← All matches
Kevin Wölk
1.FC Phönix Lübeck
SC Paderborn 07
1.FC Phönix Lübeck
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
SC Paderborn 07
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
91374 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.7%
-2.3 vs price
Home
500.0 · implied 0.2%
2.1%
+1.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
1.2%
+1.1 vs price
Half time
2793 EUR · live
Away
1.12 · implied 89.3%
90.9%
+1.6 vs price
Home
9.6 · implied 10.4%
5.8%
-4.7 vs price
Draw
11.0 · implied 9.1%
3.3%
-5.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
10699 EUR · live
Over
1.09 · implied 91.7%
95.8%
+4.1 vs price
Under
12.0 · implied 8.3%
4.2%
-4.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1293 EUR · live
Over
4.5 · implied 22.2%
65.4%
+43.1 vs price
Under
1.32 · implied 75.8%
34.6%
-41.2 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
22'
⚽
J. Ter-Horst · assist M. Hansen0–1
36'
R. Obermair · Foul
41'
⚽
S. Castaneda · assist L. Ulrich0–2
43'
⚽
M. Kretzer1–2
Half-time · 1–2
46'
🔁
O. Batista Meier ◂ A. Millgramm
46'
🔁
C. Lippmann ◂ R. Obermair
46'
🔁
J. M. Beke ◂ K. Skolik
61'
⚽
S. Marino1–3
66'
🔁
J. Meier ◂ O. Rahimic
66'
🔁
O. Touray ◂ A. Ihde
68'
F. Maiolo · Foul
71'
⚽
G. Vidović · assist O. Batista Meier1–4
72'
🔁
J. Kliti ◂ M. Kretzer
72'
🔁
S. Tigges ◂ S. Marino
73'
🔁
M. Fernandes ◂ J. Stöver
73'
🔁
D. Zeitler ◂ G. Vidović
75'
M. Schubert · Foul
75'
⚽
T. L. Scheller2–4
77'
🔁
J. Sticker ◂ M. Hansen
Full-time · 2–4
Coaches
Kevin WölkRalf Kettemann 
Recent form
1.FC Phönix LübeckDHGreifswalder FC1-1
LAVSG Altglienicke2-3
LAHannover 961-3
DABerliner FC Dynamo1-1
WAVfR Neumünster5-0
SC Paderborn 07DASV Werder Bremen2-2
WAVfL Osnabrück2-0
WHSouthampton2-1
LH1. FC Magdeburg0-2
WHFagiano Okayama3-1
Where to watch
Sky Go
Sky Sport HD 1
RTL+Sky GoSky Sport HD 1Sky Sport HD 4Sky Sport MixWOW
Sky GoSky Sport HD 1Sky Sport HD 4
Match facts
Stadium
Stadium Airfield
City
Lubeck
Referee
Kickoff
23 Aug, 16:00 UTC
Competition
DFB Pokal
1.FC Phönix Lübeck
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
SC Paderborn 07
1
T. Kips
6.3
28
J. Farr
6.5
3
J. Vollert
6.3
22
P. Markvoort
6.5
30
D. Haritonov
5.6
7
J. Kliti
6.8
↑ 72'
8
F. Maiolo
6.0
19
J. Meier
6.1
↑ 66'
80
O. Touray
6.3
↑ 66'
13
J. M. Beke
6.5
↑ 46'
17
M. Fernandes
6.6
↑ 73'
1
M. Schubert
7.0
21
J. Ter-Horst
7.7
25
T. L. Scheller
7.0
3
J. Sticker
6.8
↑ 77'
17
L. Curda
7.7
28
L. Ulrich
7.4
5
S. Castaneda
8.1
29
C. Lippmann
6.7
↑ 46'
7
O. Batista Meier
7.2
↑ 46'
38
D. Zeitler
6.7
↑ 73'
27
S. Tigges
6.1
↑ 72'
Substitutes
32GC. Barkmann
4DK. Hüneburg
14MM. Kretzer↓ 72'7.3
18MO. Rahimic↓ 66'7.0
6MM. Dammeier
23FK. Skolik↓ 46'6.7
10FJ. Stöver↓ 73'6.6
11FA. Ihde↓ 66'6.1
24FB. Luis
Coach: Kevin Wölk
Substitutes
15GN. Noll
22DM. Hansen↓ 77'7.1
40MG. Vidović↓ 73'7.5
23MR. Obermair↓ 46'6.1
8ML. Duric
24MN. Mohr
6MT. Baack
30FS. Marino↓ 72'7.0
19FA. Millgramm↓ 46'6.0
Coach: Ralf Kettemann
Top stats
37%Possession63%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
15Total shots24
7Shots on target10
2Big chances3
8Corners9
Shots
4Shots off target8
4Blocked shots6
11Shots inside box16
4Shots outside box8
2Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored2
2Big chances missed1
Attack
16Touches in box43
43Final third entries66
4Offsides3
10Free kicks17
2Fouled in final third1
Passing
308Passes536
210Accurate passes459
24/70 (34%)Long balls30/54 (56%)
1/12 (0%)Crosses8/24 (33%)
17Throw-ins26
Duels
45Duels55
32/67 (48%)Ground duels35/67 (52%)
7/20 (35%)Aerial duels13/20 (65%)
5/11 (45%)Dribbles10/19 (53%)
5Dispossessed9
Defending
18Tackles11
78Tackles won55
9Interceptions9
21Clearances19
39Recoveries43
Discipline
17Fouls10
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
6Saves4
4Big saves0
17Goal kicks5
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 49 bookmakers
1X2Paderborn to win 88% · 1.35 @ William Hill
Who winsPaderborn to win (DNB) 96% · 1.06 @ Betano
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 2.70 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.40 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 2.25 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 2.75 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 9% · 4.70 @ Unibet
1X2Phönix Lübeck to win 3% · 10.00 @ Unibet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
27.58
1.FC Phönix Lübeck ▲
10.97
Draw ▲
1.06
SC Paderborn 07 ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
9.40
1.FC Phönix Lübeck or Draw ▲
1.03
1.FC Phönix Lübeck or SC Paderborn 07
1.01
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.35
Yes ▲
1.52
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
46.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
2.30
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
34.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.03
Over 1.50 ▼
10.04
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.17
Over 2.50
4.51
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.47
Over 3.50 ▼
2.50
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
2.06
Over 4.50
1.70
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
10.00
1.FC Phönix Lübeck
1.04
SC Paderborn 07
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50
3.60
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.44
Over 8.50
2.52
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50
1.99
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.18
Over 10.50
1.64
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.71
Over 11.50
1.39
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
SC Paderborn 07 to win or draw
✓
97% confidence
SC Paderborn 07 to avoid defeat
✓
96% confidence
SC Paderborn 07 win
✓
88% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.