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Philipp Obloch
Hamburg-Eimsbütteler Ballspiel Club 1911
Borussia Dortmund
Hamburg-Eimsbütteler Ballspiel Club 1911
5-4-1 · 4-3-3
Borussia Dortmund
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
206451 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
99.2%
+0.2 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
0.4%
+0.3 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
0.3%
+0.2 vs price
Half time
32237 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
97.9%
-1.2 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
2.1%
+1.0 vs price
Home
32.0 · implied 3.1%
0.1%
-3.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
19325 EUR · live
Over
1.02 · implied 98.0%
96.6%
-1.5 vs price
Under
48.0 · implied 2.1%
3.5%
+1.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
38885 EUR · live
Under
1.8 · implied 55.6%
70.3%
+14.8 vs price
Over
2.22 · implied 45.0%
29.7%
-15.4 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
33'
⚽
J. Wrede0–1
36'
⚽
D. Svensson · assist J. Ryerson0–2
41'
⚽
S. Inacio · assist M. Sabitzer0–3
Half-time · 0–4
45'+2
⚽
S. Inacio · assist J. Ryerson0–4
46'
🔁
M. Beier ◂ J. Ryerson
46'
🔁
C. Chukwuemeka ◂ F. Nmecha
46'
🔁
N. Ahmann ◂ J. Schoon
55'
🔁
L. Aug ◂ P. Oldag
55'
🔁
M. Magens ◂ R. Schick
58'
🔁
K. Prates ◂ D. Svensson
59'
⚽
F. Silva · assist J. Veerman0–5
67'
🔁
M. A. Wilhelm ◂ F. Lemke
67'
🔁
S. Demirovic ◂ T. B. D. Köhler
67'
🔁
L. Reggiani ◂ W. Anton
72'
H. Nawaz · Foul
77'
🔁
K. Karetsas ◂ S. Inacio
Full-time · 0–5
Coaches
Niko Kovač 
Recent form
WHHamburger SV2-0
DHAS Roma2-2
WAFC Tokyo1-0
LACerezo Osaka0-1
LAFortuna Düsseldorf1-2
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Match facts
Highlights & clips
1
N. Ahmann
6.5
↑ 46'
33
C. Grunewald
6.3
24
J. E. Stegemann
5.6
15
J. Wrede
6.0
18
J. Eggers
6.0
27
L. Zitzewitz
5.4
3
L. Aug
6.6
↑ 55'
22
M. Magens
6.5
↑ 55'
11
H. Nawaz
6.0
5
S. Demirovic
6.5
↑ 67'
10
M. A. Wilhelm
6.8
↑ 67'
33
A. Meyer
7.0
17
C. Chukwuemeka
6.6
↑ 46'
39
F. Mané
8.2
49
L. Reggiani
7.0
↑ 67'
36
K. Prates
6.6
↑ 58'
20
M. Sabitzer
7.2
14
M. Beier
6.3
↑ 46'
25
J. Veerman
8.1
19
K. Karetsas
6.7
↑ 77'
21
F. Silva
6.0
41
M. Albert
6.6
Substitutes
12GJ. Schoon↓ 46'5.3
20DP. Onnen
19DM. Nagel
7MT. B. D. Köhler↓ 67'6.5
8MP. Oldag↓ 55'6.4
21MF. Lemke↓ 67'6.1
17MR. Schick↓ 55'6.0
16MM. A. Aktürk
6ML. García
Coach: Philipp Obloch
Top stats
23%Possession77%
0.11Expected goals (xG, estimated)4.05
2Total shots36
1Shots on target12
0Big chances6
2Corners17
Shots
1Shots off target15
0Blocked shots9
1Shots inside box28
1Shots outside box8
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed5
Attack
3Touches in box101
29Final third entries97
1Offsides4
7Free kicks10
0Fouled in final third4
Passing
191Passes624
121Accurate passes568
14/47 (30%)Long balls22/26 (85%)
0/5 (0%)Crosses11/38 (29%)
13Throw-ins21
Duels
45Duels55
28/63 (44%)Ground duels35/63 (56%)
5/10 (50%)Aerial duels5/10 (50%)
3/13 (23%)Dribbles11/25 (44%)
4Dispossessed4
Defending
18Tackles14
50Tackles won64
10Interceptions8
46Clearances8
38Recoveries53
Discipline
10Fouls7
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
8Saves1
2Big saves0
23Goal kicks4
3Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 14 bookmakers
GoalsOver 3.5 goals 92% · 1.02 @ 1xBet
1X2Dortmund to win 94% · 1.01 @ 1xBet
Who winsDortmund to win (DNB) 98% · 1.00 @ Bwin
BTTSBTTS: No 58% · 1.70 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.03 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 1.12 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 4% · 29.00 @ William Hill
1X2HEBC Hamburg to win 2% · 101.00 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
50.00
Hamburg-Eimsbütteler Ballspiel Club 1911
26.00
Draw
1.01
Borussia Dortmund
Double Chanceconsensus
30.00
Hamburg-Eimsbütteler Ballspiel Club 1911 or Draw
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.73
Yes
1.42
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
151.00
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
1.50
YES
Total Goals 2.50consensus
50.50
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
1.02
Over 3.50
12.00
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
1.06
Over 4.50
7.00
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
26.00
Hamburg-Eimsbütteler Ballspiel Club 1911
1.00
Borussia Dortmund
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.03
Over 7.50
6.55
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.15
Over 8.50
4.08
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.34
Over 9.50
2.84
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.61
Over 10.50
2.16
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
1.96
Over 11.50
1.75
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
51.00
Hamburg-Eimsbütteler Ballspiel Club 1911
19.00
Draw
1.02
Borussia Dortmund
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
80.50
Hamburg-Eimsbütteler Ballspiel Club 1911
27.00
Draw
1.01
Borussia Dortmund
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Borussia Dortmund to win or draw
✓
98% confidence
Borussia Dortmund to avoid defeat
✓
98% confidence
Borussia Dortmund win
✓
94% confidence
Over 3.5 goals
✓
92% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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