Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor Lublin: Stats & xG – Oct 12, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor Lublin.

90+2'

C. Simon

Goal! Radomiak Radom 2-3 Motor Lublin. C. Simon (Motor Lublin) scores.

90+2'

Motor Lublin

Corner, Motor Lublin.

90+1'

M. Ndiaye

Attempt saved. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin), header. xG 0.07.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

87'

Y. Bourhane

Substitution, Motor Lublin: P. Meyer comes on for Y. Bourhane.

86'

M. K. Bartoš

Yellow card for M. K. Bartoš (Motor Lublin) for foul.

84'

Luquinhas

Yellow card for Luquinhas (Radomiak Radom) for time wasting.

83'

R. Lumungo

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: Manu comes on for R. Lumungo.

80'

S. Kingue

Goal! Radomiak Radom 2-2 Motor Lublin. S. Kingue (Radomiak Radom) scores, assisted by I. Camará.

78'

R. Lumungo

Attempt blocked. R. Lumungo (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

77'

R. Lopes

Substitution, Motor Lublin: M. Łęgowski comes on for R. Lopes.

76'

F. Ronaldo

Attempt saved. F. Ronaldo (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.17.

76'

R. Lopes

Attempt missed. R. Lopes (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

73'

R. Alves

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: I. Camará comes on for R. Alves.

72'

Radomiak Radom

Offside, Radomiak Radom.

70'

K. Czubak

Goal! Radomiak Radom 1-2 Motor Lublin. K. Czubak (Motor Lublin) converts the penalty.

66'

T. Plavotić

Attempt blocked. T. Plavotić (Motor Lublin), header from a corner. xG 0.34.

66'

R. Lopes

Attempt missed. R. Lopes (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

65'

Motor Lublin

Corner, Motor Lublin.

65'

M. K. Bartoš

Attempt saved. M. K. Bartoš (Motor Lublin), header from a throw-in. xG 0.08.

65'

K. Czubak

Cleared off the line! K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.15.

65'

F. Luberecki

Attempt blocked. F. Luberecki (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

62'

R. Wolski

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: A. Tapsoba comes on for R. Wolski.

61'

M. Aïko

Substitution, Motor Lublin: F. Ronaldo comes on for M. Aïko.

61'

B. Bereszyński

Substitution, Motor Lublin: M. K. Bartoš comes on for B. Bereszyński.

61'

F. Gouré

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: G. Luiz comes on for F. Gouré.

60'

R. Lopes

Attempt missed. R. Lopes (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

59'

M. Ndiaye

Attempt blocked. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin), header. xG 0.04.

53'

M. Ndiaye

Goal! Radomiak Radom 1-1 Motor Lublin. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin) scores, assisted by M. Aïko.

50'

R. Lopes

Attempt saved. R. Lopes (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

50'

M. Ndiaye

Attempt missed. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

46'

R. Lumungo

Attempt blocked. R. Lumungo (Radomiak Radom), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

46'

E. Baldé

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: Luquinhas comes on for E. Baldé.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Radomiak Radom 1-0 Motor Lublin.

45+1'

E. Baldé

Attempt blocked. E. Baldé (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

K. Czubak

Attempt blocked. K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), header. xG 0.03.

39'

Motor Lublin

Corner, Motor Lublin.

38'

M. Aïko

Yellow card for M. Aïko (Motor Lublin) for foul.

33'

C. Donis

Yellow card for C. Donis (Radomiak Radom) for foul.

29'

F. Luberecki

Attempt saved. F. Luberecki (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

28'

Motor Lublin

Corner, Motor Lublin.

27'

Motor Lublin

Corner, Motor Lublin.

27'

M. Ndiaye

Attempt missed. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

24'

F. Koperski

Goal! Radomiak Radom 1-0 Motor Lublin. F. Koperski (Radomiak Radom) scores, assisted by J. Grzesik.

24'

Motor Lublin

Corner, Motor Lublin.

23'

B. Bereszyński

Yellow card for B. Bereszyński (Motor Lublin) for foul.

20'

Radomiak Radom

Offside, Radomiak Radom.

18'

K. Lukoszek

Yellow card for K. Lukoszek (Motor Lublin) for handball.

