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Marek Papszun
Legia Warszawa
Śląsk Wrocław
Legia Warszawa
3-4-3 · 5-3-2
Śląsk Wrocław
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
83494 EUR · live
Away
38.0 · implied 2.6%
45.7%
+43.1 vs price
Home
30.0 · implied 3.3%
37.1%
+33.8 vs price
Draw
1.06 · implied 94.3%
17.2%
-77.2 vs price
Half time
5001 EUR · live
Away
1.09 · implied 91.7%
72.1%
-19.7 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
23.8%
-72.3 vs price
Home
42.0 · implied 2.4%
4.1%
+1.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
25893 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
52.5%
-42.7 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
47.5%
+42.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4108 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
89.7%
-8.3 vs price
Over
46.0 · implied 2.2%
10.3%
+8.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
🔁
B. Kapustka ◂ A. Jędrzejczyk
33'
VAR
Penalty awarded · P. Samiec-Talar
35'
⚽
P. Samiec-Talar (pen)0–1
41'
E. Shabani · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
W. Urbański ◂ M. Ševčík
61'
A. Šimundža · Argument
64'
🔁
J. Yriarte ◂ E. Shabani
69'
🔁
P. Banaszak ◂ M. Dembélé
77'
🔁
R. Adamski ◂ H. Arreiol
77'
🔁
M. Szczepaniak ◂ J. Kuchta
82'
🔁
D. Szala ◂ Y. Matsenko
85'
🔁
M. Rajović ◂ R. Deziel Jr.
Full-time · 1–1
90'+2
P. Wszołek · Foul
90'+4
⚽
R. Adamski · assist P. Wszołek1–1
90'+5
M. Rosiak · Argument
Coaches
Ante Šimundža 
Recent form
DAPiast Gliwice1-1
WHRadomiak Radom5-0
DAMKS Korona Kielce1-1
WHZagłębie Lubin3-1
WAPogoń Szczecin1-0
DHWidzew Łódź3-3
LAZagłębie Lubin1-2
DHKS Cracovia0-0
WHRaków Częstochowa2-1
LAGórnik Zabrze1-2
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie
City
Warsaw
Kickoff
28 Aug, 18:30 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
89
O. Hindrich
7.6
91
K. Piątkowski
8.1
8
R. Augustyniak
6.8
29
M. Rajović
6.6
↑ 85'
22
P. Wszołek
7.6
17
M. Szczepaniak
6.7
↑ 77'
67
B. Kapustka
7.3
↑ 2'
19
R. Vinagre
7.5
53
W. Urbański
7.2
↑ 46'
79
Ł. Zjawiński
5.9
9
R. Adamski
7.8
↑ 77'
1
K. Niemczycki
7.4
27
M. Rosiak
6.4
2
D. Szala
7.0
↑ 82'
5
L. Ba
6.3
44
M. Malec
6.8
8
M. Llinares
6.1
7
P. Samiec-Talar
7.4
20
G. Tomasiewicz
7.1
15
J. Yriarte
6.5
↑ 64'
19
P. Banaszak
6.3
↑ 69'
11
L. Marjanac
6.6
Substitutes
1GI. Brkić
5DR. Deziel Jr.↓ 85'7.1
55DA. Jędrzejczyk↓ 2'
13DA. Reca
24DZ. Arsenić
6MH. Arreiol↓ 77'7.2
23MM. Ševčík↓ 46'6.3
4MD. Szymański
11MK. Chodyna
7FJ. Kuchta↓ 77'6.1
99FS. Kovacik
Coach: Marek Papszun
Substitutes
25GM. Szromnik
33DY. Matsenko↓ 82'7.5
3DI. Christodoulou
21DA. T. Andersson
4DM. Dijaković
77ME. Shabani↓ 64'7.5
88MA. Ciucka
38MD. Markowski
10FM. Dembélé↓ 69'6.0
Coach: Ante Šimundža
Top stats
62%Possession38%
1.82Expected goals (xG)1.76
21Total shots13
5Shots on target5
0Big chances3
9Corners4
Shots
9Shots off target3
7Blocked shots5
14Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed2
0.42Goals prevented0.77
Attack
34Touches in box36
66Final third entries41
0Offsides1
12Free kicks13
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
506Passes322
435Accurate passes237
28/41 (68%)Long balls13/52 (25%)
10/39 (26%)Crosses2/10 (20%)
16Throw-ins16
Duels
54Duels46
32/63 (51%)Ground duels31/63 (49%)
21/36 (58%)Aerial duels15/36 (42%)
6/11 (55%)Dribbles6/17 (35%)
7Dispossessed5
Defending
16Tackles12
31Tackles won58
5Interceptions12
20Clearances37
59Recoveries46
Discipline
14Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
5Saves5
1Big saves1
2Goal kicks11
0Punches4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsLegia to win (DNB) 78% · 1.20 @ Betway
1X2Legia to win 61% · 1.85 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.70 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.91 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.72 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.25 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 2.14 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.36 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 22% · 2.85 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
1X2Śląsk to win 17% · 5.28 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.50
Legia Warszawa
4.20
Draw
5.50
Śląsk Wrocław
Double Chanceconsensus
1.11
Legia Warszawa or Draw
1.17
Legia Warszawa or Śląsk Wrocław
2.45
Draw or Śląsk Wrocław
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.76
Yes
1.95
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.30
YES
1.55
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
6.25
YES
1.09
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.70
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
10.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
14.10
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.63
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.58
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.75
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.17
Legia Warszawa
4.75
Śląsk Wrocław
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.18
Over 7.50
3.47
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50
2.73
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.66
Over 9.50
2.10
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Legia Warszawa to win or draw
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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