Jagiellonia Białystok 1-3 Górnik Zabrze: Stats

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Jagiellonia Białystok 1-3 Górnik Zabrze.

90+14'

K. Urbański

Goal! Jagiellonia Białystok 1-3 Górnik Zabrze. K. Urbański (Górnik Zabrze) scores.

90+9'

N. Prelec

Substitution, Jagiellonia Białystok: ? comes on for N. Prelec.

90+5'

Y. Kobayashi

Yellow card for Y. Kobayashi (Jagiellonia Białystok) for foul.

90+5'

P. Bernardo

Substitution, Górnik Zabrze: K. Urbański comes on for P. Bernardo.

90+3'

M. Højholt

Yellow card for M. Højholt (Górnik Zabrze) for foul.

90+2'

N. Prelec

Attempt saved. N. Prelec (Jagiellonia Białystok), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90'

12 minutes of added time.

88'

A. Ćirković

Attempt missed. A. Ćirković (Jagiellonia Białystok), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

84'

R. Conceição

Substitution, Jagiellonia Białystok: K. Jóźwiak comes on for R. Conceição.

83'

J. Kubicki

Yellow card for J. Kubicki (Górnik Zabrze) for foul.

75'

J. Imaz

VAR check complete: the goal for Jagiellonia Białystok stands.

73'

K. Szmyt

Substitution, Jagiellonia Białystok: A. Ćirković comes on for K. Szmyt.

71'

J. Agbonifo

Yellow card for J. Agbonifo (Jagiellonia Białystok) for argument.

71'

S. Liseth

Substitution, Górnik Zabrze: E. Prekop comes on for S. Liseth.

71'

M. Khlan

Substitution, Górnik Zabrze: Z. Inoussa comes on for M. Khlan.

68'

P. González

Attempt saved. P. González (Górnik Zabrze), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

67'

J. Imaz

Goal! Jagiellonia Białystok 1-2 Górnik Zabrze. J. Imaz (Jagiellonia Białystok) scores.

66'

S. Lozano

Substitution, Jagiellonia Białystok: J. Agbonifo comes on for S. Lozano.

65'

O. Sow

Substitution, Jagiellonia Białystok: F. Klynge comes on for O. Sow.

65'

C. Polak

Substitution, Jagiellonia Białystok: B. Wdowik comes on for C. Polak.

63'

Górnik Zabrze

Corner, Górnik Zabrze.

61'

Górnik Zabrze

Corner, Górnik Zabrze.

58'

S. Liseth

Goal! Jagiellonia Białystok 0-2 Górnik Zabrze. S. Liseth (Górnik Zabrze) scores.

58'

Josema

Attempt blocked. Josema (Górnik Zabrze), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.10.

58'

Y. I. Dimi

Substitution, Górnik Zabrze: P. González comes on for Y. I. Dimi.

57'

Y. I. Dimi

Attempt blocked. Y. I. Dimi (Górnik Zabrze), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

57'

P. Bernardo

Attempt saved. P. Bernardo (Górnik Zabrze), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

57'

Górnik Zabrze

Corner, Górnik Zabrze.

55'

R. Conceição

Attempt blocked. R. Conceição (Jagiellonia Białystok), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

53'

S. Liseth

Attempt blocked. S. Liseth (Górnik Zabrze), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

51'

Y. I. Dimi

Attempt blocked. Y. I. Dimi (Górnik Zabrze), header. xG 0.04.

51'

J. Kubicki

Goal! Jagiellonia Białystok 0-1 Górnik Zabrze. J. Kubicki (Górnik Zabrze) scores, assisted by S. Liseth.

50'

R. Conceição

Attempt missed. R. Conceição (Jagiellonia Białystok), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

49'

Górnik Zabrze

Corner, Górnik Zabrze.

48'

K. Szmyt

Attempt missed. K. Szmyt (Jagiellonia Białystok), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

47'

O. Zmrzlý

Yellow card for O. Zmrzlý (Górnik Zabrze) for foul.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Jagiellonia Białystok 0-0 Górnik Zabrze.

45'

0 minutes of added time.

42'

M. Højholt

Attempt missed. M. Højholt (Górnik Zabrze), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

40'

Górnik Zabrze

Corner, Górnik Zabrze.

40'

P. Bernardo

Attempt saved. P. Bernardo (Górnik Zabrze), left-footed shot. xG 0.36.

40'

P. Bernardo

Attempt saved. P. Bernardo (Górnik Zabrze), header. xG 0.04.

