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Motor Lublin
Zagłębie Lubin
Zagłębie Lubin
Zagłębie Lubin
Zagłębie Lubin
Motor Lublin
Zagłębie Lubin
Motor Lublin
Mariusz Misiura
Motor Lublin
Zagłębie Lubin
Motor Lublin
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Zagłębie Lubin
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Motor Lublin 2-2 Zagłębie Lubin.
90+5'
Motor Lublin
Offside, Motor Lublin.
90'
5 minutes of added time.
90'
Attempt missed. M. Łęgowski (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.
90'
Zagłębie Lubin
Corner, Zagłębie Lubin.
87'
Zagłębie Lubin
Corner, Zagłębie Lubin.
48'
Goal! Motor Lublin 0-2 Zagłębie Lubin. M. Regula (Zagłębie Lubin) scores, assisted by M. Nalepa.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Motor Lublin 0-1 Zagłębie Lubin.
45'
1 minute of added time.
40'
Attempt missed. Y. Bourhane (Motor Lublin), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.23.
40'
Zagłębie Lubin
Corner, Zagłębie Lubin.
30'
Attempt missed. K. Lukoszek (Motor Lublin), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.
29'
Zagłębie Lubin
Corner, Zagłębie Lubin.
28'
Motor Lublin
Offside, Motor Lublin.
21'
Zagłębie Lubin
Corner, Zagłębie Lubin.
17'
Motor Lublin
Offside, Motor Lublin.
6'
Attempt missed. J. Ćorluka (Zagłębie Lubin), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.01.
1'
Kick-off: Motor Lublin vs Zagłębie Lubin.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
33980 EUR · live
Away
17.0 · implied 5.9%
54.0%
+48.1 vs price
Draw
1.03 · implied 97.1%
33.9%
-63.2 vs price
Home
13.0 · implied 7.7%
14.4%
+6.7 vs price
Half time
1 EUR
Draw
2.46 · implied 40.7%
74.1%
+33.4 vs price
Home
2.66 · implied 37.6%
59.3%
+21.7 vs price
Away
4.3 · implied 23.3%
7.3%
-16.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
12342 EUR · live
Over
1.83 · implied 54.6%
50.9%
-3.7 vs price
Under
2.2 · implied 45.5%
49.1%
+3.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
37 EUR
Over
8.8 · implied 11.4%
67.6%
+56.2 vs price
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
32.4%
-54.5 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
25'
Y. Bourhane · Foul
28'
D. Čolina · Foul
34'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · M. Regula
Half-time · 0–1
45'+1
⚽
S. Kerk0–1
46'
🔁
D. Michalski ◂ D. Čolina
48'
⚽
M. Regula · assist M. Nalepa0–2
56'
🔁
F. Ronaldo ◂ M. Aïko
56'
🔁
M. Łęgowski ◂ Y. Bourhane
66'
🔁
F. Szymczak ◂ S. Kerk
66'
🔁
J. Sypek ◂ M. Dziewiatowski
72'
🔁
T. Santos ◂ K. Lukoszek
72'
🔁
A. O. Tall ◂ C. Simon
74'
⚽
M. Łęgowski1–2
75'
🔁
M. Grzybek ◂ M. Regula
76'
K. Czubak · Argument
85'
🔁
M. Posmyk ◂ F. Luberecki
87'
⚽
M. Ndiaye2–2
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
M. Grzybek · Foul
90'+5
🔁
M. Mlinarić ◂ J. Ćorluka
Coaches
Mariusz MisiuraLeszek Ojrzynski 
Recent form
Motor LublinWHŚląsk Wrocław3-2
WARadomiak Radom3-2
DHGórnik Zabrze0-0
LARaków Częstochowa1-2
LHLegia Warszawa2-3
Zagłębie LubinWHJagiellonia Białystok1-0
LAKS Cracovia1-3
WHMiedź Legnica1-0
LHWisła Płock0-2
WARaków Częstochowa3-2
About this match
**Motor Lublin's looking to keep the Lublin derby vibes rolling — they've demolished Zagłębie in head-to-head lately, and home advantage at Arena Lublin makes this one spicy.** 🔥
Motor's riding a mixed run (2W-1D-2L) but peppered in some juicy attacking performances — those back-to-back 3-2 scorelines show they can put bodies in the box. Zagłębie's form is sharper overall (3W-2L), though they got battered 3-1 by Cracovia recently, so consistency isn't their thing either.
