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Alexander Ende
Fortuna Düsseldorf
SC Freiburg
Fortuna Düsseldorf
5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
SC Freiburg
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
75743 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
93.0%
-6.0 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
4.8%
+4.7 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
2.2%
+2.1 vs price
Half time
2034 EUR · live
Away
1.18 · implied 84.7%
62.3%
-22.4 vs price
Home
7.4 · implied 13.5%
31.6%
+18.1 vs price
Draw
7.6 · implied 13.2%
6.0%
-7.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
23273 EUR · live
Under
2.3 · implied 43.5%
69.3%
+25.8 vs price
Over
1.8 · implied 55.6%
30.7%
-24.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4656 EUR · live
Under
1.15 · implied 87.0%
93.3%
+6.3 vs price
Over
6.0 · implied 16.7%
6.7%
-10.0 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
18'
⚽
L. Höler · assist P. Osterhage0–1
23'
Y. Suzuki · Foul
Half-time · 0–1
60'
🔁
J. Paulina ◂ E. Hottmann
60'
🔁
S. Van Der Sloot ◂ S. Risch
69'
🔁
D. Scherhant ◂ V. Grifo
69'
🔁
I. Matanović ◂ Y. Suzuki
71'
⚽
I. Matanović · assist D. Scherhant0–2
71'
M. Zimmermann · Foul
72'
🔁
P. Förster ◂ M. Benger
72'
🔁
M. F. Goncalves ◂ Y. Bouchama
74'
⚽
L. Kübler0–3
76'
⚽
F. Schleusener · assist M. Zimmermann1–3
80'
⚽
J. Makengo · assist I. Matanović1–4
81'
🔁
C. Irié ◂ J. Beste
81'
🔁
C. Günter ◂ J. Makengo
82'
🔁
A. Slimani ◂ A. Müller
87'
🔁
K. Goto ◂ L. Höler
Full-time · 1–5
90'+4
⚽
I. Matanović · assist C. Irié1–5
Coaches
Alexander EndeJulian Schuster 
Recent form
Fortuna DüsseldorfLHHannover 962-3
WHBorussia Dortmund2-1
LALASK0-2
WHMFK Ružomberok2-0
WAVfL Benrath12-1
SC FreiburgWAMotherwell3-1
WHCrystal Palace3-0
WHRC Strasbourg2-0
LASpVgg Greuther Fürth0-3
WADerby County3-1
Where to watch
Sky Go
Diema Sport 3 HDPlay Diema Xtra
Sky Sport HD 1
RTL+Sky GoSky Sport 10Sky Sport HD 1Sky Sport HD 10Sky Sport HD 2Sky Sport MixWOW
VOYO
Sky GoSky Sport HD 1Sky Sport HD 10Sky Sport HD 2
Eleven Sports 2 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Merkur Spiel-Arena
City
Dusseldorf
Kickoff
23 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
DFB Pokal
Highlights & clips
Fortuna Düsseldorf
5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
SC Freiburg
22
L. Lord
6.4
25
M. Zimmermann
6.1
15
T. Oberdorf
5.9
10
P. Förster
6.5
↑ 72'
3
D. Heintz
6.1
2
S. Van Der Sloot
5.6
↑ 60'
18
M. F. Goncalves
6.3
↑ 72'
34
A. Slimani
6.3
↑ 82'
8
J. Hendrix
6.6
24
F. Schleusener
7.2
27
J. Paulina
6.4
↑ 60'
1
M. Backhaus
6.6
17
L. Kübler
7.0
28
M. Ginter
6.9
3
P. Lienhart
7.1
30
C. Günter
6.6
↑ 81'
6
P. Osterhage
7.7
8
M. Eggestein
6.7
22
C. Irié
6.7
↑ 81'
31
I. Matanović
9.4
↑ 69'
7
D. Scherhant
7.2
↑ 69'
42
K. Goto
6.4
↑ 87'
Substitutes
1GL. Riess
28DS. Risch↓ 60'6.1
44DE. Egouli
6MA. Müller↓ 82'6.6
5MY. Bouchama↓ 72'6.4
16MM. Benger↓ 72'6.1
14MJ. Consbruch
38ME. Arden
9FE. Hottmann↓ 60'6.6
Coach: Alexander Ende
Substitutes
21GF. Müller
33DJ. Makengo↓ 81'7.7
29DP. Treu
43DB. Ogbus
19MJ. Beste↓ 81'6.8
32MV. Grifo↓ 69'6.5
14MY. Suzuki↓ 69'6.2
16MY. Engelhardt
9FL. Höler↓ 87'7.2
Coach: Julian Schuster
Top stats
45%Possession55%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
5Total shots17
2Shots on target10
1Big chances7
3Corners9
Shots
3Shots off target5
0Blocked shots2
3Shots inside box12
2Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored5
0Big chances missed2
Attack
12Touches in box36
36Final third entries60
2Offsides1
4Free kicks15
0Fouled in final third4
Passing
417Passes507
342Accurate passes417
17/44 (39%)Long balls24/49 (49%)
2/10 (20%)Crosses8/28 (29%)
23Throw-ins21
Duels
47Duels53
18/39 (46%)Ground duels21/39 (54%)
10/20 (50%)Aerial duels10/20 (50%)
3/4 (75%)Dribbles2/8 (25%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
11Tackles5
55Tackles won60
14Interceptions6
48Clearances9
40Recoveries45
Discipline
15Fouls4
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves1
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks5
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsFreiburg to win (DNB) 79% · 1.30 @ ladbrokes
1X2Freiburg to win 64% · 1.75 @ ladbrokes
GoalsOver 3.5 goals 50% · 2.16 @ betcity
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 71% · 3.20 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 87% · 1.70 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 64% · 3.00 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.52 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 20% · 3.20 @ betcity
1X2Fortuna to win 16% · 5.83 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
5.84
Fortuna Düsseldorf ▼
4.60
Draw ▲
1.45
SC Freiburg ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
2.55
Fortuna Düsseldorf or Draw ▲
1.17
Fortuna Düsseldorf or SC Freiburg ▼
1.12
Draw or SC Freiburg ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.58
Yes ▲
2.24
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
13.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.70
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
19.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.12
Over 1.50
5.43
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.44
Over 2.50
2.61
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.10
Over 3.50 ▼
1.66
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.50
Over 4.50
1.27
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
4.38
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.18
SC Freiburg
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.30
Over 7.50
3.08
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.56
Over 8.50
2.30
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.91
Over 9.50
1.79
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.54
Over 10.50
1.42
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.24
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
87% confidence
SC Freiburg to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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