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Rikizo Matsuhashi
FC Tokyo
Machida Zelvia
FC Tokyo
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
133931 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
71.6%
-27.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
24.1%
+24.0 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
4.4%
+4.2 vs price
Half time
1710 EUR · live
Draw
4.9 · implied 20.4%
58.3%
+37.9 vs price
Home
1.29 · implied 77.5%
24.1%
-53.4 vs price
Away
29.0 · implied 3.4%
17.5%
+14.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14344 EUR · live
Over
1.31 · implied 76.3%
73.6%
-2.7 vs price
Under
4.1 · implied 24.4%
26.5%
+2.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1606 EUR · live
Over
7.8 · implied 12.8%
57.0%
+44.2 vs price
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
42.9%
-46.4 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
5'
⚽
M. Ryan · assist K. Sato1–0
27'
⚽
M. Duke · assist Y. Nakayama1–1
37'
K. Hashimoto · Foul
42'
🔁
H. Ishihara ◂ M. Nagakura
42'
D. Okamura · Foul
Half-time · 1–2
45'+2
⚽
T. Akimoto1–2
46'
🔁
R. Omori ◂ K. Tawaratsumida
51'
⚽
Y. Soma1–3
65'
⚽
T. Yengi · assist Y. Nakayama1–4
66'
🔁
T. Nishimura ◂ M. Duke
66'
🔁
S. Homma ◂ K. Hashimoto
66'
🔁
F. Yamada ◂ M. Ryan
79'
🔁
H. H. Mochizuki ◂ H. Nakamura
79'
🔁
S. Fujio ◂ T. Yengi
79'
🔁
R. Shirasaki ◂ N. Lavi
80'
⚽
D. Okamura1–5
85'
🔁
T. Nakagawa ◂ H. Inamura
85'
🔁
K. Sento ◂ Y. Soma
89'
K. Sato · Foul
Full-time · 1–5
Coaches
Rikizo MatsuhashiGo Kuroda 
Recent form
FC TokyoLHBorussia Dortmund0-1
WHNagoya Grampus2-1
LHCerezo Osaka1-3
DACerezo Osaka2-2
LAKashima Antlers0-1
Machida ZelviaWHFujieda MYFC2-1
WHNagoya Grampus2-1
DANagoya Grampus2-2
WHUrawa Red Diamonds1-0
DAKawasaki Frontale1-1
Where to watch
DAZNNHK BS 1
Match facts
Stadium
Ajinomoto Stadium
City
Tokyo
Kickoff
08 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
FC Tokyo
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
81
K. Seung-gyu
5.5
2
S. Muroya
6.1
24
A. Scholz
6.8
4
H. Inamura
5.5
71
F. Yamada
6.3
↑ 66'
10
K. Sato
6.9
19
S. Homma
6.4
↑ 66'
8
T. Ko
6.4
15
R. Omori
6.0
↑ 46'
22
H. Ishihara
5.7
↑ 42'
39
T. Nakagawa
6.6
↑ 85'
1
K. Tani
7.9
3
G. Shoji
6.3
50
D. Okamura
7.5
19
Y. Nakayama
8.6
6
H. H. Mochizuki
6.6
↑ 79'
16
H. Mae
6.4
23
R. Shirasaki
6.5
↑ 79'
33
T. Akimoto
7.6
20
T. Nishimura
6.3
↑ 66'
8
K. Sento
6.4
↑ 85'
9
S. Fujio
6.5
↑ 79'
Substitutes
1GH. Tanaka
42DK. Hashimoto↓ 66'5.0
18DK. Hashimoto↓ 66'5.0
20DS. Nagano
3DM. Morishige
33MK. Tawaratsumida↓ 46'6.8
27MK. Tokiwa
9FM. Ryan↓ 66'7.6
26FM. Nagakura↓ 42'6.6
Coach: Rikizo Matsuhashi
Top stats
44%Possession56%
1.38Expected goals (xG)2.1
9Total shots17
4Shots on target8
2Big chances3
2Corners5
Shots
3Shots off target8
2Blocked shots1
8Shots inside box11
1Shots outside box6
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored3
2Big chances missed0
Attack
18Touches in box28
61Final third entries80
1Offsides3
10Free kicks11
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
417Passes512
338Accurate passes443
32/67 (48%)Long balls20/48 (42%)
2/15 (13%)Crosses6/22 (27%)
20Throw-ins26
Duels
56Duels44
32/56 (57%)Ground duels24/56 (43%)
12/22 (55%)Aerial duels10/22 (45%)
2/5 (40%)Dribbles3/12 (25%)
7Dispossessed11
Defending
20Tackles10
45Tackles won60
11Interceptions6
23Clearances17
40Recoveries49
Discipline
11Fouls10
1Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
8Goal kicks7
3Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 66 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.60 @ boylesports
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 61% · 1.55 @ Betway
1X2Draw 31% · 2.26 @ msport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 71% · 1.33 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.22 @ boylesports
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.83 @ boylesports
1X2Machida to win 31% · 3.90 @ fonbet
Who winsTokyo to win (DNB) 56% · 1.68 @ BetMGM.uk
CornersOver 8.5 corners 51% · 1.88 @ Pinnacle
1X2Tokyo to win 39% · 2.80 @ kto
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 67% · 1.55 @ betfair
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.30
FC Tokyo
3.00
Draw
3.27
Machida Zelvia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.31
FC Tokyo or Draw
1.36
FC Tokyo or Machida Zelvia
1.56
Draw or Machida Zelvia
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.05
Yes
1.70
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.11
Over 0.50
6.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.47
Over 1.50
2.53
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.45
Over 2.50
1.50
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.64
Over 3.50
1.16
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
9.94
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.60
FC Tokyo
2.23
Machida Zelvia
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
14.00
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.04
Over 4.50
9.83
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.12
Over 5.50
5.63
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.25
Over 6.50
3.51
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.48
Over 7.50
2.45
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.84
Over 8.50
1.85
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.41
Over 9.50
1.49
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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