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Leszek Ojrzynski
Zagłębie Lubin
Pogoń Szczecin
Zagłębie Lubin
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1
Pogoń Szczecin
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
46260 EUR · live
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
53.9%
-43.2 vs price
Home
30.0 · implied 3.3%
33.2%
+29.9 vs price
Away
230.0 · implied 0.4%
12.9%
+12.4 vs price
Half time
394 EUR · live
Draw
2.4 · implied 41.7%
99.9%
+58.2 vs price
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
23.8%
0.0 vs price
Away
3.15 · implied 31.7%
13.4%
-18.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
11221 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.0%
-12.1 vs price
Over
65.0 · implied 1.5%
13.1%
+11.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4033 EUR · live
Under
1.07 · implied 93.5%
94.2%
+0.7 vs price
Over
15.0 · implied 6.7%
5.8%
-0.8 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
23'
F. Čuić · Violent conduct
25'
F. Kocaba · Argument
25'
V. Cojocaru · Argument
27'
M. Kosidis · Foul
31'
K. Nowogonski · Foul
33'
K. Acosta · Foul
44'
R. Yakuba · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
S. Kerk ◂ K. Nowogonski
46'
🔁
B. Mendy ◂ D. Churlinov
47'
B. Mendy · Foul
52'
O. Garcia · Argument
63'
🔁
F. Ulvestad ◂ K. Acosta
69'
🔁
J. Sypek ◂ M. Mlinarić
69'
🔁
F. Szymczak ◂ M. Kosidis
74'
🔁
J. Biegański ◂ M. Wojciechowski
84'
🔁
S. Łyczko ◂ M. Grzybek
Full-time · 0–0
90'+2
🔁
M. Juwara ◂ P. Mukairu
Coaches
Leszek OjrzynskiOscar Garcia 
Recent form
Zagłębie LubinDARadomiak Radom0-0
WHŚląsk Wrocław2-1
LALegia Warszawa1-3
WHPiast Gliwice2-0
WHChrobry Głogów3-0
Pogoń SzczecinDHWisła Kraków2-2
WHMotor Lublin3-1
WAKS Cracovia2-0
LHLegia Warszawa0-1
LASK Sturm Graz0-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport 4 HR
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Match facts
Stadium
KGHM Zagłębie Arena
City
Lubin
Kickoff
29 Aug, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
Zagłębie Lubin
3-4-2-1 · 4-1-4-1
Pogoń Szczecin
33
Z. Alomerović
6.9
5
A. Ławniczak
8.4
4
D. Michalski
7.4
3
R. Yakuba
6.6
19
S. Łyczko
6.5
↑ 84'
26
J. Kolan
8.4
39
F. Kocaba
7.2
37
S. Kerk
6.9
↑ 46'
44
M. Regula
7.2
7
J. Sypek
6.5
↑ 69'
18
F. Szymczak
6.4
↑ 69'
77
V. Cojocaru
8.9
15
H. Ali
6.8
13
D. Keramitsis
6.9
41
A. Szalai
6.2
4
L. Borges
7.1
16
P. Dziczek
7.7
7
M. Juwara
↑ 90'
8
F. Ulvestad
6.6
↑ 63'
6
J. Biegański
6.7
↑ 74'
23
B. Mendy
6.6
↑ 46'
10
F. Čuić
3.5
Top stats
63%Possession37%
1.37Expected goals (xG)0.82
16Total shots8
6Shots on target1
3Big chances1
2Corners3
Shots
10Shots off target5
0Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box6
7Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed1
0.03Goals prevented1.28
Attack
30Touches in box18
58Final third entries51
1Offsides1
16Free kicks13
5Fouled in final third1
Passing
463Passes271
386Accurate passes180
41/65 (63%)Long balls21/65 (32%)
8/30 (27%)Crosses4/16 (25%)
18Throw-ins21
Duels
51Duels49
25/57 (44%)Ground duels32/57 (56%)
26/43 (60%)Aerial duels17/43 (40%)
4/7 (57%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
10Dispossessed3
Defending
7Tackles13
57Tackles won62
10Interceptions3
27Clearances30
34Recoveries32
Discipline
13Fouls16
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
0Big saves2
8Goal kicks17
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.33 @ 1xBet
1X2Pogoń to win 35% · 3.00 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.20 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.36 @ 10bet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.12 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle
Who winsZagłębie to win (DNB) 51% · 1.85 @ 10bet
1X2Zagłębie to win 37% · 2.80 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.51
Zagłębie Lubin
3.30
Draw
2.60
Pogoń Szczecin
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Zagłębie Lubin or Draw
1.28
Zagłębie Lubin or Pogoń Szczecin
1.46
Draw or Pogoń Szczecin
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.72
Yes
2.00
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.40
YES
1.28
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.55
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.55
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.28
Over 1.50
3.55
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.90
Over 2.50
1.89
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.21
Over 3.50
1.31
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.09
Over 4.50
1.09
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.83
Zagłębie Lubin
1.88
Pogoń Szczecin
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.17
Over 7.50
3.79
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.83
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.59
Over 9.50
2.18
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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