Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
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**Korona's ground looks unbeatable right now** — they've got a serious home edge, and Radomiak arrive with injury chaos that would make any team sweat. 🏟️
Both sides are stuck in rough form (1W-4L in their last five), but Korona have **dominated this fixture historically**, winning five of the last eight meetings. Radomiak are missing four players including two with cruciate ligament injuries, which is brutal for any squad's rhythm.
Key storylines:
- **Korona's home fortress** — one win in five overall, but they're dangerous at Exbud Arena with that head-to-head track record
- **Radomiak's injury crisis** — A. Donis, K. Szcześniak, M. Cichocki, and I. Camará all out; depth is going to be tested hard
- **M. Stępiński and M. Fassbender** need to convert chances; Korona create but haven't finished consistently away from home
Expected lineups:
- **MKS Korona Kielce**: X. Dziekoński, A. Mosór, S. Rubežić, M. Pieczek, W. Długosz, P. Hellebrand, K. Jakubczyk, C. Mena, M. Stępiński, M. Fassbender, D. Błanik
- **Radomiak Radom**: F. Majchrowicz, J. Grzesik, Z. Ouattara, S. Kingue, Conrado, F. Koperski, C. Donis, G. Luiz, R. Lumungo, A. Tapsoba, F. Gouré
Prediction:
**Korona 2–0 Radomiak**
Home advantage and Radomiak's backline stretched thin — lean Korona. ✅
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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