Motor Lublin 3-2 Śląsk Wrocław: Stats & xG – Oct 17, 2026

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Ekstraklasa ·Sat 17 Oct

Motor Lublin

3–2

HT 0–1

Full time

Śląsk Wrocław

Arena Lublin, Lublin · Ref: Sebastian Krasny

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Motor Lublin 3-2 Śląsk Wrocław.

90+10'

M. Dembélé

Attempt blocked. M. Dembélé (Śląsk Wrocław), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.11.

90+10'

M. Dembélé

Attempt missed. M. Dembélé (Śląsk Wrocław), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

90+10'

K. Czubak

Yellow card for K. Czubak (Motor Lublin) for time wasting.

90+4'

C. Simon

Substitution, Motor Lublin: P. Meyer comes on for C. Simon.

90+2'

Y. Bourhane

Goal! Motor Lublin 3-2 Śląsk Wrocław. Y. Bourhane (Motor Lublin) converts the penalty.

90+2'

K. Niemczycki

Yellow card for K. Niemczycki (Śląsk Wrocław) for argument.

90'

9 minutes of added time.

88'

M. Ndiaye

VAR: no penalty for Motor Lublin.

87'

M. Llinares

Yellow card for M. Llinares (Śląsk Wrocław) for foul.

85'

E. Shabani

Substitution, Śląsk Wrocław: G. Tomasiewicz comes on for E. Shabani.

85'

P. Samiec-Talar

Substitution, Śląsk Wrocław: A. Ciucka comes on for P. Samiec-Talar.

83'

R. Lopes

Substitution, Motor Lublin: A. O. Tall comes on for R. Lopes.

82'

M. Ndiaye

Attempt missed. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin), header on the counter. xG 0.05.

82'

M. Aïko

Substitution, Motor Lublin: T. Santos comes on for M. Aïko.

81'

A. T. Andersson

Substitution, Śląsk Wrocław: J. Jurčec comes on for A. T. Andersson.

80'

C. Simon

Attempt saved. C. Simon (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

77'

M. K. Bartoš

Attempt saved. M. K. Bartoš (Motor Lublin), header from a corner. xG 0.16.

77'

C. Simon

Goal! Motor Lublin 2-2 Śląsk Wrocław. C. Simon (Motor Lublin) scores.

77'

Śląsk Wrocław

Corner, Śląsk Wrocław.

75'

P. Banaszak

Substitution, Śląsk Wrocław: I. Camoes comes on for P. Banaszak.

74'

M. Ndiaye

Attempt blocked. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

74'

Śląsk Wrocław

Corner, Śląsk Wrocław.

73'

P. Banaszak

Attempt saved. P. Banaszak (Śląsk Wrocław), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

73'

M. Ndiaye

Yellow card for M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin) for foul.

71'

K. Lukoszek

Substitution, Motor Lublin: F. Ronaldo comes on for K. Lukoszek.

66'

M. Dembélé

VAR: goal for Śląsk Wrocław ruled out.

66'

M. Dembélé

Goal! Motor Lublin 1-2 Śląsk Wrocław. M. Dembélé (Śląsk Wrocław) scores, assisted by P. Samiec-Talar.

66'

Śląsk Wrocław

Offside, Śląsk Wrocław.

65'

K. Czubak

Attempt missed. K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), header from a set piece. xG 0.17.

64'

P. Banaszak

Yellow card for P. Banaszak (Śląsk Wrocław) for argument.

63'

C. Simon

Attempt saved. C. Simon (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

61'

M. Aïko

Goal! Motor Lublin 1-1 Śląsk Wrocław. M. Aïko (Motor Lublin) scores, assisted by Y. Bourhane.

56'

K. Czubak

Attempt missed. K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), header from a set piece. xG 0.08.

54'

M. Ndiaye

Attempt missed. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

50'

K. Czubak

Penalty missed! K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), saved.

50'

M. K. Bartoš

Attempt missed. M. K. Bartoš (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

47'

M. Aïko

VAR: no penalty for Motor Lublin.

