Pogoń Szczecin 4-3 Radomiak Radom: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Pogoń Szczecin 4-3 Radomiak Radom.

90+17'

A. Tapsoba

Attempt missed. A. Tapsoba (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

90+12'

R. Alves

Attempt missed. R. Alves (Radomiak Radom), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

90+11'

F. Koperski

Attempt blocked. F. Koperski (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

90+11'

Radomiak Radom

Corner, Radomiak Radom.

90+9'

K. Grosicki

Attempt missed. K. Grosicki (Pogoń Szczecin), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+7'

Conrado

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: A. Tapsoba comes on for Conrado.

90'

12 minutes of added time.

89'

I. Camará

Red card! I. Camará (Radomiak Radom) is sent off for violent conduct.

89'

I. Camará

VAR: card upgraded for I. Camará (Radomiak Radom).

85'

F. Gouré

VAR check complete: the goal for Radomiak Radom stands.

81'

Radomiak Radom

Corner, Radomiak Radom.

78'

C. Nunnely

Attempt missed. C. Nunnely (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

78'

P. Mukairu

Substitution, Pogoń Szczecin: I. Eichie comes on for P. Mukairu.

78'

D. Churlinov

Substitution, Pogoń Szczecin: N. Lawa comes on for D. Churlinov.

77'

Z. Ouattara

Attempt blocked. Z. Ouattara (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

77'

Radomiak Radom

Corner, Radomiak Radom.

74'

F. Gouré

Attempt missed. F. Gouré (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

74'

J. Grzesik

Goal! Pogoń Szczecin 4-3 Radomiak Radom. J. Grzesik (Radomiak Radom) scores, assisted by F. Gouré.

73'

C. Donis

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: I. Camará comes on for C. Donis.

73'

R. Lumungo

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: C. Nunnely comes on for R. Lumungo.

67'

Radomiak Radom

Corner, Radomiak Radom.

64'

M. Wojciechowski

Substitution, Pogoń Szczecin: K. Acosta comes on for M. Wojciechowski.

61'

C. Donis

Attempt missed. C. Donis (Radomiak Radom), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

60'

G. Luiz

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: F. Gouré comes on for G. Luiz.

60'

R. Wolski

Substitution, Radomiak Radom: Luquinhas comes on for R. Wolski.

60'

Radomiak Radom

Corner, Radomiak Radom.

55'

K. Grosicki

Attempt saved. K. Grosicki (Pogoń Szczecin), left-footed shot. xG 0.27.

55'

K. Grosicki

Goal! Pogoń Szczecin 4-2 Radomiak Radom. K. Grosicki (Pogoń Szczecin) scores.

49'

K. Grosicki

Goal! Pogoń Szczecin 3-2 Radomiak Radom. K. Grosicki (Pogoń Szczecin) scores, assisted by P. Mukairu.

46'

J. Biegański

Substitution, Pogoń Szczecin: K. Grosicki comes on for J. Biegański.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Pogoń Szczecin 2-2 Radomiak Radom.

45+3'

A. P. Riccio

Goal! Pogoń Szczecin 2-2 Radomiak Radom. A. P. Riccio (Pogoń Szczecin) scores.

45+1'

Radomiak Radom

Corner, Radomiak Radom.

45+1'

Radomiak Radom

Corner, Radomiak Radom.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

42'

Pogoń Szczecin

Offside, Pogoń Szczecin.

41'

D. Keramitsis

Yellow card for D. Keramitsis (Pogoń Szczecin) for foul.

37'

B. Mendy

Substitution, Pogoń Szczecin: L. Willen comes on for B. Mendy.

35'

Pogoń Szczecin

Offside, Pogoń Szczecin.

32'

D. Keramitsis

Attempt missed. D. Keramitsis (Pogoń Szczecin), header from a set piece. xG 0.07.

30'

P. Mukairu

Attempt missed. P. Mukairu (Pogoń Szczecin), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.02.

29'

Pogoń Szczecin

Offside, Pogoń Szczecin.

25'

C. Donis

Goal! Pogoń Szczecin 1-2 Radomiak Radom. C. Donis (Radomiak Radom) scores.

22'

R. Wolski

Attempt saved. R. Wolski (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.04.

17'

D. Keramitsis

Goal! Pogoń Szczecin 1-1 Radomiak Radom. D. Keramitsis (Pogoń Szczecin) scores.