15'

M. Ndiaye

Attempt missed. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

15'

C. Simon

Attempt saved. C. Simon (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

13'

Radomiak Radom

Offside, Radomiak Radom.

10'

K. Lukoszek

Attempt saved. K. Lukoszek (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

9'

C. Simon

Yellow card for C. Simon (Motor Lublin) for foul.

8'

J. Grzesik

Attempt missed. J. Grzesik (Radomiak Radom), header from a set piece. xG 0.02.

6'

C. Simon

Attempt missed. C. Simon (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

1'

Kick-off: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin.

Where the money is

150303 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 74260 EUR · live

Draw 27.0 · implied 3.7%

39.6%

+35.9 vs price

Away 1.03 · implied 97.1%

36.9%

-60.2 vs price

Home 990.0 · implied 0.1%

23.5%

+23.4 vs price

Half time 491 EUR · live

Away 3.55 · implied 28.2%

52.9%

+24.7 vs price

Home 4.2 · implied 23.8%

38.1%

+14.2 vs price

Draw 1.82 · implied 54.9%

8.8%

-46.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 19163 EUR · live

Over 1.66 · implied 60.2%

53.5%

-6.7 vs price

Under 2.52 · implied 39.7%

46.5%

+6.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 7341 EUR · live

Under 1.17 · implied 85.5%

98.6%

+13.1 vs price

Over 6.8 · implied 14.7%

1.4%

-13.3 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

9' C. Simon · Foul

18' K. Lukoszek · Handball

23' B. Bereszyński · Foul

24' ⚽ F. Koperski · assist J. Grzesik1–0

33' C. Donis · Foul

38' M. Aïko · Foul

Half-time · 1–0

46' 🔁 Luquinhas ◂ E. Baldé

53' ⚽ M. Ndiaye · assist M. Aïko1–1

61' 🔁 G. Luiz ◂ F. Gouré

61' 🔁 M. K. Bartoš ◂ B. Bereszyński

61' 🔁 F. Ronaldo ◂ M. Aïko

62' 🔁 A. Tapsoba ◂ R. Wolski

70' ⚽ K. Czubak (pen)1–2

73' 🔁 I. Camará ◂ R. Alves

77' 🔁 M. Łęgowski ◂ R. Lopes

80' ⚽ S. Kingue · assist I. Camará2–2

83' 🔁 Manu ◂ R. Lumungo

84' Luquinhas · Time wasting

86' M. K. Bartoš · Foul

87' 🔁 P. Meyer ◂ Y. Bourhane

Full-time · 2–3

90'⁺² ⚽ C. Simon2–3

Coaches

John Carver

Mariusz Misiura

Recent form

Radomiak Radom

WHPogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki7-2

LALech Poznań1-5

LHPiast Gliwice0-2

DAWidzew Łódź0-0

WAKorona II Kielce1-0

Motor Lublin

DHGórnik Zabrze0-0

LARaków Częstochowa1-2

LHLegia Warszawa2-3

WHLegia Warszawa3-0

LHPiast Gliwice0-2

About this match

**Radomiak's looking to bounce back hard after getting torn apart by Lech — Motor's basement-bound form makes this the perfect trap game to reset.** 🔴

Radomiak showed real volatility last time out (7-2 thrashing, then 1-5 collapse), but home turf and Motor's shaky away record could flip the script. Motor are winless in their last four and averaging goals against; Radomiak have the firepower to punish.

Key storylines:

- **Radomiak's attacking depth** — F. Koperski, F. Gouré, and R. Baró are all capable finishers on a roll at home
- **Motor's defensive leaks** — B. Bereszyński and co. have conceded in three of their last four, inviting trouble against a hungry host
- **Head-to-head chaos** — last four meetings split evenly (2 Radomiak wins, 2 draws), so anything's possible in these clashes

Expected lineups:

- **Radomiak Radom**: F. Majchrowicz, J. Grzesik, K. Szcześniak, A. Diéguez, Z. Ouattara, C. Donis, Luquinhas, I. Camará, R. Baró, F. Koperski, F. Gouré
- **Motor Lublin**: G. Tratnik, F. Luberecki, M. K. Bartoš, P. Meyer, B. Bereszyński, M. Łęgowski, F. Ronaldo, Y. Bourhane, C. Simon, M. Ndiaye, K. Czubak

Prediction:

