Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Lech's home fortress meets a resurgent Radomiak side** — the hosts are due a morale boost after a rough spell, but they're walking into a side that's quietly clicking. 🔥
Lech have won three of their last five but just got hammered 4-0 at Crystal Palace, while Radomiak are oddly solid away from home (unbeaten in their last two trips). The head-to-head heavily favors Poznań, though; they've dominated this fixture historically. Still, Radomiak arrive without five first-team bodies and will need to be sharp on the counter.
Key storylines:
- **M. Ishak** and **P. Wålemark** carry Lech's attacking load with several defensive departures hampering the backline
- Radomiak's injury crisis could flip the script; **G. Luiz** and **F. Koperski** have to do heavy lifting up front
- Home-ground advantage at Enea Poznań has been a reliable edge for the hosts, but form suggests caution
Expected lineups:
- **Lech Poznań**: M. Lis, M. Gurgul, W. Mońka, M. Skrzypczak, J. Pereira, R. Murawski, G. Berggren, A. Sayyad, P. Rodríguez, P. Wålemark, M. Ishak
- **Radomiak Radom**: F. Majchrowicz, Luquinhas, K. Szcześniak, Z. Ouattara, J. Grzesik, C. Donis, R. Wolski, I. Camará, R. Baró, F. Koperski, G. Luiz
Prediction:
**Lech 2–0 Radomiak**. Home side gets the job done, though it won't be pretty given their defensive reshuffles. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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