Śląsk Wrocław 1-4 Lech Poznań: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Śląsk Wrocław 1-4 Lech Poznań.

90+5'

P. Wålemark

Yellow card for P. Wålemark (Lech Poznań) for simulation.

90+3'

G. Tomasiewicz

Goal! Śląsk Wrocław 1-4 Lech Poznań. G. Tomasiewicz (Śląsk Wrocław) scores, assisted by A. T. Andersson.

90+3'

Lech Poznań

Corner, Lech Poznań.

90'

7 minutes of added time.

88'

M. Llinares

Yellow card for M. Llinares (Śląsk Wrocław) for argument.

86'

Y. Agnero

Attempt saved. Y. Agnero (Lech Poznań), left-footed shot. xG 0.25.

86'

Y. Agnero

Attempt missed. Y. Agnero (Lech Poznań), header. xG 0.44.

86'

Lech Poznań

Corner, Lech Poznań.

84'

Lech Poznań

Corner, Lech Poznań.

76'

R. Murawski

Substitution, Lech Poznań: G. Berggren comes on for R. Murawski.

75'

P. Banaszak

Substitution, Śląsk Wrocław: I. Camoes comes on for P. Banaszak.

75'

P. Samiec-Talar

Substitution, Śląsk Wrocław: E. Shabani comes on for P. Samiec-Talar.

75'

Lech Poznań

Corner, Lech Poznań.

73'

P. Wålemark

Goal! Śląsk Wrocław 0-4 Lech Poznań. P. Wålemark (Lech Poznań) scores, assisted by D. Håkans.

72'

L. Bengtsson

Substitution, Lech Poznań: D. Håkans comes on for L. Bengtsson.

72'

M. Ishak

Substitution, Lech Poznań: Y. Agnero comes on for M. Ishak.

70'

P. Wålemark

Goal! Śląsk Wrocław 0-3 Lech Poznań. P. Wålemark (Lech Poznań) scores, assisted by M. Ishak.

67'

M. Dembélé

Attempt missed. M. Dembélé (Śląsk Wrocław), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

65'

M. Dembélé

Cleared off the line! M. Dembélé (Śląsk Wrocław), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

63'

Lech Poznań

Corner, Lech Poznań.

61'

L. Marjanac

Substitution, Śląsk Wrocław: M. Dembélé comes on for L. Marjanac.

61'

K. Linetty

Substitution, Śląsk Wrocław: A. Ciucka comes on for K. Linetty.

60'

F. Jagiełło

Substitution, Lech Poznań: A. Kozubal comes on for F. Jagiełło.

60'

R. Gumny

Substitution, Lech Poznań: P. Wålemark comes on for R. Gumny.

59'

M. Ishak

Attempt blocked. M. Ishak (Lech Poznań), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

58'

Śląsk Wrocław

Offside, Śląsk Wrocław.

56'

K. Linetty

Yellow card for K. Linetty (Śląsk Wrocław) for foul.

55'

P. Rodríguez

Attempt missed. P. Rodríguez (Lech Poznań), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

54'

Śląsk Wrocław

Offside, Śląsk Wrocław.

50'

P. Rodríguez

Goal! Śląsk Wrocław 0-2 Lech Poznań. P. Rodríguez (Lech Poznań) scores, assisted by J. Pereira.

47'

R. Gumny

Attempt blocked. R. Gumny (Lech Poznań), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Śląsk Wrocław 0-1 Lech Poznań.

45+1'

M. Gurgul

Yellow card for M. Gurgul (Lech Poznań) for argument.

45'

1 minute of added time.

45'

W. Mońka

Yellow card for W. Mońka (Lech Poznań) for foul.

40'

P. Rodríguez

Attempt blocked. P. Rodríguez (Lech Poznań), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

40'

R. Gumny

Attempt missed. R. Gumny (Lech Poznań), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

37'

M. Ishak

Attempt missed. M. Ishak (Lech Poznań), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

34'

P. Samiec-Talar

Attempt missed. P. Samiec-Talar (Śląsk Wrocław), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

31'

M. Skrzypczak

Attempt missed. M. Skrzypczak (Lech Poznań), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

31'

F. Jagiełło

Goal! Śląsk Wrocław 0-1 Lech Poznań. F. Jagiełło (Lech Poznań) scores, assisted by M. Skrzypczak.

24'

Y. Matsenko

Attempt saved. Y. Matsenko (Śląsk Wrocław), right-footed shot. xG 0.29.

