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Jacek Zielinski
MKS Korona Kielce
Wisła Kraków
MKS Korona Kielce
4-2-3-1 · 4-5-1
Wisła Kraków
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
33651 EUR · live
Home
21.0 · implied 4.8%
70.2%
+65.4 vs price
Draw
1.1 · implied 90.9%
25.1%
-65.8 vs price
Away
23.0 · implied 4.3%
4.7%
+0.4 vs price
Half time
151 EUR
Draw
2.4 · implied 41.7%
99.7%
+58.0 vs price
Home
0.0%
Away
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
22514 EUR · live
Under
1.08 · implied 92.6%
68.3%
-24.3 vs price
Over
12.5 · implied 8.0%
31.7%
+23.7 vs price
10 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
4'
J. Igbekeme · Foul
24'
⚽
O. Lingr1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
Á. Rodado ◂ J. Igbekeme
49'
J. Ertlthaler · Foul
58'
🔁
M. Ameyaw ◂ M. Fassbender
58'
🔁
K. Matuszewski ◂ K. Ciszek
62'
🔁
M. Carbo ◂ J. Ertlthaler
63'
🔁
M. Kuziemka ◂ E. Youan
67'
🔁
D. Bąk ◂ M. Stępiński
67'
🔁
N. Barczak ◂ O. Lingr
73'
🔁
R. Mikulec ◂ M. Božić
78'
🔁
V. Meseguer ◂ K. Duda
80'
W. Długosz · Argument
80'
J. Sánchez · Foul
84'
V. Meseguer · Foul
84'
🔁
Nono ◂ M. Remacle
Full-time · 1–1
90'+2
⚽
A. Uryga · assist J. Sánchez1–1
90'+3
S. Rubežić · Foul
Coaches
Mariusz Jop 
Recent form
WAWidzew Łódź1-0
WAWisła Płock2-0
DHMotor Lublin1-1
WAWidzew Łódź2-1
DHLegia Warszawa1-1
LAOKS Odra Opole1-2
WHWieczysta Kraków2-0
DAPogoń Szczecin2-2
LAGórnik Zabrze1-2
WHWisła Płock2-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport 8 HR
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Exbud Arena
City
Kielce
Kickoff
05 Sep, 15:30 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
1
X. Dziekoński
6.1
71
W. Długosz
7.9
23
S. Rubežić
7.4
2
A. Mosór
6.5
11
K. Matuszewski
6.2
↑ 58'
18
P. Hellebrand
7.4
35
K. Jakubczyk
7.0
67
N. Barczak
6.1
↑ 67'
10
Nono
6.5
↑ 84'
19
M. Ameyaw
6.3
↑ 58'
99
D. Bąk
6.2
↑ 67'
1
M. Łubik
9.3
34
R. Giger
7.0
6
A. Uryga
7.9
29
D. Grujčić
7.1
52
J. Krzyzanowski
6.4
51
M. Kuziemka
6.8
↑ 63'
9
Á. Rodado
6.8
↑ 46'
8
M. Carbo
7.0
↑ 62'
23
V. Meseguer
6.4
↑ 78'
4
R. Mikulec
6.7
↑ 73'
11
J. Sánchez
6.6
Top stats
39%Possession61%
1.14Expected goals (xG)1.35
9Total shots21
5Shots on target3
2Big chances2
5Corners6
Shots
4Shots off target14
0Blocked shots4
7Shots inside box13
2Shots outside box8
2Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed1
-0.8Goals prevented2.2
Attack
21Touches in box33
35Final third entries50
2Offsides0
17Free kicks16
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
276Passes450
213Accurate passes379
19/46 (41%)Long balls14/31 (45%)
2/17 (12%)Crosses5/14 (36%)
16Throw-ins22
Duels
46Duels54
43/93 (46%)Ground duels50/93 (54%)
14/32 (44%)Aerial duels18/32 (56%)
6/17 (35%)Dribbles18/28 (64%)
7Dispossessed11
Defending
21Tackles18
57Tackles won61
10Interceptions4
30Clearances24
42Recoveries41
Discipline
16Fouls17
2Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
2Big saves2
13Goal kicks5
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.79 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.41 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.00 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.98 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ 10bet
1X2Wisła Kraków to win 31% · 3.24 @ 1xBet
Who winsKorona to win (DNB) 58% · 1.65 @ 10bet
1X2Korona to win 42% · 2.60 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.48 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.71 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.20
MKS Korona Kielce
3.45
Draw
2.96
Wisła Kraków
Double Chanceconsensus
1.35
MKS Korona Kielce or Draw
1.25
MKS Korona Kielce or Wisła Kraków
1.60
Draw or Wisła Kraków
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.20
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
3.40
YES
1.28
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.17
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.90
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.45
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
4.16
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.70
Over 2.50
2.09
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.75
Over 3.50
1.41
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.38
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.62
MKS Korona Kielce
2.20
Wisła Kraków
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.55
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.38
Over 8.50
2.64
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.71
Over 9.50
2.02
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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