46'

L. Marjanac

Substitution, Śląsk Wrocław: M. Dembélé comes on for L. Marjanac.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Motor Lublin 0-1 Śląsk Wrocław.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

44'

C. Simon

Attempt blocked. C. Simon (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

44'

Śląsk Wrocław

Corner, Śląsk Wrocław.

34'

M. K. Bartoš

Attempt missed. M. K. Bartoš (Motor Lublin), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

33'

K. Czubak

Attempt blocked. K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

33'

M. Ndiaye

Attempt blocked. M. Ndiaye (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

30'

F. Luberecki

Attempt missed. F. Luberecki (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

29'

Śląsk Wrocław

Corner, Śląsk Wrocław.

27'

C. Simon

Attempt blocked. C. Simon (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

27'

T. Plavotić

Attempt missed. T. Plavotić (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

23'

R. Lopes

Attempt blocked. R. Lopes (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

23'

M. Aïko

Attempt blocked. M. Aïko (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

22'

C. Simon

Attempt saved. C. Simon (Motor Lublin), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

21'

Śląsk Wrocław

Corner, Śląsk Wrocław.

21'

K. Czubak

Attempt saved. K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), header. xG 0.14.

21'

K. Czubak

Attempt saved. K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), header. xG 0.07.

16'

K. Lukoszek

Attempt missed. K. Lukoszek (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot. xG 0.16.

13'

K. Czubak

Attempt blocked. K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot. xG 0.11.

11'

P. Banaszak

Goal! Motor Lublin 0-1 Śląsk Wrocław. P. Banaszak (Śląsk Wrocław) scores, assisted by P. Samiec-Talar.

K. Czubak

Attempt saved. K. Czubak (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.

Śląsk Wrocław

Corner, Śląsk Wrocław.

C. Simon

Attempt missed. C. Simon (Motor Lublin), shot. xG 0.01.

L. Marjanac

Attempt missed. L. Marjanac (Śląsk Wrocław), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

Kick-off: Motor Lublin vs Śląsk Wrocław.

Where the money is

97463 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 52473 EUR · live

Home 1.04 · implied 96.2%

72.0%

-24.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

18.3%

+18.2 vs price

Draw 36.0 · implied 2.8%

10.9%

+8.1 vs price

Half time 174 EUR · live

Draw 2.38 · implied 42.0%

65.1%

+23.1 vs price

Away 1.21 · implied 82.6%

24.2%

-58.4 vs price

Home 32.0 · implied 3.1%

9.2%

+6.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 7786 EUR · live

Over 1.51 · implied 66.2%

66.0%

-0.2 vs price

Under 2.94 · implied 34.0%

34.0%

-0.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 659 EUR · live

Over 25.0 · implied 4.0%

74.4%

+70.4 vs price

Under 1.05 · implied 95.2%

25.5%

-69.7 vs price

12 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

11' ⚽ P. Banaszak · assist P. Samiec-Talar0–1

Half-time · 0–1

46' 🔁 M. Dembélé ◂ L. Marjanac

47' VAR Penalty check · M. Aïko

50' 🚫 Penalty missed · K. Czubak

61' ⚽ M. Aïko · assist Y. Bourhane1–1

64' P. Banaszak · Argument

66' ⚽ M. Dembélé · assist P. Samiec-Talar1–2

66' VAR Goal check · M. Dembélé

71' 🔁 F. Ronaldo ◂ K. Lukoszek

73' M. Ndiaye · Foul

75' 🔁 I. Camoes ◂ P. Banaszak

77' ⚽ C. Simon2–2

81' 🔁 J. Jurčec ◂ A. T. Andersson

82' 🔁 T. Santos ◂ M. Aïko

83' 🔁 A. O. Tall ◂ R. Lopes

85' 🔁 A. Ciucka ◂ P. Samiec-Talar

85' 🔁 G. Tomasiewicz ◂ E. Shabani

87' M. Llinares · Foul

88' VAR Penalty check · M. Ndiaye

Full-time · 3–2

90'⁺² ⚽ Y. Bourhane (pen)3–2

90'⁺² K. Niemczycki · Argument

90'⁺⁴ 🔁 P. Meyer ◂ C. Simon

90'⁺¹⁰ K. Czubak · Time wasting

Coaches

Mariusz Misiura

Ante Šimundža

Recent form

Motor Lublin

WARadomiak Radom3-2

DHGórnik Zabrze0-0

LARaków Częstochowa1-2

LHLegia Warszawa2-3

WHLegia Warszawa3-0

Śląsk Wrocław

LHLech Poznań1-4

LHFC Slovan Liberec0-3

LAWisła Kraków1-2

LHMKS Korona Kielce1-2

LAJagiellonia Białystok1-2

About this match

**Motor Lublin's on a mini-run while Śląsk Wrocław are in free fall** — this looks like a home side that can capitalize on visiting chaos. 🔥