15'

G. Luiz

Attempt saved. G. Luiz (Radomiak Radom), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

14'

Radomiak Radom

Corner, Radomiak Radom.

14'

J. Grzesik

Attempt missed. J. Grzesik (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

14'

R. Lumungo

Attempt blocked. R. Lumungo (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

10'

R. Alves

Goal! Pogoń Szczecin 0-1 Radomiak Radom. R. Alves (Radomiak Radom) converts the penalty.

7'

A. P. Riccio

Attempt blocked. A. P. Riccio (Pogoń Szczecin), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

6'

J. Grzesik

Attempt missed. J. Grzesik (Radomiak Radom), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

3'

S. Kingue

Attempt missed. S. Kingue (Radomiak Radom), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

2'

M. Wojciechowski

Yellow card for M. Wojciechowski (Pogoń Szczecin) for foul.

1'

Kick-off: Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom.

Where the money is

92506 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 71178 EUR · live

Home 1.02 · implied 98.0%

81.9%

-16.1 vs price

Away 990.0 · implied 0.1%

12.1%

+12.0 vs price

Draw 34.0 · implied 2.9%

6.3%

+3.3 vs price

Half time 82 EUR

Draw 2.7 · implied 37.0%

84.0%

+47.0 vs price

Home 2.3 · implied 43.5%

14.8%

-28.7 vs price

Away 5.4 · implied 18.5%

1.2%

-17.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 5487 EUR · live

Over 1.08 · implied 92.6%

78.0%

-14.6 vs price

Under 14.0 · implied 7.1%

25.8%

+18.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 267 EUR

Under 1.19 · implied 84.0%

90.2%

+6.1 vs price

Over 6.4 · implied 15.6%

9.9%

-5.8 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 1 clip

Player of the match

Match events

2' M. Wojciechowski · Foul

10' ⚽ R. Alves (pen)0–1

17' ⚽ D. Keramitsis1–1

25' ⚽ C. Donis1–2

37' 🔁 L. Willen ◂ B. Mendy

41' D. Keramitsis · Foul

Half-time · 2–2

45'⁺³ ⚽ A. P. Riccio2–2

46' 🔁 K. Grosicki ◂ J. Biegański

49' ⚽ K. Grosicki · assist P. Mukairu3–2

55' ⚽ K. Grosicki4–2

60' 🔁 Luquinhas ◂ R. Wolski

60' 🔁 F. Gouré ◂ G. Luiz

64' 🔁 K. Acosta ◂ M. Wojciechowski

73' 🔁 C. Nunnely ◂ R. Lumungo

73' 🔁 I. Camará ◂ C. Donis

74' ⚽ J. Grzesik · assist F. Gouré4–3

78' 🔁 N. Lawa ◂ D. Churlinov

78' 🔁 I. Eichie ◂ P. Mukairu

85' VAR Goal not given after review · F. Gouré

89' I. Camará · Violent conduct

89' VAR Card check · I. Camará

Full-time · 4–3

90'⁺⁷ 🔁 A. Tapsoba ◂ Conrado

Coaches

Oscar Garcia

John Carver

Recent form

Pogoń Szczecin

WAGKS Katowice1-0

WHMKS Korona Kielce2-0

DHUdinese1-1

WAPiast Gliwice2-1

WHWieczysta Kraków2-0

Radomiak Radom

LAWisła Płock0-1

LHMotor Lublin2-3

WHPogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki7-2

LALech Poznań1-5

LHPiast Gliwice0-2

About this match

**Pogoń's rolling and Radomiak's on a rough patch** — this one smells like a home-side blowout waiting to happen. 🔥

Pogoń's 4W-1D streak speaks volumes; they're clicking. Radomiak, meanwhile, have won just once in five and got torched 3-2 at home by Motor despite that random 7-2 romp. The form gap is *real*.

Key storylines:

- **Pogoń's midfield dominance**: With **P. Dziczek** and **P. Mukariu** orchestrating, expect Szczecin to control tempo and overwhelm Radomiak's **C. Donis** in isolation.
- **Radomiak's shaky defense**: **J. Grzesik** and co. are vulnerable. **J. Nsamé** and **J. Sánchez** will feast on loose balls if Radomiak's backline breaks shape.
- **Injuries tilting the table**: Pogoń missing key depth but still stacked. Radomiak without **A. Donis** (calf) adds another layer of struggle.

