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Aleksandar Vuković
Widzew Łódź
Lech Poznań
Widzew Łódź
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2
Lech Poznań
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
67634 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
52.6%
-46.4 vs price
Draw
70.0 · implied 1.4%
41.1%
+39.7 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.7%
+6.6 vs price
Half time
313 EUR
Draw
2.58 · implied 38.8%
98.9%
+60.1 vs price
Away
2.98 · implied 33.6%
0.6%
-32.9 vs price
Home
3.95 · implied 25.3%
0.3%
-25.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
4360 EUR · live
Over
1.09 · implied 91.7%
63.3%
-28.4 vs price
Under
12.0 · implied 8.3%
36.7%
+28.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
529 EUR · live
Under
1.4 · implied 71.4%
67.1%
-4.3 vs price
Over
3.55 · implied 28.2%
32.7%
+4.5 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
A. Kozubal · assist P. Wålemark0–1
22'
⚽
A. Sayyad · assist P. Wålemark0–2
27'
⚽
K. Świderski · assist M. Fornalczyk1–2
Half-time · 1–2
45'+1
Á. Baena · Foul
53'
⚽
M. Fornalczyk · assist S. Kapuadi2–2
68'
🔁
L. Palma ◂ Y. Agnero
70'
🔁
S. Bergier ◂ K. Świderski
70'
🔁
G. Papanikolaou ◂ E. Kornvig
70'
R. Murawski · Foul
75'
🔁
F. Jagiełło ◂ P. Rodríguez
75'
🔁
G. Berggren ◂ R. Murawski
81'
🔁
S. Biuk ◂ M. Fornalczyk
86'
🔁
A. Klukowski ◂ F. Álvarez
88'
🔁
W. Szymczak ◂ P. Wålemark
Full-time · 2–3
90'+1
VAR
Penalty not given after review · M. Żyro
90'+6
⚽
L. Palma2–3
90'+7
L. Palma
Coaches
Aleksandar VukovićNiels Frederiksen 
Recent form
Widzew ŁódźDAŚląsk Wrocław3-3
LHMKS Korona Kielce1-2
WAJagiellonia Białystok2-0
DAWisła Płock0-0
DHMotor Lublin2-2
Lech PoznańDAFC Thun2-2
WHFC Thun7-0
WAKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag5-0
WHPiast Gliwice3-0
WHKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag1-0
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Widzewa Łódź
City
Lodz
Kickoff
30 Aug, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
Widzew Łódź
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2
Lech Poznań
1
B. Drągowski
6.5
91
M. Krajewski
6.0
4
M. Żyro
6.1
3
S. Kapuadi
6.7
40
M. García
5.9
18
L. Selahi
6.9
77
Á. Baena
6.4
20
A. Klukowski
6.2
↑ 86'
5
G. Papanikolaou
6.7
↑ 70'
79
S. Biuk
6.5
↑ 81'
99
S. Bergier
6.4
↑ 70'
1
M. Lis
7.3
2
J. Pereira
5.6
27
W. Mońka
7.0
59
T. Yegbe
6.6
15
M. Gurgul
6.2
56
W. Szymczak
6.5
↑ 88'
5
G. Berggren
6.5
↑ 75'
43
A. Kozubal
7.3
17
A. Sayyad
7.5
77
L. Palma
7.1
↑ 68'
24
F. Jagiełło
6.8
↑ 75'
Substitutes
30GV. Ilić
33GJ. Krzywański
14DR. Visus
7MM. Fornalczyk↓ 81'8.5
8ME. Kornvig↓ 70'6.8
10MF. Álvarez↓ 86'6.4
19MD. Maleš
28FK. Świderski↓ 70'7.5
Coach: Aleksandar Vuković
Substitutes
33GM. Pruchniewski
72DM. Skrzypczak
20DR. Gumny
10MP. Wålemark↓ 88'7.1
21MP. Rodríguez↓ 75'6.8
22MR. Murawski↓ 75'6.5
53MK. Delikat
7FY. Agnero↓ 68'6.7
Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Top stats
38%Possession62%
0.8Expected goals (xG)1.89
14Total shots14
7Shots on target9
1Big chances3
7Corners9
Shots
6Shots off target1
1Blocked shots4
5Shots inside box8
9Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored2
0Big chances missed1
0.19Goals prevented-0.29
Attack
15Touches in box23
57Final third entries56
2Offsides2
14Free kicks7
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
281Passes462
212Accurate passes384
23/60 (38%)Long balls15/39 (38%)
2/17 (12%)Crosses4/21 (19%)
8Throw-ins29
Duels
47Duels53
26/53 (49%)Ground duels27/53 (51%)
11/26 (42%)Aerial duels15/26 (58%)
1/4 (25%)Dribbles10/17 (59%)
7Dispossessed7
Defending
14Tackles11
64Tackles won45
6Interceptions3
34Clearances33
45Recoveries38
Discipline
7Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
6Saves5
3Big saves2
7Goal kicks9
1Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsLech to win (DNB) 62% · 1.61 @ 888Sport
1X2Lech to win 43% · 2.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.76 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.65 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.40 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.86 @ 1xBet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.70 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 2.07 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 66% · 1.48 @ 10bet
1X2Widzew to win 31% · 3.20 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.92
Widzew Łódź
3.60
Draw
2.16
Lech Poznań
Double Chanceconsensus
1.62
Widzew Łódź or Draw
1.25
Widzew Łódź or Lech Poznań
1.35
Draw or Lech Poznań
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.55
Yes
2.35
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.40
YES
1.28
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.78
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.27
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
13.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50
4.33
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.65
Over 2.50
2.20
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.62
Over 3.50
1.46
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.78
Over 4.50
1.17
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.20
Widzew Łódź
1.60
Lech Poznań
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.45
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.59
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.04
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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