Motor have won 2 of their last 5 and are unbeaten at home (that 0-0 with Górnik), while Śląsk arrive having lost all five of their last games. The visitors are leaking goals and missing key players — exactly the type of matchup Motor can exploit on their own turf.

Key storylines:

- **Motor Lublin's attacking shape** with **Rodrigues** and **Ronaldo** looking to punish a **Śląsk defence** that's conceded 10 in five games
- **Śląsk's injury woes** — **M. Mokrzycki** out with a cruciate ligament injury leaves their backline thin
- **Head-to-head momentum**: Motor unbeaten in the last two H2H meetings, carrying confidence into this one

Expected lineups:

- **Motor Lublin**: G. Tratnik, F. Luberecki, B. Bereszyński, M. K. Bartoš, T. Santos, M. Ndiaye, C. Simon, Y. Bourhane, I. Rodrigues, F. Ronaldo, K. Czubak
- **Śląsk Wrocław**: K. Niemczycki, Y. Matsenko, M. Malec, L. Ba, M. Llinares, P. Samiec-Talar, G. Tomasiewicz, E. Shabani, J. Yriarte, M. Dembélé, P. Banaszak

Prediction:

**Motor Lublin 2-0 Śląsk Wrocław**

Home advantage, form, and Śląsk's injury crisis tip this one to the hosts.

Where to watch

Arena Sport 6 HR

Match facts

Stadium

Arena Lublin

City

Lublin

Referee

Sebastian Krasny

4.36 yellows/match · 14 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 12:45 UTC

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Top stats

66%Possession34%

3.84Expected goals (xG)0.77

29Total shots6

11Shots on target3

8Big chances3

10Corners1

Shots

10Shots off target2

8Blocked shots1

19Shots inside box4

10Shots outside box2

3Big chances scored2

5Big chances missed1

0.05Goals prevented1.3

Attack

37Touches in box11

71Final third entries38

0Offsides1

16Free kicks12

9Fouled in final third2

Passing

477Passes254

401Accurate passes181

22/40 (55%)Long balls24/53 (45%)

9/32 (28%)Crosses1/9 (11%)

18Throw-ins13

Duels

60Duels40

41/66 (62%)Ground duels25/66 (38%)

18/33 (55%)Aerial duels15/33 (45%)

8/14 (57%)Dribbles5/14 (36%)

5Dispossessed8

Defending

17Tackles11

29Tackles won36

5Interceptions8

13Clearances49

41Recoveries40

Discipline

12Fouls18

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves8

1Big saves2

5Goal kicks12

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Motor 50%

25%

Śląsk 25%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 60% · 3.50 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 81% · 1.80 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 2.75 @ Bet365

1X2Motor to win 50% · 2.25 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle

Who winsMotor to win (DNB) 61% · 1.40 @ Novibet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 2.01 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 25% · 2.75 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle

1X2Śląsk to win 25% · 3.74 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 62% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.85

Motor Lublin

3.75

Draw

3.70

Śląsk Wrocław

Double Chanceconsensus

1.25

Motor Lublin or Draw

1.22

Motor Lublin or Śląsk Wrocław

1.91

Draw or Śląsk Wrocław

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.10

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.75

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

7.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

15.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.15

Over 1.50

4.90

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.55

Over 2.50

2.30

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.42

Over 3.50

1.53

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.33

Over 4.50

1.19

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.36

Motor Lublin

2.95

Śląsk Wrocław

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.25

Over 7.50

3.40

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.50

Over 8.50

2.44

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.79

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.23

Over 10.50

1.60

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.90

Over 11.50

1.35

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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