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Uwe Koschinat
Rot-Weiss Essen
FC St. Pauli
Rot-Weiss Essen
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
FC St. Pauli
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
103208 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
67.0%
-32.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
28.2%
+28.1 vs price
Draw
200.0 · implied 0.5%
4.9%
+4.4 vs price
Half time
633 EUR · live
Draw
1.86 · implied 53.8%
49.3%
-4.4 vs price
Home
4.2 · implied 23.8%
36.5%
+12.7 vs price
Away
3.35 · implied 29.9%
13.9%
-15.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
68366 EUR · live
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
69.0%
-21.9 vs price
Over
10.0 · implied 10.0%
31.0%
+21.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1689 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
91.0%
-6.1 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
8.9%
+6.2 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
27'
A. Pyrka · Foul
36'
⚽
M. Janssen · assist M. Obuz1–0
44'
T. Menzel · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
53'
⚽
S. Telalović · assist J. Hofmann2–0
60'
🔁
S. Banks ◂ J. C. Fujita
65'
🔁
E. Smith ◂ M. Rasmussen
65'
🔁
R. Jones ◂ T. Hara
73'
🔁
D. Abiama ◂ N. Pesch
73'
🔁
R. Reisig ◂ M. Janssen
77'
🔁
E. Ahlstrand ◂ L. Oppie
77'
🔁
C. Metcalfe ◂ M. Kaars
77'
S. Telalović · Foul
80'
🔁
J. C. Potocnik ◂ S. Telalović
81'
🔁
L. Brumme ◂ M. Obuz
89'
🔁
L. Bazzoli ◂ T. Menzel
Full-time · 2–0
90'+1
M. Mathisen · Argument
Coaches
Marcel Rapp 
Recent form
LABayer 04 Leverkusen0-3
LHBorussia M'gladbach1-2
LASV Ried0-3
WHSchwarz-Weiss Essen5-1
WAVfB Bottrop 190011-0
DAHolstein Kiel2-2
DHSpVgg Greuther Fürth1-1
DHDeportivo de A Coruña2-2
LABournemouth1-4
WHHNK Gorica2-1
Where to watch
Sky Go
Sky Sport HD 1
RTL+Sky GoSky Sport HD 1Sky Sport HD 3Sky Sport MixWOW
Sky GoSky Sport HD 1Sky Sport HD 3
Eleven Sports 3 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Essen
City
Essen
Kickoff
23 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
DFB Pokal
Highlights & clips
1
J. Golz
7.5
37
J. Hofmann
7.7
15
B. Huning
6.6
6
M. Geschwill
6.6
19
F. Bouebari
6.8
22
J. Sietan
7.2
32
L. Bazzoli
↑ 89'
14
L. Brumme
6.8
↑ 81'
9
J. C. Potocnik
6.4
↑ 80'
16
R. Reisig
6.7
↑ 73'
18
D. Abiama
6.1
↑ 73'
1
B. Voll
7.1
4
D. Nemeth
7.2
6
M. Mathisen
6.9
15
T. Ando
7.3
11
A. Pyrka
6.8
8
E. Smith
6.8
↑ 65'
17
S. Banks
6.4
↑ 60'
14
E. Ahlstrand
7.0
↑ 77'
10
B. Hrgota
7.2
24
C. Metcalfe
6.5
↑ 77'
26
R. Jones
6.4
↑ 65'
Substitutes
35GF. Wienand
23DJ. Rios Alonso
26DE. Çelebi
10MM. Obuz↓ 81'7.4
8MT. Menzel↓ 89'6.5
20FM. Janssen↓ 73'7.6
17FS. Telalović↓ 80'7.3
11FN. Pesch↓ 73'7.0
7FA. Dardari
Coach: Uwe Koschinat
Substitutes
33GD. Mitov
21DL. Ritzka
25DA. Dźwigała
23ML. Oppie↓ 77'6.7
20MM. Rasmussen↓ 65'6.5
16MJ. C. Fujita↓ 60'6.4
22MS. Klein
18FT. Hara↓ 65'6.6
19FM. Kaars↓ 77'6.2
Coach: Marcel Rapp
Top stats
39%Possession61%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
19Total shots7
7Shots on target2
3Big chances2
7Corners1
Shots
7Shots off target5
5Blocked shots0
14Shots inside box6
5Shots outside box1
0Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed2
Attack
23Touches in box15
56Final third entries85
3Offsides2
17Free kicks17
3Fouled in final third0
Passing
264Passes431
169Accurate passes326
18/77 (23%)Long balls37/65 (57%)
7/23 (30%)Crosses1/13 (0%)
30Throw-ins29
Duels
42Duels58
33/70 (47%)Ground duels37/70 (53%)
11/36 (31%)Aerial duels25/36 (69%)
3/11 (27%)Dribbles5/7 (71%)
9Dispossessed11
Defending
13Tackles17
46Tackles won65
10Interceptions4
29Clearances26
41Recoveries35
Discipline
17Fouls17
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
0Big saves1
13Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
Who winsSt. Pauli to win (DNB) 59% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
1X2St. Pauli to win 44% · 2.40 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.60 @ efbet.net
1X2Draw 25% · 2.80 @ Unibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 3.40 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 2.62 @ Bet365
1X2RW Essen to win 31% · 3.40 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.03
Rot-Weiss Essen ▲
3.69
Draw ▼
2.09
FC St. Pauli ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.67
Rot-Weiss Essen or Draw ▲
1.25
Rot-Weiss Essen or FC St. Pauli ▼
1.34
Draw or FC St. Pauli ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.46
Yes ▲
2.50
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
6.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
15.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.15
Over 1.50 ▲
4.82
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.52
Over 2.50 ▲
2.37
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.30
Over 3.50 ▲
1.56
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.03
Over 4.50
1.20
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.25
Rot-Weiss Essen
1.57
FC St. Pauli
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50
3.92
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.36
Over 8.50
2.76
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.64
Over 9.50
2.08
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.02
Over 10.50
1.70
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.57
Over 11.50
1.42
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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