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Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
Marek Papszun
Legia Warszawa
Raków Częstochowa
Legia Warszawa
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3
Raków Częstochowa
Commentary
90'
Full-time. Legia Warszawa 2-4 Raków Częstochowa.
90'
3 minutes of added time.
85'
Legia Warszawa
Offside, Legia Warszawa.
85'
Raków Częstochowa
Corner, Raków Częstochowa.
84'
Attempt blocked. M. Ševčík (Legia Warszawa), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.
82'
Attempt blocked. H. Arreiol (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.
82'
Attempt saved. V. Bichakhchyan (Legia Warszawa), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.10.
76'
Attempt missed. K. Chodyna (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.07.
72'
Attempt blocked. M. Emreli (Raków Częstochowa), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.
72'
Goal! Legia Warszawa 2-4 Raków Częstochowa. O. Kwiatkowski (Raków Częstochowa) scores.
63'
Goal! Legia Warszawa 2-3 Raków Częstochowa. V. Bichakhchyan (Legia Warszawa) scores, assisted by B. Viunnyk.
61'
Goal! Legia Warszawa 1-3 Raków Częstochowa. O. Kwiatkowski (Raków Częstochowa) scores, assisted by E. Otieno.
58'
Goal! Legia Warszawa 1-2 Raków Częstochowa. E. Otieno (Raków Częstochowa) scores, assisted by M. Emreli.
52'
Legia Warszawa
Offside, Legia Warszawa.
47'
Raków Częstochowa
Corner, Raków Częstochowa.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. Legia Warszawa 0-1 Raków Częstochowa.
45'
4 minutes of added time.
36'
Attempt missed. Ł. Zjawiński (Legia Warszawa), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.04.
21'
Goal! Legia Warszawa 0-1 Raków Częstochowa. P. Makuch (Raków Częstochowa) scores, assisted by F. Tudor.
17'
Legia Warszawa
Offside, Legia Warszawa.
11'
Legia Warszawa
Offside, Legia Warszawa.
4'
Raków Częstochowa
Corner, Raków Częstochowa.
4'
Raków Częstochowa
Corner, Raków Częstochowa.
3'
Attempt blocked. M. Emreli (Raków Częstochowa), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.
1'
Kick-off: Legia Warszawa vs Raków Częstochowa.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
28487 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
54.4%
-44.6 vs price
Home
990.0 · implied 0.1%
33.0%
+32.9 vs price
Draw
220.0 · implied 0.5%
12.6%
+12.1 vs price
Half time
49 EUR
Home
2.72 · implied 36.8%
71.9%
+35.1 vs price
Draw
2.48 · implied 40.3%
24.4%
-15.9 vs price
Away
4.4 · implied 22.7%
3.7%
-19.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
15778 EUR · live
Under
3.15 · implied 31.7%
58.6%
+26.9 vs price
Over
1.44 · implied 69.4%
41.8%
-27.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
31 EUR
Over
7.4 · implied 13.5%
69.0%
+55.4 vs price
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
31.1%
-56.7 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
21'
⚽
P. Makuch · assist F. Tudor0–1
32'
🔁
O. Kwiatkowski ◂ M. Diaby
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
V. Bichakhchyan ◂ F. Stępniewski
56'
⚽
K. Chodyna1–1
58'
⚽
E. Otieno · assist M. Emreli1–2
61'
⚽
O. Kwiatkowski · assist E. Otieno1–3
63'
⚽
V. Bichakhchyan · assist B. Viunnyk2–3
66'
VAR
Goal not given after review · R. Deziel Jr.
68'
🔁
R. Vinagre ◂ P. Wszołek
68'
🔁
H. Arreiol ◂ D. Szymański
72'
⚽
O. Kwiatkowski2–4
73'
🔁
Á. Molnár ◂ M. Emreli
73'
🔁
M. Ševčík ◂ B. Viunnyk
84'
🔁
A. Čolak ◂ R. Deziel Jr.
86'
🔁
J. Jendryka ◂ T. Pieńko
86'
🔁
K. Struski ◂ O. Kwiatkowski
86'
🔁
M. Bulat ◂ W. Kocherhin
Full-time · 2–4
Coaches
Marek PapszunDawid Szwarga 
Recent form
Legia WarszawaDAGórnik Zabrze0-0
LHLech Poznań1-2
DAKS Cracovia1-1
WHWisła Kraków2-0
WHMKS Korona Kielce5-1
Raków CzęstochowaWHPogoń Szczecin3-1
DAMotor Lublin1-1
LAWisła Kraków1-2
WAWieczysta Kraków2-1
LHGKS Katowice1-4
About this match
**Legia host Raków in a Warsaw derby that's way tighter than the league table suggests.** These two have been dancing around each other for years — the H2H is basically a coin flip, and recent form says neither side is pulling away. 🔥
Legia's been streaky (2W-2D-1L), while Raków just hammered Pogoń 3-1 at home and look genuinely dangerous on the counter. Missing **B. Kapustka** to suspension is a real bite for the hosts, though — that's a creative outlet gone.
