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Dawid Kroczek
Raków Częstochowa
Jagiellonia Białystok
Raków Częstochowa
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Jagiellonia Białystok
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
43296 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
55.4%
-43.6 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
25.1%
+25.0 vs price
Home
950.0 · implied 0.1%
20.3%
+20.2 vs price
Half time
1352 EUR · live
Home
42.0 · implied 2.4%
58.0%
+55.7 vs price
Away
1.18 · implied 84.7%
22.8%
-62.0 vs price
Draw
8.8 · implied 11.4%
19.1%
+7.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
7300 EUR · live
Over
1.17 · implied 85.5%
57.0%
-28.5 vs price
Under
6.6 · implied 15.2%
43.0%
+27.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4451 EUR · live
Under
1.44 · implied 69.4%
72.6%
+3.1 vs price
Over
2.96 · implied 33.8%
27.4%
-6.4 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
23'
⚽
M. Emreli1–0
30'
VAR
Penalty check · R. Conceição
31'
⚽
J. Imaz (pen)1–1
37'
⚽
N. Prelec1–2
43'
E. Kozlowski · Foul
Half-time · 1–2
46'
🔁
S. Lozano ◂ J. Imaz
46'
🔁
M. Perović ◂ J. Silva
46'
🔁
O. Repka ◂ Didí Gaucho
50'
K. Struski · Foul
56'
⚽
J. Jendryka · assist W. Kocherhin2–2
62'
🔁
M. Diaby ◂ Á. Molnár
62'
🔁
O. Kwiatkowski ◂ K. Struski
69'
🔁
H. Finndell ◂ E. Kozlowski
69'
🔁
O. Sow ◂ K. Szmyt
71'
🔁
A. Brorsson ◂ F. Tudor
72'
VAR
Penalty check · S. Lozano
76'
⚽
G. Montóia (pen)2–3
78'
⚽
O. Sow · assist N. Prelec2–4
87'
🔁
Y. Sylla ◂ N. Prelec
89'
⚽
Y. Sylla2–5
Full-time · 2–5
90'
🔁
K. Jóźwiak ◂ R. Conceição
Coaches
Adrian Siemieniec 
Recent form
LHHNK Hajduk Split2-3
DAHNK Hajduk Split2-2
LAKS Cracovia1-2
WAHammarby IF1-0
DHHammarby IF0-0
WAFC Iberia 19992-1
WHFC Iberia 19994-0
DARangers1-1
LHWidzew Łódź0-2
WHRangers2-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport 5 SRB
Betano
Arena Sport 5 HR
Arena Sport 5 SRB
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Arena Sport 5 SRB
Match facts
Stadium
Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie
City
Czestochowa
Kickoff
30 Aug, 12:45 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
1
K. Trelowski
6.5
6
O. Repka
7.1
↑ 46'
25
B. Racovițan
6.2
3
A. Brorsson
5.9
↑ 71'
17
J. Jendryka
7.4
15
O. Kwiatkowski
6.4
↑ 62'
10
W. Kocherhin
7.4
36
M. Perović
6.3
↑ 46'
9
P. Makuch
7.3
11
M. Emreli
7.1
80
M. Diaby
6.4
↑ 62'
50
S. Abramowicz
6.7
15
N. Wojtuszek
6.2
44
A. Konstantopoulos
7.4
4
Y. Kobayashi
6.1
23
G. Montóia
7.0
6
T. Romanczuk
7.6
14
H. Finndell
6.7
↑ 69'
72
K. Jóźwiak
↑ 90'
21
S. Lozano
7.1
↑ 46'
30
O. Sow
7.3
↑ 69'
17
Y. Sylla
7.5
↑ 87'
Substitutes
71GT. Karić
7DF. Tudor↓ 71'7.1
77DDidí Gaucho↓ 46'6.4
4DS. Svarnas
88MÁ. Molnár↓ 62'6.8
20MJ. Silva↓ 46'6.3
23MK. Struski↓ 62'6.2
21MT. Pieńko
2MJ. Napieraj
22MA. Ojo
39FI. Brusberg
99FA. Basse
Coach: Dawid Kroczek
Substitutes
1GM. Perchel
27DR. Conceição↓ 90'6.6
5DB. Vital
62DS. Pankiewicz
11MJ. Imaz↓ 46'6.9
85ME. Kozlowski↓ 69'6.3
7MK. Szmyt↓ 69'6.3
19MF. Klynge
2MC. Polak
8MD. Drachal
99FN. Prelec↓ 87'6.7
9FD. Rallis
Coach: Adrian Siemieniec
Top stats
46%Possession54%
1.29Expected goals (xG)4.44
14Total shots20
4Shots on target10
1Big chances7
5Corners6
Shots
8Shots off target7
2Blocked shots3
12Shots inside box16
2Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork3
1Big chances scored4
0Big chances missed3
-1.28Goals prevented-0.51
Attack
20Touches in box45
46Final third entries43
15Free kicks7
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
348Passes406
285Accurate passes348
16/36 (44%)Long balls22/41 (54%)
5/17 (29%)Crosses4/19 (21%)
20Throw-ins10
Duels
57Duels43
32/59 (54%)Ground duels27/59 (46%)
12/18 (67%)Aerial duels6/18 (33%)
5/15 (33%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)
7Dispossessed5
Defending
12Tackles17
50Tackles won47
8Interceptions7
19Clearances22
37Recoveries35
Discipline
9Fouls15
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves2
1Big saves1
4Goal kicks14
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers
Who winsRaków to win (DNB) 68% · 1.52 @ Betano
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 1.61 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55%
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78%
1X2Draw 27% · 3.40 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67%
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55%
1X2Raków to win 45% · 2.05 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57%
1X2Jagiellonia to win 28% · 3.30 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68%
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.05
Raków Częstochowa
3.40
Draw
3.30
Jagiellonia Białystok
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.22
No
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
Raków Częstochowa
2.55
Jagiellonia Białystok
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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