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Heiko Vogel
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum 1848
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
VfL Bochum 1848
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
240502 EUR · live
Away
1.07 · implied 93.5%
84.2%
-9.3 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
10.8%
+10.7 vs price
Draw
17.0 · implied 5.9%
5.0%
-0.9 vs price
Half time
1048 EUR · live
Away
4.1 · implied 24.4%
65.2%
+40.8 vs price
Draw
2.42 · implied 41.3%
23.2%
-18.1 vs price
Home
4.5 · implied 22.2%
11.5%
-10.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
30450 EUR · live
Over
2.02 · implied 49.5%
52.6%
+3.1 vs price
Under
1.96 · implied 51.0%
47.4%
-3.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
814 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
79.8%
-9.5 vs price
Over
22.0 · implied 4.5%
20.0%
+15.5 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
25'
⚽
C. Rasmussen0–1
36'
🔁
J. Mbom ◂ O. Olsen
Half-time · 0–1
57'
K. Keresztes · Foul
61'
J. Mbom · Argument
61'
P. Will · Argument
63'
🔁
D. Hanslik ◂ B. Taz
63'
🔁
A. Crimaldi ◂ C. Rasmussen
64'
⚽
P. Hofmann0–2
68'
🔁
A. Keller ◂ Olinho
68'
🔁
L. Reich ◂ J. Dehm
74'
🔁
L. Sawas ◂ M. Wittek
75'
🔁
M. Dal ◂ K. Keresztes
75'
🔁
T. Meyer ◂ M. Pannewig
77'
⚽
M. Dal · assist L. Itter1–2
80'
E. Çokaj · Foul
84'
🔁
O. Balliu ◂ S. Bansé
88'
🔁
◂ J. Mbom
Full-time · 1–2
Coaches
Heiko VogelUwe Rösler 
Recent form
SpVgg Greuther FürthLH1. FC Nürnberg2-4
DAFC St. Pauli1-1
WHSC Freiburg3-0
LHTSG Hoffenheim1-4
WAFC Zürich3-2
VfL Bochum 1848WAEintracht Braunschweig1-0
LHHertha BSC0-1
DHSheffield United0-0
LASV Werder Bremen0-2
WHSwansea City2-0
Where to watch
Sky Go
DAZN Belgium
Nova Sport
Betano
Sky Sport HD 1
RTL+Sky GoSky Sport HD 1Sky Sport HD 3Sky Sport MixSky Sport NewsWOW
Sky GoSky Sport HD 1Sky Sport HD 3
Eleven Sports 2 HD
Match facts
Stadium
Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer
City
Fürth
Referee
Kickoff
23 Aug, 11:00 UTC
Competition
DFB Pokal
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
VfL Bochum 1848
1
F. Hellstern
7.0
2
L. Reich
7.0
↑ 68'
22
J. Heuer
7.3
5
M. Dal
7.3
↑ 75'
27
L. Itter
8.2
8
S. Appelkamp
6.9
45
O. Balliu
6.6
↑ 84'
13
P. Will
7.3
11
A. Keller
6.9
↑ 68'
30
F. Klaus
7.0
7
D. Srbeny
6.9
1
T. Horn
7.8
8
J. Mbom
6.5
↑ 36'
15
M. Steinwender
8.1
5
K. Mets
6.8
31
L. Sawas
6.4
↑ 74'
6
E. Çokaj
6.5
34
T. Meyer
6.6
↑ 75'
23
K. Miyoshi
6.5
19
D. Hanslik
6.6
↑ 63'
37
A. Crimaldi
6.5
↑ 63'
33
P. Hofmann
7.2
Substitutes
43GS. Prüfrock
29DK. Keresztes↓ 75'6.5
23DJ. Dehm↓ 68'6.3
48DJ. Krautkramer
17DN. König
10MOlinho↓ 68'6.8
6MS. Bansé↓ 84'6.6
21MM. Wallentowitz
28MD. Arifi
Coach: Heiko Vogel
Top stats
65%Possession35%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
22Total shots6
4Shots on target3
2Big chances1
11Corners1
Shots
9Shots off target1
9Blocked shots2
15Shots inside box4
7Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
Attack
39Touches in box8
81Final third entries41
0Offsides3
14Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
511Passes293
429Accurate passes223
39/65 (60%)Long balls18/57 (32%)
9/38 (24%)Crosses1/6 (17%)
26Throw-ins12
Duels
54Duels46
27/50 (54%)Ground duels23/50 (46%)
14/26 (54%)Aerial duels12/26 (46%)
6/9 (67%)Dribbles1/3 (33%)
7Dispossessed6
Defending
8Tackles10
75Tackles won60
9Interceptions11
7Clearances44
27Recoveries38
Discipline
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
3Goal kicks13
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 68 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.90 @ William Hill
BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 2.80 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.95 @ 10bet
1X2Bochum to win 37% · 3.00 @ betcity
1X2Draw 27% · 2.63 @ Unibet
Who winsFürth to win (DNB) 51% · 1.80 @ granmadrid
1X2Fürth to win 36% · 3.00 @ Bet365
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 60% · 1.50 @ boylesports
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.56
SpVgg Greuther Fürth ▼
3.40
Draw ▼
2.52
VfL Bochum 1848 ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.47
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw ▼
1.28
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or VfL Bochum 1848 ▼
1.46
Draw or VfL Bochum 1848 ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.54
Yes ▼
2.32
No ▲
Home Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.80
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
12.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.19
Over 1.50 ▼
4.17
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.66
Over 2.50 ▼
2.12
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.60
Over 3.50 ▼
1.44
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.79
Over 4.50
1.15
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.81
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.90
VfL Bochum 1848
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.66
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.58
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.76
Over 9.50
2.01
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.04
Over 10.50
1.69
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.76
Over 11.50
1.38
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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