KS Cracovia 1-1 Legia Warszawa: Stats & xG – Oct 17, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. KS Cracovia 1-1 Legia Warszawa.

90+2'

D. Szymański

Attempt saved. D. Szymański (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

90+2'

W. Urbański

Attempt blocked. W. Urbański (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

90+2'

Legia Warszawa

Corner, Legia Warszawa.

90'

3 minutes of added time.

88'

B. Kapustka

Substitution, Legia Warszawa: D. Szymański comes on for B. Kapustka.

86'

A. Hasić

Attempt saved. A. Hasić (KS Cracovia), left-footed shot. xG 0.16.

85'

M. Minchev

Substitution, KS Cracovia: K. Zahiroleslam comes on for M. Minchev.

84'

A. Hasić

Attempt missed. A. Hasić (KS Cracovia), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

82'

Ł. Zjawiński

Substitution, Legia Warszawa: J. Kuchta comes on for Ł. Zjawiński.

82'

R. Deziel Jr.

Substitution, Legia Warszawa: Z. Arsenić comes on for R. Deziel Jr..

81'

R. Augustyniak

Attempt missed. R. Augustyniak (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

78'

A. Hasić

Attempt missed. A. Hasić (KS Cracovia), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

74'

Ł. Zjawiński

Attempt missed. Ł. Zjawiński (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

74'

M. Klich

Substitution, KS Cracovia: M. Berte comes on for M. Klich.

73'

Kakabadze

Attempt saved. Kakabadze (KS Cracovia), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

72'

B. Viunnyk

Attempt blocked. B. Viunnyk (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

72'

L. S. Nordås

Attempt blocked. L. S. Nordås (KS Cracovia), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

67'

R. Deziel Jr.

Attempt missed. R. Deziel Jr. (Legia Warszawa), header from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

65'

M. Ševčík

Substitution, Legia Warszawa: B. Viunnyk comes on for M. Ševčík.

61'

A. Hasić

Attempt blocked. A. Hasić (KS Cracovia), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

57'

R. Adamski

Attempt missed. R. Adamski (Legia Warszawa), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

56'

V. Burlet

Attempt missed. V. Burlet (KS Cracovia), left-footed shot. xG 0.01.

55'

Kakabadze

Attempt missed. Kakabadze (KS Cracovia), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.08.

49'

K. Knap

Attempt blocked. K. Knap (KS Cracovia), header. xG 0.03.

49'

Legia Warszawa

Corner, Legia Warszawa.

47'

M. Klich

Attempt missed. M. Klich (KS Cracovia), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

46'

P. Wszołek

Substitution, Legia Warszawa: A. Reca comes on for P. Wszołek.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. KS Cracovia 1-1 Legia Warszawa.

45'

1 minute of added time.

44'

L. S. Nordås

Goal! KS Cracovia 1-1 Legia Warszawa. L. S. Nordås (KS Cracovia) scores, assisted by G. Henriksson.

42'

KS Cracovia

Offside, KS Cracovia.

40'

V. Burlet

Yellow card for V. Burlet (KS Cracovia) for argument.

39'

P. Wszołek

Yellow card for P. Wszołek (Legia Warszawa) for argument.

38'

K. Chodyna

Attempt missed. K. Chodyna (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

34'

R. Adamski

Attempt missed. R. Adamski (Legia Warszawa), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

33'

K. Chodyna

Attempt blocked. K. Chodyna (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

26'

M. Ševčík

Goal! KS Cracovia 0-1 Legia Warszawa. M. Ševčík (Legia Warszawa) scores, assisted by P. Wszołek.

24'

Legia Warszawa

Corner, Legia Warszawa.

22'

G. Henriksson

Attempt missed. G. Henriksson (KS Cracovia), header from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

20'

R. Augustyniak

Attempt blocked. R. Augustyniak (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

19'

W. Urbański

Attempt missed. W. Urbański (Legia Warszawa), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

15'

M. Minchev

Attempt missed. M. Minchev (KS Cracovia), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

8'

Legia Warszawa

Corner, Legia Warszawa.

