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Michal Gasparik
Górnik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
Górnik Zabrze
4-3-3 · 3-4-3
GKS Katowice
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
105338 EUR · live
Away
1.05 · implied 95.2%
36.7%
-58.5 vs price
Draw
16.0 · implied 6.2%
35.1%
+28.8 vs price
Home
960.0 · implied 0.1%
28.2%
+28.1 vs price
Half time
689 EUR · live
Away
34.0 · implied 2.9%
48.9%
+46.0 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
41.2%
-55.9 vs price
Home
32.0 · implied 3.1%
9.7%
+6.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
9964 EUR · live
Under
2.24 · implied 44.6%
50.4%
+5.7 vs price
Over
1.78 · implied 56.2%
49.6%
-6.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5456 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
90.8%
-8.2 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
9.2%
+6.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
I. Shkurin0–1
40'
🔁
M. Wdowiak ◂ B. Galán
Half-time · 0–1
45'+1
VAR
Goal not given after review · E. Jirka
59'
🔁
J. Antiste ◂ P. Bernardo
60'
🔁
J. Kubicki ◂ L. Sadílek
73'
A. Jędrych · Foul
75'
⚽
K. Urbański (pen)1–1
76'
⚽
Josema · assist R. Janicki2–1
84'
🔁
M. Dietz ◂ E. Prekop
89'
🔁
M. Wasielewski ◂ E. Marković
89'
🔁
S. Bartlewicz ◂ E. Jirka
Full-time · 2–3
90'+1
⚽
I. Shkurin · assist B. Nowak2–2
90'+5
🔁
Y. I. Dimi ◂ P. González
90'+7
🔁
K. Lukasiak ◂ B. Wolski
90'+7
🔁
A. Czerwiński ◂ L. Klemenz
90'+10
⚽
I. Shkurin · assist A. Czerwiński2–3
Coaches
Rafal Gorak 
Recent form
LAAS Monaco1-4
LHAS Monaco2-3
WHWisła Kraków2-1
DHFerencváros TC1-1
WARadomiak Radom3-1
WHWisła Płock5-0
LAMotor Lublin0-1
WHHapoel Tel Aviv2-1
LAHapoel Tel Aviv0-2
WHRadomiak Radom3-1
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla
City
Zabrze
Kickoff
30 Aug, 15:30 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
1
P. Schulze
6.1
61
M. Sáček
6.0
26
R. Janicki
6.9
20
Josema
7.3
64
E. Janža
6.1
14
J. Kubicki
6.4
↑ 60'
82
K. Urbański
7.0
9
J. Antiste
6.7
↑ 59'
7
Y. I. Dimi
6.3
↑ 90'
66
M. Dietz
6.1
↑ 84'
33
M. Khlan
7.1
87
G. Kobylak
7.0
30
A. Czerwiński
6.9
↑ 90'
4
A. Jędrych
6.1
55
P. Resta
7.6
31
S. Bartlewicz
6.6
↑ 89'
19
K. Lukasiak
6.9
↑ 90'
77
M. Kowalczyk
6.7
7
M. Wdowiak
6.5
↑ 40'
23
M. Wasielewski
6.6
↑ 89'
17
I. Shkurin
9.7
27
B. Nowak
6.8
Substitutes
99GT. Loska
21DO. Zmrzlý
3DM. Synoś
2DP. Warczak
18ML. Sadílek↓ 60'6.9
8MP. Bernardo↓ 59'6.4
19MP. González↓ 90'6.1
28MB. Donio
34MB. Durdov
11FE. Prekop↓ 84'6.3
23FS. Liseth
Coach: Michal Gasparik
Top stats
63%Possession37%
2.5Expected goals (xG)1.56
19Total shots14
6Shots on target8
2Big chances3
13Corners4
Shots
7Shots off target3
6Blocked shots3
13Shots inside box10
6Shots outside box4
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored3
1Big chances missed0
-0.46Goals prevented0.15
Attack
29Touches in box21
76Final third entries56
2Offsides1
8Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
494Passes298
392Accurate passes203
25/66 (38%)Long balls17/52 (33%)
5/28 (18%)Crosses5/13 (38%)
24Throw-ins20
Duels
39Duels61
27/57 (47%)Ground duels30/57 (53%)
14/49 (29%)Aerial duels35/49 (71%)
1/10 (10%)Dribbles7/13 (54%)
6Dispossessed12
Defending
18Tackles15
61Tackles won73
13Interceptions7
19Clearances50
54Recoveries44
Discipline
10Fouls9
0Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
1Big saves1
6Goal kicks12
1Punches4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 59% · 2.88 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.75 @ William Hill
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.33 @ 1xBet
1X2Górnik to win 49% · 2.20 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.88 @ Unibet
Who winsGórnik to win (DNB) 61% · 1.44 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 25% · 2.70 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
1X2GKS Katowice to win 25% · 3.80 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.50 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.86
Górnik Zabrze
3.70
Draw
3.68
GKS Katowice
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Górnik Zabrze or Draw
1.23
Górnik Zabrze or GKS Katowice
1.86
Draw or GKS Katowice
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.21
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.00
YES
1.33
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
5.00
YES
1.13
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
14.10
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.33
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.64
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.58
Over 3.50
1.47
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.60
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.40
Górnik Zabrze
2.75
GKS Katowice
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.78
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.83
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.60
Over 9.50
2.18
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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