Key storylines:
- **Legia's midfield balance**: without **B. Kapustka**, can **M. Ševčík** and **W. Urbański** control the tempo against a **Raków** side that loves to break fast?
- **Raków's threat on the wing**: **K. Struski** and **J. Silva** have been slick in buildup — **R. Augustyniak** and **R. Vinagre** will have their hands full
- **Set-piece chess**: both sides rank in the chop-and-change zone; corners could decide this one ⚽
Expected lineups:
- **Legia Warszawa**: O. Hindrich, R. Augustyniak, K. Piątkowski, R. Deziel Jr., M. Ševčík, W. Urbański, D. Szymański, Ł. Zjawiński, K. Chodyna
- **Raków Częstochowa**: K. Trelowski, S. Svarnas, B. Racovițan, J. Silva, M. Emreli, M. Bulat, K. Struski, T. Pieńko, P. Makuch
Prediction:
**Legia 2-1 Raków**. Home edge + Kapustka absence tilts it just enough, but it'll be a proper scrap.
Where to watch
Canal+ PremiumCanal+ Sport 3 HDPolsat Box GoTVP Sport AppTVP Sport HDsport.tvp.pl
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie
City
Warsaw
Kickoff
08 Nov, 16:30 UTC
Competition
Ekstraklasa
Highlights & clips
Legia Warszawa
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3
Raków Częstochowa
89
O. Hindrich
5.7
91
K. Piątkowski
6.6
8
R. Augustyniak
6.2
14
A. Čolak
6.5
↑ 84'
19
R. Vinagre
6.5
↑ 68'
6
H. Arreiol
6.4
↑ 68'
53
W. Urbański
6.6
11
K. Chodyna
7.3
21
V. Bichakhchyan
7.9
↑ 46'
23
M. Ševčík
6.5
↑ 73'
79
Ł. Zjawiński
6.3
71
T. Karić
5.8
7
F. Tudor
6.5
25
B. Racovițan
6.0
4
S. Svarnas
6.7
17
J. Jendryka
6.7
↑ 86'
6
O. Repka
6.4
5
M. Bulat
6.4
↑ 86'
26
E. Otieno
8.6
15
O. Kwiatkowski
7.9
↑ 32'
88
Á. Molnár
6.4
↑ 73'
9
P. Makuch
7.7
Top stats
58%Possession42%
0.87Expected goals (xG)2.74
14Total shots15
4Shots on target7
2Big chances5
3Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target5
5Blocked shots3
7Shots inside box10
7Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored3
2Big chances missed2
-0.8Goals prevented-1.19
Attack
20Touches in box17
57Final third entries54
5Offsides0
11Free kicks9
5Fouled in final third0
Passing
521Passes385
452Accurate passes310
18/36 (50%)Long balls24/61 (39%)
5/18 (28%)Crosses2/9 (22%)
18Throw-ins13
Duels
48Duels52
27/61 (44%)Ground duels34/61 (56%)
12/20 (60%)Aerial duels8/20 (40%)
10/21 (48%)Dribbles5/9 (56%)
9Dispossessed2
Defending
6Tackles20
83Tackles won50
9Interceptions14
17Clearances27
47Recoveries43
Discipline
9Fouls11
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
6Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 24 bookmakers
Who winsLegia to win (DNB) 66% · 1.42 @ 10bet
BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 3.80 @ William Hill
1X2Legia to win 49% · 2.25 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.85 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 67% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 25% · 2.67 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 57% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.76 @ Pinnacle
1X2Raków to win 25% · 3.80 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.47 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.85
Legia Warszawa
3.66
Draw
3.70
Raków Częstochowa
Double Chanceconsensus
1.25
Legia Warszawa or Draw
1.24
Legia Warszawa or Raków Częstochowa
1.91
Draw or Raków Częstochowa
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes
2.25
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.60
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
7.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.95
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50
4.42
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.63
Over 2.50
2.17
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.60
Over 3.50
1.44
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.80
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.40
Legia Warszawa
2.75
Raków Częstochowa
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.34
Over 7.50
2.90
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.60
Over 8.50
2.23
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.02
Over 9.50
1.74
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.48
Over 10.50
1.48
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.40
Over 11.50
1.25
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.2%.
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