Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Pogoń's the heavy favorite here, and Wisła Płock's form is genuinely alarming.** A 5-0 hammering last time out says it all — this feels like a mismatch on paper. 🔴
Pogoń bounced back from that loss to Śląsk with a solid draw at Lubin, staying in the mix. Wisła, meanwhile, are leaking goals and losing confidence fast — only one win in five is a recipe for trouble in the Ekstraklasa.
Key storylines:
- **Pogoń's offense vs. Wisła's creaky defense** — the hosts have **M. Juwara** and **J. Nsamé** ready to punish sloppy backlines, and Płock gave up five to Katowice just last time.
- **Midfield control** — **P. Dziczek** and **K. Acosta** should dominate possession for the home side without much resistance.
- **Wisła's survival instinct** — if **S. Hamulić** or **A. Radwanski** can spark anything in the final third, it might make for a slightly tighter affair.
Expected lineups:
- **Pogoń Szczecin**: V. Cojocaru, L. Borges, D. Keramitsis, A. Szalai, L. Wahlqvist, P. Dziczek, K. Acosta, P. Mukairu, F. Ulvestad, M. Juwara, J. Nsamé
- **Wisła Płock**: R. Leszczyński, M. Haglind Sangre, M. Kamiński, A. Silva, P. Kun, Ž. Rogelj, Jime, K. Pomorski, O. Kobacki, S. Hamulić, A. Radwanski
Prediction:
**Pogoń 3-0 Wisła Płock** — hosts should cruise with their class advantage and Wisła's defensive fragility. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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