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Mariusz Misiura
Motor Lublin
Legia Warszawa
Motor Lublin
4-5-1 · 3-4-2-1
Legia Warszawa
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
74896 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
58.9%
-38.2 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
28.8%
+28.7 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
13.1%
+10.2 vs price
Half time
208 EUR · live
Draw
2.48 · implied 40.3%
79.6%
+39.3 vs price
Home
4.7 · implied 21.3%
14.4%
-6.9 vs price
Away
2.78 · implied 36.0%
5.3%
-30.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
16885 EUR · live
Under
2.44 · implied 41.0%
68.5%
+27.5 vs price
Over
1.7 · implied 58.8%
31.5%
-27.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5132 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
94.2%
+3.3 vs price
Over
11.0 · implied 9.1%
5.8%
-3.3 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
13'
B. Kapustka · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
45'
⚽
R. Augustyniak (pen)0–1
61'
🔁
Y. Bourhane ◂ P. Meyer
65'
🔁
H. Arreiol ◂ W. Urbański
65'
⚽
K. Czubak · assist K. Lukoszek1–1
66'
🔁
R. Adamski ◂ M. Ševčík
68'
⚽
K. Czubak · assist M. Ndiaye2–1
71'
🔁
Ł. Zjawiński ◂ J. Kuchta
71'
🔁
J. Żewłakow ◂ M. Szczepaniak
71'
🔁
M. Aïko ◂ F. Ronaldo
78'
M. Łęgowski · Foul
80'
🔁
A. Reca ◂ Z. Arsenić
Full-time · 2–3
90'+4
🔁
T. Santos ◂ K. Lukoszek
90'+4
🔁
C. Simon ◂ M. Łęgowski
90'+4
🔁
M. K. Bartoš ◂ B. Bereszyński
90'+5
⚽
J. Żewłakow2–2
90'+11
⚽
J. Żewłakow · assist R. Vinagre2–3
90'+12
J. Żewłakow
90'+14
R. Adamski · Foul
Coaches
Mariusz MisiuraMarek Papszun 
Recent form
Motor LublinWHLegia Warszawa3-0
LHPiast Gliwice0-2
DAMKS Korona Kielce1-1
WHGKS Katowice1-0
LAPogoń Szczecin1-3
Legia WarszawaLAMotor Lublin0-3
DHŚląsk Wrocław1-1
DAPiast Gliwice1-1
WHRadomiak Radom5-0
DAMKS Korona Kielce1-1
Where to watch
Arena Sport 5 HR
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Lublin
City
Lublin
Kickoff
05 Sep, 18:15 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
Motor Lublin
4-5-1 · 3-4-2-1
Legia Warszawa
33
G. Tratnik
6.6
29
T. Santos
6.0
↑ 90'
39
M. K. Bartoš
5.9
↑ 90'
4
T. Plavotić
6.2
24
F. Luberecki
5.7
30
M. Ndiaye
6.6
8
C. Simon
6.5
↑ 90'
27
Y. Bourhane
6.5
↑ 61'
7
I. Rodrigues
6.5
70
M. Aïko
6.6
↑ 71'
10
K. Czubak
8.9
89
O. Hindrich
7.7
91
K. Piątkowski
6.5
8
R. Augustyniak
8.2
13
A. Reca
6.8
↑ 80'
11
K. Chodyna
6.1
6
H. Arreiol
6.5
↑ 65'
67
B. Kapustka
7.0
19
R. Vinagre
7.2
9
R. Adamski
6.3
↑ 66'
20
J. Żewłakow
8.3
↑ 71'
79
Ł. Zjawiński
6.5
↑ 71'
Top stats
48%Possession52%
1.48Expected goals (xG)2.26
13Total shots10
6Shots on target6
4Big chances4
5Corners2
Shots
2Shots off target2
5Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box7
3Shots outside box3
2Big chances scored3
2Big chances missed1
-0.67Goals prevented0.14
Attack
28Touches in box14
57Final third entries44
2Offsides1
14Free kicks17
3Fouled in final third4
Passing
412Passes451
342Accurate passes390
33/65 (51%)Long balls15/40 (38%)
3/19 (16%)Crosses4/11 (36%)
16Throw-ins13
Duels
47Duels53
42/89 (47%)Ground duels47/89 (53%)
10/21 (48%)Aerial duels11/21 (52%)
9/25 (36%)Dribbles5/12 (42%)
8Dispossessed13
Defending
20Tackles24
65Tackles won42
5Interceptions7
17Clearances24
42Recoveries52
Discipline
18Fouls14
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves4
0Big saves2
8Goal kicks3
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsLegia to win (DNB) 60% · 1.50 @ Bet365
1X2Legia to win 47% · 2.30 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 4.20 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 2.00 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.62 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 26% · 2.70 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 2.00 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.45 @ Unibet
1X2Motor to win 26% · 3.68 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.54
Motor Lublin
3.56
Draw
1.95
Legia Warszawa
Double Chanceconsensus
1.80
Motor Lublin or Draw
1.25
Motor Lublin or Legia Warszawa
1.25
Draw or Legia Warszawa
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.62
Yes
2.18
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
4.75
YES
1.15
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
2.90
YES
1.36
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
3.55
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50
4.14
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.73
Over 2.50
2.08
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.84
Over 3.50
1.41
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.35
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.50
Motor Lublin
1.46
Legia Warszawa
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.30
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.46
Over 8.50
2.47
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.82
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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