38'

R. Janicki

Yellow card for R. Janicki (Górnik Zabrze) for foul.

35'

Jagiellonia Białystok

Offside, Jagiellonia Białystok.

28'

B. Vital

Attempt blocked. B. Vital (Jagiellonia Białystok), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

28'

K. Szmyt

Attempt blocked. K. Szmyt (Jagiellonia Białystok), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

27'

J. Imaz

Attempt saved. J. Imaz (Jagiellonia Białystok), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

27'

Górnik Zabrze

Corner, Górnik Zabrze.

23'

Y. I. Dimi

Attempt saved. Y. I. Dimi (Górnik Zabrze), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

20'

B. Vital

Attempt missed. B. Vital (Jagiellonia Białystok), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

17'

M. Khlan

Attempt saved. M. Khlan (Górnik Zabrze), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

14'

Y. I. Dimi

Attempt missed. Y. I. Dimi (Górnik Zabrze), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

11'

Górnik Zabrze

Corner, Górnik Zabrze.

4'

Jagiellonia Białystok

Offside, Jagiellonia Białystok.

2'

S. Lozano

Attempt missed. S. Lozano (Jagiellonia Białystok), right-footed shot. xG 0.18.

1'

Kick-off: Jagiellonia Białystok vs Górnik Zabrze.

Where the money is

140547 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 42223 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

62.4%

-36.6 vs price

Draw 800.0 · implied 0.1%

22.2%

+22.0 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

15.6%

+15.5 vs price

Half time 464 EUR · live

Home 3.6 · implied 27.8%

45.2%

+17.5 vs price

Draw 2.36 · implied 42.4%

42.4%

+0.1 vs price

Away 3.55 · implied 28.2%

12.1%

-16.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 16195 EUR · live

Under 2.62 · implied 38.2%

70.1%

+32.0 vs price

Over 1.61 · implied 62.1%

31.8%

-30.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2731 EUR · live

Under 1.1 · implied 90.9%

98.0%

+7.1 vs price

Over 9.4 · implied 10.6%

2.0%

-8.6 vs price

11 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

38' R. Janicki · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

47' O. Zmrzlý · Foul

51' ⚽ J. Kubicki · assist S. Liseth0–1

58' ⚽ S. Liseth0–2

58' 🔁 P. González ◂ Y. I. Dimi

65' 🔁 B. Wdowik ◂ C. Polak

65' 🔁 F. Klynge ◂ O. Sow

66' 🔁 J. Agbonifo ◂ S. Lozano

67' ⚽ J. Imaz1–2

71' 🔁 Z. Inoussa ◂ M. Khlan

71' 🔁 E. Prekop ◂ S. Liseth

71' J. Agbonifo · Argument

73' 🔁 A. Ćirković ◂ K. Szmyt

75' VAR Goal not given after review · J. Imaz

83' J. Kubicki · Foul

84' 🔁 K. Jóźwiak ◂ R. Conceição

Full-time · 1–3

90'⁺³ M. Højholt · Foul

90'⁺⁵ 🔁 K. Urbański ◂ P. Bernardo

90'⁺⁵ Y. Kobayashi · Foul

90'⁺⁹ 🔁 ◂ N. Prelec

90'⁺¹⁴ ⚽ K. Urbański1–3

Coaches

Mikołaj Łuczak

Michal Gasparik

Recent form

Jagiellonia Białystok

LHPolonia Warszawa1-2

WHFK Sūduva Marijampolė5-0

LHLegia Warszawa1-3

LAOlympiacos FC1-2

LAWisła Kraków0-2

Górnik Zabrze

LHOKS Odra Opole0-2

DAMotor Lublin0-0

WAMKS Korona Kielce2-0

WHLech Poznań2-1

WAKS Cracovia1-0

About this match

**Jagiellonia's crashing back to earth, and Górnik's the perfect test.** The hosts are 1-4 in their last five after that blip vs Legia; the visitors just won three on the bounce and **smell blood** 🔴

Form's brutal for Białystok at home right now, but Górnik flipped a switch lately — they've only dropped points once in five games. **Head-to-head says it's dead even** historically, so this genuinely feels like a toss-up.