6'

K. Chodyna

Attempt blocked. K. Chodyna (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

3'

L. S. Nordås

Attempt missed. L. S. Nordås (KS Cracovia), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

1'

Kick-off: KS Cracovia vs Legia Warszawa.

Where the money is

103032 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 25762 EUR · live

Draw 1.05 · implied 95.2%

63.9%

-31.3 vs price

Home 23.0 · implied 4.3%

19.7%

+15.3 vs price

Away 230.0 · implied 0.4%

16.5%

+16.0 vs price

Half time 287 EUR · live

Draw 2.16 · implied 46.3%

99.8%

+53.5 vs price

Home 3.8 · implied 26.3%

0.0%

-26.3 vs price

Away 3.2 · implied 31.2%

0.0%

-31.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 38014 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

69.2%

-27.9 vs price

Over 21.0 · implied 4.8%

30.8%

+26.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 3515 EUR · live

Under 1.08 · implied 92.6%

94.8%

+2.2 vs price

Over 14.0 · implied 7.1%

5.2%

-1.9 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

26' ⚽ M. Ševčík · assist P. Wszołek0–1

39' P. Wszołek · Argument

40' V. Burlet · Argument

44' ⚽ L. S. Nordås · assist G. Henriksson1–1

Half-time · 1–1

46' 🔁 A. Reca ◂ P. Wszołek

65' 🔁 B. Viunnyk ◂ M. Ševčík

74' 🔁 M. Berte ◂ M. Klich

82' 🔁 Z. Arsenić ◂ R. Deziel Jr.

82' 🔁 J. Kuchta ◂ Ł. Zjawiński

85' 🔁 K. Zahiroleslam ◂ M. Minchev

88' 🔁 D. Szymański ◂ B. Kapustka

Full-time · 1–1

Coaches

Bartosz Grzelak

Marek Papszun

Recent form

KS Cracovia

WHZagłębie Lubin3-1

LHBruk-Bet Termalica Nieciecza2-3

LAGKS Katowice2-3

LAWisła Płock1-3

LHGórnik Zabrze0-1

Legia Warszawa

WHWisła Kraków2-0

WHMKS Korona Kielce5-1

WAZagłębie Sosnowiec4-2

WAJagiellonia Białystok3-1

DHWidzew Łódź1-1

About this match

**Legia rolls into Kraków as the form team** — **Cracovia's been a mess**, while the visitors are genuinely firing 🔥

Legia's won four of their last five (including a 5-1 battering of Korona). Cracovia? One win in five, sandwiched between some rough defeats. The H2H tells a brutal story: Legia's dominated historically with 25 wins to Cracovia's seven over 39 clashes. This looks like a lane closed.

Key storylines:

- **M. Klich** anchors Cracovia's midfield and will need to boss possession to keep **Legia** at bay
- **Legia's** attack is humming — **M. Ševčík** and **Ł. Zjawiński** have been clinical in recent weeks
- **Cracovia** missing **F. Marchwiński** to injury reduces their attacking depth even further

Expected lineups:

- **KS Cracovia**: S. Madejski, M. Perković, B. Traoré, G. Henriksson, D. Piła, M. Klich, A. Al-Ammari, S. Ltaief, D. Kameri, A. Hasić, M. Minchev
- **Legia Warszawa**: O. Hindrich, R. Augustyniak, K. Piątkowski, R. Deziel Jr., R. Vinagre, P. Wszołek, B. Kapustka, H. Arreiol, M. Ševčík, Ł. Zjawiński, K. Chodyna

Prediction:

**Legia 2-0 Cracovia**. Visitor edge is too steep to ignore — form, head-to-head, momentum all point one way.

Where to watch

beIN Sports Xtra

Match facts

Stadium

Marshal Jozef Pilsudski Stadium

City

Kraków

Referee

Piotr Lasyk

3.27 yellows/match · 40 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 18:15 UTC

