Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Wisła's home fortress meets an absolutely **firing** Jagiellonia side** — this has upset alert written all over it. 🔥
Wisła are stuttering at home (mixed form, three key injuries), while Jagiellonia just hammered Raków 5-2 and sit fourth in the table. The hosts' injury crisis and inconsistency could leave them vulnerable to Jagiellonia's free-flowing attack.
Key storylines:
- **Jagiellonia's momentum**: Four wins in five games — this team is rolling and clearly one of the league's best right now
- **Wisła's injury woes**: Missing **Omić**, **Duarte**, and **Lelieveld** at a crucial moment; depth will be tested hard
- **Home advantage hangover**: Wisła won just one of their last five; **Sánchez** and co. need to prove Stadion Miejski is still a fortress
Expected lineups:
- **Wisła Kraków**: M. Łubik, J. Krzyzanowski, A. Uryga, M. Maisonneuve, R. Giger, K. Duda, M. Carbo, M. Božić, J. Ertlthaler, M. Kuziemka, J. Sánchez
- **Jagiellonia Białystok**: S. Abramowicz, N. Wojtuszek, G. Montóia, Y. Kobayashi, B. Vital, T. Romanczuk, K. Szmyt, E. Kozlowski, N. Prelec, D. Rallis, Y. Sylla
Prediction:
**Jagiellonia 2–1 Wisła** — the visitors have too much momentum and Wisła's injuries bite them. Slight edge to the visitors. ⚪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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