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Adam Majewski
Wisła Płock
MKS Korona Kielce
Wisła Płock
3-4-3 · 4-3-3
MKS Korona Kielce
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
40838 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
84.4%
-14.6 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.4%
+10.3 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
5.6%
+5.5 vs price
Half time
728 EUR · live
Away
4.8 · implied 20.8%
65.0%
+44.1 vs price
Draw
1.85 · implied 54.1%
32.0%
-22.1 vs price
Home
3.45 · implied 29.0%
2.8%
-26.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
32576 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
60.8%
-34.4 vs price
Over
15.5 · implied 6.5%
39.2%
+32.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8543 EUR · live
Under
1.11 · implied 90.1%
98.1%
+8.0 vs price
Over
9.2 · implied 10.9%
1.9%
-8.9 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
21'
⚽
M. Fassbender · assist W. Długosz0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
D. Gallapeni · Foul
49'
⚽
M. Stępiński · assist W. Długosz0–2
56'
🔁
Ł. Sekulski ◂ S. Hamulić
56'
🔁
O. Kobacki ◂ D. Gallapeni
67'
🔁
F. Hiszpański ◂ Jime
75'
🔁
D. Bąk ◂ M. Stępiński
76'
🔁
Nono ◂ M. Remacle
82'
🔁
D. Jurić ◂ K. Pomorski
85'
🔁
K. Ciszek ◂ M. Fassbender
88'
🔁
C. Sotiriou ◂ N. Barczak
Full-time · 0–2
Coaches
Adam MajewskiJacek Zielinski 
Recent form
Wisła PłockLAGKS Katowice0-5
LAWisła Kraków1-2
DHWidzew Łódź0-0
WARaków Częstochowa2-1
WHPelikan Łowicz3-2
MKS Korona KielceDHMotor Lublin1-1
WAWidzew Łódź2-1
DHLegia Warszawa1-1
WHAris Limassol1-0
LAJagiellonia Białystok0-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport Premium 2
Arena Sport 3 HR
Arena 5 Premium
Arena 5 PremiumArena Sport Premium 2
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Arena 5 PremiumArena Sport Premium 2
fuboTV
Match facts
Stadium
Orlen Arena
City
Plock
Kickoff
28 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Wisła Płock
3-4-3 · 4-3-3
MKS Korona Kielce
12
R. Leszczyński
6.7
4
M. Haglind Sangre
6.4
35
M. Kamiński
6.4
34
A. Silva
8.2
21
Ž. Rogelj
6.5
17
A. Radwanski
7.2
9
D. Jurić
6.3
↑ 82'
7
O. Kobacki
6.4
↑ 56'
16
F. Hiszpański
7.0
↑ 67'
20
Ł. Sekulski
6.9
↑ 56'
23
P. Kun
7.1
1
X. Dziekoński
9.4
71
W. Długosz
8.6
23
S. Rubežić
7.2
2
A. Mosór
7.7
6
M. Pieczek
6.9
35
K. Jakubczyk
7.0
10
Nono
6.6
↑ 76'
18
P. Hellebrand
7.0
44
C. Sotiriou
6.7
↑ 88'
99
D. Bąk
6.7
↑ 75'
21
K. Ciszek
6.7
↑ 85'
Substitutes
26GJ. Burek
19DD. Gallapeni↓ 56'7.0
41DM. Więckowski
44DP. Misiak
11MJime↓ 67'6.9
6MK. Pomorski↓ 82'6.3
24MN. Rogowski
91MG. Kuchko
10FS. Hamulić↓ 56'6.0
22FK. Błaszkiewicz
Coach: Adam Majewski
Substitutes
87GR. Mamla
67DN. Barczak↓ 88'7.0
24DB. Smolarczyk
8MM. Remacle↓ 76'7.0
11MK. Matuszewski
20MK. Minuczyc
9MS. Davidović
22FM. Fassbender↓ 85'7.5
14FM. Stępiński↓ 75'7.1
Coach: Jacek Zielinski
Top stats
58%Possession42%
2.25Expected goals (xG)0.92
18Total shots10
4Shots on target4
3Big chances1
10Corners0
Shots
8Shots off target5
6Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box7
2Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
3Big chances missed0
-0.37Goals prevented2.29
Attack
41Touches in box20
47Final third entries50
0Offsides1
14Free kicks17
4Fouled in final third1
Passing
466Passes362
389Accurate passes292
16/37 (43%)Long balls21/57 (37%)
8/42 (19%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
32Throw-ins14
Duels
49Duels51
34/72 (47%)Ground duels38/72 (53%)
17/33 (52%)Aerial duels16/33 (48%)
6/13 (46%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)
7Dispossessed8
Defending
14Tackles14
71Tackles won50
8Interceptions10
20Clearances48
39Recoveries40
Discipline
17Fouls14
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves4
6Goal kicks9
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.83 @ 10bet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65% · 1.44 @ Unibet
1X2Korona to win 36% · 2.95 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 29% · 2.40 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.29 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.50 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.21 @ 1xBet
Who winsWisła Płock to win (DNB) 52% · 1.95 @ Betway
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58% · 1.72 @ Pinnacle
1X2Wisła Płock to win 35% · 3.00 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.64
Wisła Płock
3.21
Draw
2.50
MKS Korona Kielce
Double Chanceconsensus
1.45
Wisła Płock or Draw
1.29
Wisła Płock or MKS Korona Kielce
1.43
Draw or MKS Korona Kielce
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.76
Yes
1.95
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.30
YES
1.28
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.20
YES
1.30
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.65
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.33
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.25
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.01
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.55
Over 3.50
1.27
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.12
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.92
Wisła Płock
1.80
MKS Korona Kielce
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.41
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.40
Over 8.50
2.56
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50
2.00
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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