Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Kielce are flying, Raków are spiralling** — one side's got momentum on lock, the other's barely found the net. This looks like a home-cook special. 🔥
**Korona** have won three of their last five and just edged Śląsk away, while **Raków** are limping along at 1W in their last five and got thumped by Zagłębie at home. The form gap is real, and Kielce's got the crowd behind them.
Key storylines:
- **Korona's attacking depth** with Stępiński and Lingr should feast on a Raków defense missing Adriano and struggling for cohesion
- **Raków's away woes** — they haven't found a rhythm and travel to a hostile Exbud Arena down confidence
- **Head-to-head edge to the visitors** historically, but recent form says ignore the stat sheet
Expected lineups:
- **MKS Korona Kielce**: Dziekoński, Mosór, Rubežić, Pieczek, Sotiriou, Hellebrand, Długosz, Stępiński, Jakubczyk, Fassbender, Lingr
- **Raków Częstochowa**: Trelowski, Racovițan, Svarnas, Napieraj, Didí Gaucho, Brorsson, Struski, Silva, Makuch, Diaby, Emreli
Prediction:
**Korona 2-0 Raków**. Home form and Raków's current dysfunction hand this to Kielce.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.