Key storylines:

- **Jagiellonia need a statement win** at Chorten Arena to stop the slide, especially with **O. Sow sidelined** by injury
- **Górnik's momentum is real** — three wins in five, and they're not coming to lie down
- **Romanczuk and Bernardo** will be the midfield pivot battle that decides tempo and control

Expected lineups:

- **Jagiellonia Białystok**: Abramowicz, Montóia, Vital, Konstantopoulos, Conceição, Imaz, Romanczuk, Klynge, Szmyt, Prelec, Sylla
- **Górnik Zabrze**: Schulze, Sáček, Janicki, Josema, Janža, Khlan, Bernardo, Kubicki, Antiste, Urbański, Prekop

Prediction:

**1-1 draw** — Jagiellonia can't quite click offensively at home, Górnik holds firm on the road. Classic midtable standoff. ⚪

Where to watch

beIN Sports Xtra

Match facts

Stadium

Chorten Arena

City

Bialystok

Referee

Wojciech Myc

4.04 yellows/match · 46 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 18:15 UTC

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Highlights & clips

Jagiellonia Białystok 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1 Górnik Zabrze

50 S. Abramowicz 7.5 72 K. Jóźwiak 6.7 ↑ 84' 5 B. Vital 7.7 4 Y. Kobayashi 6.8 20 B. Wdowik 6.3 ↑ 65' 14 H. Finndell 6.0 10 J. Agbonifo 6.6 ↑ 66' 19 F. Klynge 6.2 ↑ 65' 11 J. Imaz 7.7 32 A. Ćirković 6.7 ↑ 73' 99 N. Prelec 6.9 1 P. Schulze 7.5 21 O. Zmrzlý 6.5 26 R. Janicki 6.7 20 Josema 6.8 64 E. Janža 7.1 6 M. Højholt 6.7 19 P. González 6.9 ↑ 58' 82 K. Urbański 7.5 ↑ 90' 14 J. Kubicki 6.8 27 Z. Inoussa 6.7 ↑ 71' 11 E. Prekop 6.9 ↑ 71'

Substitutes

1GM. Perchel 27DR. Conceição↓ 84'6.7 44DA. Konstantopoulos 23DG. Montóia 3DD. Stojinović 7MK. Szmyt↓ 73'6.9 21MS. Lozano↓ 66'6.8 2MC. Polak↓ 65'6.3 30MO. Sow↓ 65'6.3 85ME. Kozlowski 6MT. Romanczuk 9FD. Rallis

Coach: Mikołaj Łuczak

Substitutes

29GW. Kania 99GT. Loska 2DP. Warczak 4DP. Bochniewicz 33MM. Khlan↓ 71'6.8 8MP. Bernardo↓ 90'6.7 34MB. Durdov 23FS. Liseth↓ 71'8.4 7FY. I. Dimi↓ 58'6.7

Coach: Michal Gasparik

Top stats

57%Possession43%

0.57Expected goals (xG)2.12

11Total shots15

3Shots on target9

1Big chances4

4Corners4

Shots

5Shots off target2

3Blocked shots4

6Shots inside box14

5Shots outside box1

1Big chances scored3

1Big chances missed1

0.12Goals prevented-0.04

Attack

20Touches in box30

63Final third entries45

2Offsides1

18Free kicks13

Passing

496Passes371

400Accurate passes289

30/59 (51%)Long balls27/52 (52%)

2/10 (20%)Crosses4/16 (25%)

22Throw-ins15

Duels

54Duels46

42/76 (55%)Ground duels34/76 (45%)

15/29 (52%)Aerial duels14/29 (48%)

5/9 (56%)Dribbles10/16 (63%)

7Dispossessed13

Defending

19Tackles11

47Tackles won36

9Interceptions10

27Clearances22

51Recoveries55

Discipline

13Fouls18

2Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

6Saves3

1Big saves1

4Goal kicks8

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Jagiellonia 38%

27%

Górnik 35%

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.75 @ 1xBet

1X2Górnik to win 35% · 3.20 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 55% · 1.73 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 27% · 2.30 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.22 @ Bet365

Who winsJagiellonia to win (DNB) 60% · 1.91 @ 888Sport

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.73 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Bet365

1X2Jagiellonia to win 38% · 3.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.40

Jagiellonia Białystok

3.40

Draw

2.60

Górnik Zabrze

Double Chanceconsensus

1.44

Jagiellonia Białystok or Draw

1.29

Jagiellonia Białystok or Górnik Zabrze

1.50

Draw or Górnik Zabrze

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.15

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.73

Over 2.50

2.08

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.75

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.89

Jagiellonia Białystok

1.85

Górnik Zabrze

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

2.00

Over 9.50

1.73

Under 9.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

3.00

Jagiellonia Białystok

2.30

Draw

3.20

Górnik Zabrze

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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