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Hiroshi Jofuku
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Kashiwa Reysol
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
201561 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.4%
-21.6 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.6%
+14.5 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
8.0%
+7.9 vs price
Half time
5215 EUR · live
Draw
1.69 · implied 59.2%
78.8%
+19.7 vs price
Home
6.8 · implied 14.7%
19.8%
+5.1 vs price
Away
3.2 · implied 31.2%
1.3%
-29.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
77553 EUR · live
Over
1.58 · implied 63.3%
72.5%
+9.2 vs price
Under
2.7 · implied 37.0%
27.5%
-9.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8577 EUR · live
Under
1.83 · implied 54.6%
58.9%
+4.2 vs price
Over
2.2 · implied 45.5%
41.1%
-4.3 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
2'
⚽
N. Hayashi · assist S. Meshino1–0
11'
⚽
K. Endo · assist N. Nakagawa1–1
Half-time · 1–1
45'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · K. Endo
54'
🔁
I. Kumatoriya ◂ R. Hirakawa
55'
🔁
Y. Arai ◂ Y. Matsuhashi
56'
🔁
M. Watai ◂ H. Yamauchi
57'
🔁
Y. Segawa ◂ Y. Kakita
59'
N. Nakagawa · Foul
65'
⚽
Y. Segawa · assist M. Watai1–2
73'
🔁
S. Nakayama ◂ S. Meshino
73'
🔁
S. Kanda ◂ Y. Fukuda
79'
🔁
H. Nakama ◂ Y. Koizumi
80'
🔁
R. Shirai ◂ Y. Uchida
80'
🔁
K. Yuba ◂ K. Endo
82'
⚽
T. Kubo · assist K. Yuba1–3
84'
🔁
S. Baba ◂ T. Kubo
88'
K. Suzuki · Foul
Full-time · 1–3
90'+6
M. Watai
Coaches
Hiroshi JofukuRicardo Rodriguez 
Recent form
Tokyo VerdyDHKawasaki Frontale1-1
LHGamba Osaka2-4
DAGamba Osaka1-1
LHYokohama F. Marinos0-6
WAMito Hollyhock1-0
Kashiwa ReysolWHMito Hollyhock2-1
DAJEF United Chiba0-0
LHKyoto Sanga FC0-1
WAKyoto Sanga FC6-2
WHJEF United Chiba4-2
Match facts
Stadium
National Olympic Stadium
City
Tokyo
Kickoff
14 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Tokyo Verdy
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Kashiwa Reysol
1
M. Vidotto
6.3
15
K. Suzuki
5.8
4
N. Hayashi
7.3
6
K. Miyahara
7.1
27
R. Shirai
6.6
↑ 80'
25
I. Kumatoriya
6.7
↑ 54'
24
S. Nakayama
6.4
↑ 73'
18
S. Mizoguchi
6.8
40
Y. Arai
6.3
↑ 55'
38
S. Kanda
6.5
↑ 73'
9
I. Someno
7.1
25
R. Kojima
6.6
42
W. Harada
7.9
4
T. Koga
7.3
26
D. Sugioka
7.2
88
S. Baba
6.4
↑ 84'
27
K. Kumasaka
6.9
39
N. Nakagawa
7.1
44
K. Yuba
6.8
↑ 80'
19
H. Nakama
6.6
↑ 79'
11
M. Watai
7.0
↑ 56'
20
Y. Segawa
7.5
↑ 57'
Substitutes
21GY. Nagasawa
36DR. Matsuda
5DR. Inoue
20MS. Meshino↓ 73'6.7
22MY. Uchida↓ 80'6.6
7MY. Matsuhashi↓ 55'6.5
16MR. Hirakawa↓ 54'6.4
28MJ. Yamamoto
14FY. Fukuda↓ 73'6.2
Coach: Hiroshi Jofuku
Substitutes
29GK. Nagai
2DH. Mitsumaru
24MT. Kubo↓ 84'7.8
5MK. Endo↓ 80'7.4
40MR. Harakawa
8FY. Koizumi↓ 79'6.9
18FY. Kakita↓ 57'6.4
87FH. Yamauchi↓ 56'6.1
9FM. Hosoya
Coach: Ricardo Rodriguez
Top stats
37%Possession63%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
13Total shots17
4Shots on target6
0Big chances2
3Corners5
Shots
4Shots off target5
5Blocked shots6
6Shots inside box9
7Shots outside box8
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
Attack
15Touches in box27
59Final third entries64
9Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third2
Passing
430Passes717
365Accurate passes657
18/53 (34%)Long balls19/37 (51%)
1/7 (14%)Crosses3/16 (19%)
14Throw-ins25
Duels
47Duels53
28/60 (47%)Ground duels32/60 (53%)
9/19 (47%)Aerial duels10/19 (53%)
4/11 (36%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)
8Dispossessed12
Defending
16Tackles15
44Tackles won67
5Interceptions7
21Clearances13
41Recoveries43
Discipline
10Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
3Saves3
8Goal kicks1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsKashiwa to win (DNB) 70% · 1.47 @ merkurxtip
1X2Kashiwa to win 51% · 2.37 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.70 @ efbet.net
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.87 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.04 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.60 @ Betway
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.78 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 1.48 @ betfair
1X2Tokyo Verdy to win 22% · 4.70 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.39
Tokyo Verdy
3.32
Draw
1.82
Kashiwa Reysol
Double Chanceconsensus
1.85
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
1.29
Tokyo Verdy or Kashiwa Reysol
1.19
Draw or Kashiwa Reysol ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.06
Yes
1.68
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50 ▲
7.48
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.40
Over 1.50
2.72
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.24
Over 2.50 ▼
1.57
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.10
Over 3.50 ▼
1.19
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.37
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.05
Tokyo Verdy ▼
1.32
Kashiwa Reysol
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
15.25
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.02
Over 4.50
11.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.17
Over 6.50
4.22
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
3.07
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.57
Over 8.50
2.23
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.97
Over 9.50
1.74
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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