**Radomiak 2-1 Motor.** Home-field aggression and Motor's soft defense seal it. 🎯

Where to watch

beIN Sports Xtra

Match facts

Stadium

Stadion im. Braci Czachorów

City

Radom

Referee

Tomasz Kwiatkowski

4.28 yellows/match · 39 matches

Kickoff

12 Oct, 16:00 UTC

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Highlights & clips

Radomiak Radom 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1 Motor Lublin

1 F. Majchrowicz 7.4 3 K. Szcześniak 5.8 14 S. Kingue 8.4 72 F. Koperski 6.8 13 J. Grzesik 6.7 8 I. Camará 7.8 ↑ 73' 77 C. Donis 6.6 18 Manu 6.6 ↑ 83' 15 A. Tapsoba 6.3 ↑ 62' 82 Luquinhas 6.3 ↑ 46' 80 G. Luiz 6.8 ↑ 61' 33 G. Tratnik 6.1 17 K. Lukoszek 7.6 39 M. K. Bartoš 6.2 ↑ 61' 4 T. Plavotić 6.9 24 F. Luberecki 6.7 2 P. Meyer 6.6 ↑ 87' 30 M. Ndiaye 8.2 6 M. Łęgowski 6.6 ↑ 77' 8 C. Simon 8.2 11 F. Ronaldo 6.8 ↑ 61' 10 K. Czubak 7.8

Substitutes

99GB. Gradecki 97DConrado 26DA. Diéguez 27MR. Wolski↓ 62'7.3 21ME. Baldé↓ 46'6.5 10MR. Alves↓ 73'6.3 90MR. Lumungo↓ 83'6.2 28MR. Baró 7MC. Nunnely 11FF. Gouré↓ 61'6.7 23FK. Karasek

Coach: John Carver

Substitutes

71GM. Popa 18DB. Bereszyński↓ 61'6.4 5DA. Akatov 29DT. Santos 27MY. Bourhane↓ 87'6.9 22MM. Złomańczuk 47MA. O. Tall 9FR. Lopes↓ 77'7.2 70FM. Aïko↓ 61'6.8 90FD. Gregorski 77FM. Posmyk 23FF. Haxha

Coach: Mariusz Misiura

Top stats

45%Possession55%

0.86Expected goals (xG)2.58

6Total shots22

2Shots on target11

1Big chances4

3Corners5

Shots

1Shots off target7

3Blocked shots4

4Shots inside box15

2Shots outside box7

1Big chances scored2

0Big chances missed2

0.81Goals prevented-0.57

Attack

12Touches in box41

45Final third entries55

0Offsides5

16Free kicks13

5Fouled in final third2

Passing

362Passes426

290Accurate passes370

18/48 (38%)Long balls24/42 (57%)

4/14 (29%)Crosses5/29 (17%)

14Throw-ins17

Duels

50Duels50

43/82 (52%)Ground duels39/82 (48%)

13/30 (43%)Aerial duels17/30 (57%)

15/26 (58%)Dribbles7/14 (50%)

8Dispossessed7

Defending

14Tackles19

50Tackles won47

10Interceptions10

34Clearances22

47Recoveries47

Discipline

14Fouls16

2Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

7Saves0

2Big saves0

9Goal kicks6

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Radomiak 39%

26%

Motor 34%

BTTSBoth teams to score 62% · 2.70 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.70 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.82 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 2.02 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 2.00 @ Bet365

1X2Motor to win 34% · 2.87 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 26% · 2.64 @ 1xBet

Who winsRadomiak to win (DNB) 57% · 1.80 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle

1X2Radomiak to win 39% · 2.62 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 61% · 1.57 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.39

Radomiak Radom

3.33

Draw

2.62

Motor Lublin

Double Chanceconsensus

1.40

Radomiak Radom or Draw

1.27

Radomiak Radom or Motor Lublin

1.52

Draw or Motor Lublin

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.50

Yes

2.42

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

4.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

13.70

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.80

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.59

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.51

Over 3.50

1.49

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.50

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.75

Radomiak Radom

1.95

Motor Lublin

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.32

Over 7.50

3.00

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.64

Over 8.50

2.22

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.99

Over 9.50

1.77

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.50

Over 10.50

1.48

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.30

Over 11.50

1.26

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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