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Tomasz Kaczmarek
Radomiak Radom
Zagłębie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
4-1-4-1 · 4-1-3-2
Zagłębie Lubin
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
35769 EUR · live
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
63.3%
-33.7 vs price
Home
34.0 · implied 2.9%
19.6%
+16.7 vs price
Away
80.0 · implied 1.2%
17.0%
+15.8 vs price
Half time
807 EUR · live
Home
7.4 · implied 13.5%
56.8%
+43.3 vs price
Draw
1.27 · implied 78.7%
31.6%
-47.1 vs price
Away
8.2 · implied 12.2%
11.4%
-0.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
31548 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
89.1%
-9.9 vs price
Over
110.0 · implied 0.9%
11.1%
+10.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5806 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.6%
-2.4 vs price
Over
120.0 · implied 0.8%
3.4%
+2.5 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
R. Yakuba ◂ J. Ćorluka
46'
🔁
J. Kolan ◂ S. Kerk
60'
🔁
K. Nowogonski ◂ F. Szymczak
64'
🔁
A. Tapsoba ◂ F. Gouré
64'
🔁
R. Baró ◂ R. Lumungo
70'
🔁
M. Mlinarić ◂ J. Sypek
72'
A. Tapsoba · Foul
79'
🔁
K. Karasek ◂ Luquinhas
79'
🔁
Manu ◂ C. Nunnely
80'
D. Dąbrowski · Foul
85'
🔁
M. Kosidis ◂ D. Dąbrowski
Full-time · 0–0
90'
🔁
I. Camará ◂ C. Donis
90'+2
M. Grzybek · Foul
Coaches
Leszek Ojrzynski 
Recent form
LALegia Warszawa0-5
DHAEL Limassol1-1
LHGórnik Zabrze1-3
LAGKS Katowice1-3
LHNea Salamina Famagusta2-3
WHŚląsk Wrocław2-1
LALegia Warszawa1-3
WHPiast Gliwice2-0
WHChrobry Głogów3-0
LHBohemians Praha 19050-2
Where to watch
Betano
Arena Sport 5 HR
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion im. Braci Czachorów
City
Radom
Kickoff
23 Aug, 12:45 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
1
F. Majchrowicz
6.9
24
Z. Ouattara
7.6
3
K. Szcześniak
7.0
72
F. Koperski
7.8
13
J. Grzesik
6.9
8
I. Camará
↑ 90'
23
K. Karasek
6.7
↑ 79'
27
R. Wolski
7.3
18
Manu
6.3
↑ 79'
28
R. Baró
6.5
↑ 64'
15
A. Tapsoba
6.4
↑ 64'
33
Z. Alomerović
7.2
13
M. Grzybek
7.2
4
D. Michalski
7.1
5
A. Ławniczak
6.9
3
R. Yakuba
6.9
↑ 46'
39
F. Kocaba
7.0
44
M. Regula
6.4
26
J. Kolan
7.0
↑ 46'
9
M. Kosidis
6.3
↑ 85'
71
K. Nowogonski
7.0
↑ 60'
88
M. Mlinarić
6.5
↑ 70'
Substitutes
99GB. Gradecki
44GW. Koptas
5DJ. Blasco
33DO. Markiewicz
82MLuquinhas↓ 79'7.5
77MC. Donis↓ 90'6.9
7MC. Nunnely↓ 79'6.7
90FR. Lumungo↓ 64'6.9
11FF. Gouré↓ 64'6.5
Coach: Tomasz Kaczmarek
Top stats
60%Possession40%
0.78Expected goals (xG)1.27
18Total shots9
3Shots on target2
1Big chances2
10Corners2
Shots
10Shots off target5
5Blocked shots2
7Shots inside box5
11Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed2
0.08Goals prevented0.13
Attack
27Touches in box25
50Final third entries51
0Offsides1
14Free kicks14
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
458Passes295
377Accurate passes209
15/38 (39%)Long balls19/54 (35%)
5/32 (16%)Crosses6/26 (23%)
17Throw-ins20
Duels
51Duels49
36/71 (51%)Ground duels35/71 (49%)
21/41 (51%)Aerial duels20/41 (49%)
10/21 (48%)Dribbles5/11 (45%)
6Dispossessed6
Defending
12Tackles17
75Tackles won41
3Interceptions4
42Clearances40
45Recoveries50
Discipline
14Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
7Goal kicks12
0Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.35 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 3.25 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ forbet
1X2Zagłębie to win 32% · 3.20 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 51% · 4.50 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.10 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.05 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle
1X2Radomiak to win 41% · 2.90 @ fonbet
Who winsRadomiak to win (DNB) 55% · 1.75 @ forbet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.20 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.31
Radomiak Radom ▼
3.23
Draw ▼
2.84
Zagłębie Lubin ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.37
Radomiak Radom or Draw ▲
1.30
Radomiak Radom or Zagłębie Lubin
1.54
Draw or Zagłębie Lubin ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.67
Yes ▼
2.05
No ▼
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.10
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.65
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50 ▼
3.46
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50 ▼
1.86
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.09
Over 3.50 ▼
1.32
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.13
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.68
Radomiak Radom
2.04
Zagłębie Lubin
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.72
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.77
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.60
Over 9.50
2.14
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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