53% · 2.32 @ efbet.net
Who winsKorona to win (DNB) 65% · 1.54 @ forbet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 4.00 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.64 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.95 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 24% · 2.70 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.76 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.06 @ Novibet
1X2Motor to win 23% · 3.80 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.93
MKS Korona Kielce ▼
3.53
Draw ▲
3.53
Motor Lublin ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
MKS Korona Kielce or Draw
1.26
MKS Korona Kielce or Motor Lublin ▼
1.78
Draw or Motor Lublin ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes ▲
2.16
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.90
YES
1.36
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.75
YES
1.15
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.65
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
3.90
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.71
Over 2.50 ▲
2.04
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.73
Over 3.50 ▲
1.40
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.25
Over 4.50
1.14
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.43
MKS Korona Kielce
2.62
Motor Lublin
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
2.90
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.21
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.00
Over 9.50
1.74
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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