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Highlights & clips

KS Cracovia 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3 Legia Warszawa

13 S. Madejski 6.5 25 Kakabadze 7.3 4 G. Henriksson 6.8 61 B. Traoré 6.9 28 V. Burlet 7.0 20 K. Knap 7.7 6 A. Al-Ammari 7.3 14 A. Hasić 7.0 90 M. Berte 6.5 ↑ 74' 18 K. Zahiroleslam 6.6 ↑ 85' 11 L. S. Nordås 7.4 89 O. Hindrich 6.2 91 K. Piątkowski 7.6 8 R. Augustyniak 7.6 24 Z. Arsenić 6.7 ↑ 82' 13 A. Reca 6.7 ↑ 46' 53 W. Urbański 7.3 4 D. Szymański ↑ 88' 11 K. Chodyna 6.9 27 B. Viunnyk 6.6 ↑ 65' 7 J. Kuchta 6.4 ↑ 82' 9 R. Adamski 6.7

Substitutes

77GJ. Chrapusta 91GA. Bobek 39DM. Perković 15DK. Glik 22DD. Baumgartner 17MM. Minchev↓ 85'6.7 43MM. Klich↓ 74'6.2 29MW. Dej 5MB. Selan 79MD. Piła 70MD. Kameri 27FS. Eyob-Abraha

Coach: Bartosz Grzelak

Substitutes

1GI. Brkić 5DR. Deziel Jr.↓ 82'7.2 2DS. Fukuda 67MB. Kapustka↓ 88'7.0 22MP. Wszołek↓ 46'6.6 6MH. Arreiol 62MF. Stępniewski 17MM. Szczepaniak 23FM. Ševčík↓ 65'7.8 79FŁ. Zjawiński↓ 82'6.4 14FA. Čolak

Coach: Marek Papszun

Top stats

52%Possession48%

0.85Expected goals (xG)0.63

14Total shots14

3Shots on target2

5Corners3

Shots

8Shots off target7

3Blocked shots5

9Shots inside box9

5Shots outside box5

-0.56Goals prevented-0.41

Attack

26Touches in box20

71Final third entries39

0Offsides2

14Free kicks21

4Fouled in final third1

Passing

451Passes424

387Accurate passes355

23/50 (46%)Long balls24/46 (52%)

4/23 (17%)Crosses6/19 (32%)

13Throw-ins18

Duels

47Duels53

40/87 (46%)Ground duels47/87 (54%)

14/29 (48%)Aerial duels15/29 (52%)

8/20 (40%)Dribbles6/18 (33%)

8Dispossessed7

Defending

19Tackles20

63Tackles won60

6Interceptions6

26Clearances29

45Recoveries50

Discipline

21Fouls14

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves2

1Big saves1

9Goal kicks10

1Punches2

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Cracovia 34%

28%

Legia 38%

Who winsLegia to win (DNB) 54% · 1.75 @ Betsson

1X2Legia to win 38% · 2.75 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 55% · 3.25 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 60% · 1.57 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 28% · 2.50 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 2.06 @ 1xBet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.50 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.36 @ betfair

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.86 @ Pinnacle

1X2Cracovia to win 34% · 3.02 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.71

KS Cracovia

3.33

Draw

2.39

Legia Warszawa

Double Chanceconsensus

1.51

KS Cracovia or Draw

1.29

KS Cracovia or Legia Warszawa

1.40

Draw or Legia Warszawa

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.67

Yes

2.07

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

5.00

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

4.33

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

10.90

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.25

Over 1.50

3.70

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.88

Over 2.50

1.90

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.15

Over 3.50

1.32

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.33

Over 4.50

1.08

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.00

KS Cracovia

1.72

Legia Warszawa

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.32

Over 7.50

3.00

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.56

Over 8.50

2.29

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.94

Over 9.50

1.81

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.44

Over 10.50

1.50

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.30

Over 11.50

1.26

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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