Expected lineups:

- **Pogoń Szczecin**: V. Cojocaru, B. Mendy, D. Keramitsis, A. Szalai, D. Churlinov, P. Dziczek, M. Wojciechowski, P. Mukairu, J. Biegański, J. Nsamé, J. Sánchez
- **Radomiak Radom**: F. Majchrowicz, J. Grzesik, K. Szcześniak, S. Kingue, F. Koperski, C. Donis, Luquinhas, I. Camará, R. Baró, Z. Ouattara, G. Luiz

Prediction:

**Pogoń 3-0 Radomiak**. Form, home turf, and defensive holes make this a clear lean toward the hosts. ✅

Where to watch

beIN Sports Xtra

Match facts

Stadium

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

City

Szczecin

Referee

Bartosz Frankowski

4.08 yellows/match · 36 matches

Kickoff

24 Oct, 15:30 UTC

Competition

Ekstraklasa

Highlights & clips

Pogoń Szczecin 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1 Radomiak Radom

77 V. Cojocaru 5.8 4 A. P. Riccio 7.7 13 D. Keramitsis 7.2 41 A. Szalai 6.4 29 L. Willen 6.4 ↑ 37' 16 P. Dziczek 7.4 11 K. Grosicki 8.2 ↑ 46' 20 I. Eichie 6.5 ↑ 78' 3 K. Acosta 6.5 ↑ 64' 47 N. Lawa 6.3 ↑ 78' 22 J. Sánchez 6.8 1 F. Majchrowicz 4.7 24 Z. Ouattara 6.4 14 S. Kingue 6.5 72 F. Koperski 5.9 15 A. Tapsoba 6.4 ↑ 90' 10 R. Alves 7.8 8 I. Camará 5.4 ↑ 73' 13 J. Grzesik 7.0 82 Luquinhas 6.9 ↑ 60' 7 C. Nunnely 7.0 ↑ 73' 11 F. Gouré 6.5 ↑ 60'

Top stats

53%Possession47%

1.02Expected goals (xG)1.94

9Total shots16

5Shots on target5

3Big chances3

2Corners7

Shots

3Shots off target8

1Blocked shots3

6Shots inside box10

3Shots outside box6

2Big chances scored2

1Big chances missed1

-0.99Goals prevented-2.55

Attack

20Touches in box25

62Final third entries46

3Offsides2

7Free kicks13

1Fouled in final third5

Passing

460Passes397

397Accurate passes332

29/61 (48%)Long balls13/45 (29%)

2/18 (11%)Crosses3/32 (9%)

23Throw-ins16

Duels

47Duels53

29/75 (39%)Ground duels46/75 (61%)

21/31 (68%)Aerial duels10/31 (32%)

9/19 (47%)Dribbles10/18 (56%)

13Dispossessed7

Defending

15Tackles23

60Tackles won61

10Interceptions5

36Clearances41

43Recoveries47

Discipline

14Fouls7

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

2Saves1

11Goal kicks5

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers

Pogoń 54%

24%

Radomiak 22%

Who winsPogoń to win (DNB) 78% · 1.29 @ Novibet

1X2Pogoń to win 54% · 2.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 3.70 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 3.00 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.85 @ William Hill

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.32 @ 1xBet

1X2Draw 24% · 2.75 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.80 @ 1xBet

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 2.27 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle

1X2Radomiak to win 22% · 4.50 @ William Hill

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.65

Pogoń Szczecin

3.90

Draw

4.50

Radomiak Radom

Double Chanceconsensus

1.17

Pogoń Szczecin or Draw

1.21

Pogoń Szczecin or Radomiak Radom

2.10

Draw or Radomiak Radom

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.62

Yes

2.17

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.10

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

8.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

15.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.17

Over 1.50

4.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.60

Over 2.50

2.25

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.55

Over 3.50

1.49

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

4.50

Over 4.50

1.17

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.27

Pogoń Szczecin

3.50

Radomiak Radom

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.15

Over 7.50

4.40

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.32

Over 8.50

3.00

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.60

Over 9.50

2.24

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.98

Over 10.50

1.77

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.37

Over 11.50

1.50

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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