19'

P. Rodríguez

Attempt blocked. P. Rodríguez (Lech Poznań), left-footed shot. xG 0.20.

17'

F. Jagiełło

Yellow card for F. Jagiełło (Lech Poznań) for foul.

16'

P. Banaszak

Attempt missed. P. Banaszak (Śląsk Wrocław), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

8'

L. Bengtsson

Attempt blocked. L. Bengtsson (Lech Poznań), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.05.

7'

M. Ishak

Attempt blocked. M. Ishak (Lech Poznań), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

6'

G. Tomasiewicz

Attempt saved. G. Tomasiewicz (Śląsk Wrocław), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

3'

Śląsk Wrocław

Offside, Śląsk Wrocław.

1'

Kick-off: Śląsk Wrocław vs Lech Poznań.

Where the money is

65023 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 25277 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

82.8%

-16.3 vs price

Draw 800.0 · implied 0.1%

10.2%

+10.1 vs price

Home 800.0 · implied 0.1%

7.2%

+7.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 9057 EUR · live

Over 1.7 · implied 58.8%

60.8%

+2.0 vs price

Under 2.44 · implied 41.0%

39.2%

-1.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 53 EUR

Over 5.4 · implied 18.5%

49.4%

+30.9 vs price

Under 1.21 · implied 82.6%

47.5%

-35.1 vs price

9 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

17' F. Jagiełło · Foul

31' ⚽ F. Jagiełło · assist M. Skrzypczak0–1

Half-time · 0–1

45' W. Mońka · Foul

45'⁺¹ M. Gurgul · Argument

50' ⚽ P. Rodríguez · assist J. Pereira0–2

56' K. Linetty · Foul

60' 🔁 P. Wålemark ◂ R. Gumny

60' 🔁 A. Kozubal ◂ F. Jagiełło

61' 🔁 A. Ciucka ◂ K. Linetty

61' 🔁 M. Dembélé ◂ L. Marjanac

70' ⚽ P. Wålemark · assist M. Ishak0–3

72' 🔁 Y. Agnero ◂ M. Ishak

72' 🔁 D. Håkans ◂ L. Bengtsson

73' ⚽ P. Wålemark · assist D. Håkans0–4

75' 🔁 E. Shabani ◂ P. Samiec-Talar

75' 🔁 I. Camoes ◂ P. Banaszak

76' 🔁 G. Berggren ◂ R. Murawski

88' M. Llinares · Argument

Full-time · 1–4

90'⁺³ ⚽ G. Tomasiewicz · assist A. T. Andersson1–4

90'⁺⁵ P. Wålemark · Simulation

Coaches

Ante Šimundža

Niels Frederiksen

Recent form

Śląsk Wrocław

LHFC Slovan Liberec0-3

LAWisła Kraków1-2

LHMKS Korona Kielce1-2

LAJagiellonia Białystok1-2

WHPogoń Szczecin2-1

Lech Poznań

DHEnergie Cottbus2-2

WHRadomiak Radom5-1

LACrystal Palace0-4

LAGórnik Zabrze1-2

WHRaków Częstochowa1-0

About this match

**Śląsk's in freefall and Lech smells blood** — the home side has won just once in five while Poznań's mixed it up with one-sided thrashings lately. This is a **must-stabilize moment** for Wrocław. 🔴

Śląsk are leaking goals badly after that 0-3 shocker at home to Slovan, while Lech ground out a draw with Cottbus but flexed hard against Radomiak (5-1). The visitor's injury list is nasty, but their form still edges the hosts' current spiral.

Key storylines:

- **K. Niemczycki** and Śląsk's backline under siege — they need to tighten fast or this gets out of hand
- **Lech's attacking depth** despite missing **F. Jagiełło** and friends; **M. Ishak** will be crucial in transition
- Home advantage at **Tarczyński Arena** is real, but Śląsk have to *show up* mentally after three straight defeats

Expected lineups:

- **Śląsk Wrocław**: K. Niemczycki, Y. Matsenko, L. Ba, M. Malec, M. Llinares, A. T. Andersson, G. Tomasiewicz, J. Yriarte, E. Shabani, M. Dembélé, P. Banaszak
- **Lech Poznań**: M. Lis, M. Gurgul, W. Mońka, M. Skrzypczak, J. Pereira, R. Murawski, G. Berggren, A. Sayyad, P. Rodríguez, F. Jagiełło, M. Ishak

