Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Motor Lublin's rolling at home and Wisła Płock is wobbling** — this is a clash between Ekstraklasa's hottest local side and a team that can't quite find consistency. 🔥
Motor are unbeaten in their last five (3W, 2D), while Wisła have dropped points messily with two losses in that same stretch. The home crowd at Arena Lublin will be buzzing, and frankly, Motor should fancy this one.
Key storylines:
- **Motor Lublin's defensive solidity** anchored by F. Luberecki and T. Plavotić has been quietly lethal — they've shut down better sides than this
- **Wisła's attack needs answers**: O. Kobacki and Ł. Sekulski will have to work overtime against a well-drilled backline
- **H2H edge to Motor** — they've won one and drawn one against Wisła in recent meetings, setting the tone
Expected lineups:
- **Motor Lublin**: G. Tratnik, F. Luberecki, T. Plavotić, M. K. Bartoš, B. Bereszyński, M. Ndiaye, K. Lukoszek, C. Simon, Y. Bourhane, R. Lopes, K. Czubak
- **Wisła Płock**: R. Leszczyński, A. Silva, M. Haglind Sangre, M. Kamiński, D. Gallapeni, Ž. Rogelj, J. Pršir, A. Radwanski, O. Kobacki, Ł. Sekulski, S. Akere
Prediction:
**Motor Lublin 2–0 Wisła Płock**. Home form + form gap = a comfortable night for the hosts. 💪
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.3%.
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