Key storylines:
- **Motor's home fortress** — unbeaten record vs Zagłębie historically, and they're at Arena Lublin where they've shown attacking teeth
- **Zagłębie's defensive shape** — that 3-4-2-1 setup with **D. Dąbrowski** and **F. Kocaba** in midfield needs to keep Motor's front four quiet, especially **T. Santos** and **Y. Bourhane**
- **Midfield battle** — **M. Ndiaye** anchoring for Motor vs Zagłębie's dual playmakers could dictate tempo
Expected lineups:
- **Motor Lublin**: Tratnik, Bereszyński, Bartoš, Plavotić, Luberecki, Ndiaye, Lukoszek, Simon, Bourhane, Santos, Czubak
- **Zagłębie Lubin**: Alomerović, Yakuba, Ławniczak, Čolina, Grzybek, Nalepa, Kocaba, Dąbrowski, Regula, Szymczak, Sypek
Prediction:
**Motor 2-1 Zagłębie**. Motor's got the edge here — home turf, history, and attacking punch should see them through. 👊
Where to watch
Arena Sport 2 HR
Canal+ Sport 3 HD
Arena Sport 1x2 SRB
beIN Sport USA EspanolbeIN Sports
Match facts
Highlights & clips
Motor Lublin
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Zagłębie Lubin
33
G. Tratnik
6.4
29
T. Santos
6.8
↑ 72'
18
B. Bereszyński
6.9
4
T. Plavotić
7.0
77
M. Posmyk
6.4
↑ 85'
11
F. Ronaldo
6.7
↑ 56'
30
M. Ndiaye
6.9
9
R. Lopes
7.6
47
A. O. Tall
6.8
↑ 72'
6
M. Łęgowski
7.5
↑ 56'
10
K. Czubak
6.4
33
Z. Alomerović
6.7
5
A. Ławniczak
6.2
25
M. Nalepa
6.6
3
R. Yakuba
7.3
4
D. Michalski
6.7
↑ 46'
39
F. Kocaba
7.1
8
D. Dąbrowski
7.0
88
M. Mlinarić
↑ 90'
7
J. Sypek
6.2
↑ 66'
18
F. Szymczak
6.6
↑ 66'
13
M. Grzybek
6.2
↑ 75'
Substitutes
71GM. Popa
24DF. Luberecki↓ 85'6.1
2DP. Meyer
5DA. Akatov
27MY. Bourhane↓ 56'6.7
8MC. Simon↓ 72'6.6
17MK. Lukoszek↓ 72'6.0
22MM. Złomańczuk
70FM. Aïko↓ 56'6.4
23FF. Haxha
90FD. Gregorski
Coach: Mariusz Misiura
Top stats
58%Possession42%
2.08Expected goals (xG)0.55
25Total shots10
7Shots on target3
2Big chances1
8Corners2
Shots
12Shots off target6
6Blocked shots1
11Shots inside box8
14Shots outside box2
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
-0.44Goals prevented0.22
Attack
30Touches in box17
67Final third entries49
1Offsides4
5Free kicks8
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
489Passes370
404Accurate passes282
21/44 (48%)Long balls28/66 (42%)
7/30 (23%)Crosses3/12 (25%)
17Throw-ins19
Duels
46Duels54
17/45 (38%)Ground duels28/45 (62%)
26/49 (53%)Aerial duels23/49 (47%)
3/10 (30%)Dribbles7/10 (70%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
9Tackles14
56Tackles won79
4Interceptions8
19Clearances41
54Recoveries48
Discipline
8Fouls5
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves5
0Big saves2
4Goal kicks14
0Punches3
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.00 @ William Hill
1X2Motor to win 47% · 2.30 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 27% · 2.60 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 1.95 @ William Hill
Who winsMotor to win (DNB) 60% · 1.50 @ Betano
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.55 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.89 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.40 @ betfair
1X2Zagłębie to win 26% · 3.78 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.95
Motor Lublin
3.50
Draw
3.50
Zagłębie Lubin
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Motor Lublin or Draw
1.25
Motor Lublin or Zagłębie Lubin
1.80
Draw or Zagłębie Lubin
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.60
Yes
2.20
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.20
Over 1.50
3.95
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.69
Over 2.50
2.04
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.75
Over 3.50
1.39
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.38
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.43
Motor Lublin
2.60
Zagłębie Lubin
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.28
Over 7.50
3.20
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.52
Over 8.50
2.39
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.89
Over 9.50
1.86
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.36
Over 10.50
1.54
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.00
Over 11.50
1.32
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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