Prediction: **Lech Poznań 2–1 Śląsk Wrocław**

Poznań's slight edge in recent form and Śląsk's defensive fragility give the visitors the lean. 🎯

Where to watch

beIN Sports Xtra

Match facts

Stadium

Tarczyński Arena Wrocław

City

Wroclaw

Referee

Patryk Gryckiewicz

4.31 yellows/match · 35 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 15:30 UTC

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Highlights & clips

Śląsk Wrocław 5-3-2 · 4-4-2 Lech Poznań

1 K. Niemczycki 5.0 21 A. T. Andersson 6.7 33 Y. Matsenko 6.4 5 L. Ba 7.0 44 M. Malec 6.1 8 M. Llinares 6.2 77 E. Shabani 6.6 ↑ 75' 88 A. Ciucka 6.3 ↑ 61' 20 G. Tomasiewicz 7.6 10 M. Dembélé 6.3 ↑ 61' 9 I. Camoes 6.6 ↑ 75' 1 M. Lis 6.4 2 J. Pereira 8.4 72 M. Skrzypczak 7.1 27 W. Mońka 6.6 15 M. Gurgul 6.7 10 P. Wålemark 9.0 ↑ 60' 5 G. Berggren 6.6 ↑ 76' 21 P. Rodríguez 7.7 11 D. Håkans 6.9 ↑ 72' 7 Y. Agnero 6.3 ↑ 72' 43 A. Kozubal 7.2 ↑ 60'

Substitutes

25GM. Szromnik 2DD. Szala 27DJ. Jurčec 4DM. Dijaković 17MK. Linetty↓ 61'6.4 7MP. Samiec-Talar↓ 75'6.3 15MJ. Yriarte 19FP. Banaszak↓ 75'6.7 11FL. Marjanac↓ 61'6.3

Coach: Ante Šimundža

Substitutes

33GM. Pruchniewski 20DR. Gumny↓ 60'6.3 59DT. Yegbe 22MR. Murawski↓ 76'7.0 24MF. Jagiełło↓ 60'6.8 14ML. Bengtsson↓ 72'6.7 77ML. Palma 9FM. Ishak↓ 72'7.0 54FK. Jakóbczyk

Coach: Niels Frederiksen

Top stats

40%Possession60%

0.77Expected goals (xG)2.04

7Total shots16

4Shots on target5

2Big chances4

3Corners4

Shots

3Shots off target5

0Blocked shots6

5Shots inside box12

2Shots outside box4

1Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed2

-1.4Goals prevented-0.59

Attack

22Touches in box27

56Final third entries53

2Offsides3

11Free kicks13

3Fouled in final third1

Passing

341Passes517

251Accurate passes444

15/56 (27%)Long balls23/41 (56%)

3/12 (25%)Crosses4/16 (25%)

15Throw-ins22

Duels

53Duels47

31/55 (56%)Ground duels24/55 (44%)

10/23 (43%)Aerial duels13/23 (57%)

5/11 (45%)Dribbles4/13 (31%)

2Dispossessed7

Defending

16Tackles8

44Tackles won25

10Interceptions9

19Clearances30

50Recoveries53

Discipline

13Fouls11

2Yellow cards4

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

10Goal kicks4

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Śląsk 19%

22%

Lech 59%

1X2Lech to win 59% · 1.95 @ William Hill

Who winsLech to win (DNB) 67% · 1.30 @ Betsson

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 63% · 3.30 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 60% · 2.80 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.75 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 22% · 2.91 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle

1X2Śląsk to win 19% · 4.50 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

4.75

Śląsk Wrocław

4.20

Draw

1.57

Lech Poznań

Double Chanceconsensus

2.25

Śląsk Wrocław or Draw

1.19

Śląsk Wrocław or Lech Poznań

1.16

Draw or Lech Poznań

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.53

Yes

2.35

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

10.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

3.20

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

18.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.13

Over 1.50

5.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.47

Over 2.50

2.55

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.20

Over 3.50

1.62

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.75

Over 4.50

1.25

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

3.55

Śląsk Wrocław

1.26

Lech Poznań

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.27

Over 7.50

3.30

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.52

Over 8.50

2.38

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.85

Over 9.50

1.85

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.33

Over 10.50

1.54

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.00

Over 11.50

1.32

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Over 1.5 goals

✓

83% confidence

Lech Poznań to win or draw

✓

81% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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