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Takuya Takagi
V-Varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga FC
V-Varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Kyoto Sanga FC
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
81788 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
75.2%
-22.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
17.1%
+17.0 vs price
Draw
34.0 · implied 2.9%
8.0%
+5.1 vs price
Half time
765 EUR · live
Home
1.46 · implied 68.5%
61.1%
-7.4 vs price
Draw
4.0 · implied 25.0%
36.4%
+11.4 vs price
Away
16.0 · implied 6.2%
2.4%
-3.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
17930 EUR · live
Over
1.36 · implied 73.5%
54.0%
-19.5 vs price
Under
3.8 · implied 26.3%
46.2%
+19.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2057 EUR · live
Under
1.24 · implied 80.6%
69.6%
-11.0 vs price
Over
4.5 · implied 22.2%
30.4%
+8.2 vs price
11 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
11'
⚽
T. Santana1–0
29'
⚽
T. Santana · assist I. Yuto2–0
34'
J. Pedro · Foul
Half-time · 2–0
46'
🔁
S. Yoon ◂ S. Fukuoka
46'
🔁
A. Souza ◂ T. Hirato
46'
🔁
K. Nagata ◂ H. Trevisan
50'
Weverton · Foul
54'
⚽
Rafael Elias · assist R. Kato2–1
63'
🔁
A. Ikki ◂ Eduardo
69'
🔁
T. Kato ◂ R. Kato
73'
🔁
Y. Ryogo ◂ T. Santana
76'
🔁
Y. Suzuki ◂ K. Nagata
78'
Rafael Elias · Argument
86'
🔁
E. Deocleciano ◂ I. Yuto
86'
🔁
D. Pituca ◂ R. Yamada
87'
🔁
S. Nagasawa ◂ H. Arai
88'
🔁
S. Ryosuke ◂ M. Sekiguchi
Full-time · 2–1
90'+3
O. Hijiri · Foul
Coaches
Takuya TakagiRanko Popović 
Recent form
V-Varen NagasakiLANEC Nijmegen1-3
WAMito Hollyhock1-0
WHMito Hollyhock1-0
LAKyoto Sanga FC0-1
DHVissel Kobe2-2
Kyoto Sanga FCLHShonan Bellmare1-4
WAKashiwa Reysol1-0
LHKashiwa Reysol2-6
WHV-Varen Nagasaki1-0
LHSanfrecce Hiroshima0-4
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Peace Stadium
City
Nagasaki
Kickoff
09 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
V-Varen Nagasaki
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Kyoto Sanga FC
1
G. Masaaki
6.3
31
K. Doi
6.3
25
T. Ominami
7.3
29
A. Ikki
6.7
↑ 63'
50
S. Ryosuke
6.9
↑ 88'
5
Y. Hotaru
6.8
21
D. Pituca
6.6
↑ 86'
22
O. Hijiri
6.4
41
M. Hasegawa
7.1
16
E. Deocleciano
6.6
↑ 86'
18
Y. Ryogo
6.6
↑ 73'
1
G. Ota
6.6
2
S. Fukuda
6.5
43
Weverton
5.9
15
K. Nagata
6.9
↑ 46'
44
K. Sato
6.6
6
J. Pedro
6.4
25
S. Yoon
6.6
↑ 46'
23
T. Kato
6.5
↑ 69'
17
A. Souza
6.7
↑ 46'
93
S. Nagasawa
6.6
↑ 87'
9
Rafael Elias
7.7
Substitutes
13GH. Go
4DEduardo↓ 63'6.3
24MR. Yamada↓ 86'7.1
3MM. Sekiguchi↓ 88'6.4
19MS. Takashi
11MN. Campbell
34MT. Matsumoto
9FT. Santana↓ 73'8.7
8FI. Yuto↓ 86'6.9
Coach: Takuya Takagi
Substitutes
21GK. Kakoi
50DY. Suzuki↑ 76'6.8
26DR. Kato↓ 69'6.5
34DH. Trevisan↓ 46'5.9
10MS. Fukuoka↓ 46'6.8
39MT. Hirato↓ 46'6.6
77MH. Arai↓ 87'6.3
7MM. Okugawa
16MT. Hiraoka
Coach: Ranko Popović
Top stats
41%Possession59%
1.41Expected goals (xG)1.32
16Total shots10
4Shots on target3
3Big chances1
7Corners4
Shots
9Shots off target3
3Blocked shots4
11Shots inside box6
5Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
Attack
24Touches in box14
63Final third entries56
0Offsides2
13Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
321Passes458
239Accurate passes376
18/59 (31%)Long balls16/48 (33%)
5/20 (25%)Crosses4/22 (18%)
13Throw-ins28
Duels
51Duels49
23/44 (52%)Ground duels21/44 (48%)
14/28 (50%)Aerial duels14/28 (50%)
6/12 (50%)Dribbles2/3 (67%)
4Dispossessed4
Defending
5Tackles10
80Tackles won50
3Interceptions8
26Clearances36
46Recoveries40
Discipline
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
2Saves2
1Big saves1
9Goal kicks7
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 28 bookmakers
Who winsKyoto Sanga to win (DNB) 58% · 1.68 @ 1xBet
1X2Kyoto Sanga to win 41% · 2.25 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.53 @ Betway
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.69 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 30% · 3.34 @ Pinnacle
BTTSBTTS: No 50% · 1.91 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 73% · 1.26 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.42 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.70 @ Interwetten
1X2Nagasaki to win 29% · 3.40 @ Betano
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.00
V-Varen Nagasaki ▼
3.17
Draw
2.19
Kyoto Sanga FC ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.65
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw ▲
1.34
V-Varen Nagasaki or Kyoto Sanga FC ▼
1.31
Draw or Kyoto Sanga FC ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.87
Yes
1.84
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
7.66
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
3.00
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.15
Over 2.50
1.68
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.80
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.81
Over 4.50 ▼
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.24
V-Varen Nagasaki ▼
1.51
Kyoto Sanga FC ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
9.60
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.75
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50 ▲
3.62
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.53
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.76
Over 9.50
1.92
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.24
Over 10.50 ▲
1.56
Under 10.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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