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Shinya Tsukahara
Avispa Fukuoka
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cerezo Osaka
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
103050 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.6%
-20.4 vs price
Away
950.0 · implied 0.1%
17.1%
+16.9 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
4.3%
+4.2 vs price
Half time
320 EUR · live
Draw
1.96 · implied 51.0%
49.4%
-1.6 vs price
Home
4.1 · implied 24.4%
48.8%
+24.4 vs price
Away
6.0 · implied 16.7%
1.3%
-15.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
24070 EUR · live
Under
2.0 · implied 50.0%
60.5%
+10.5 vs price
Over
1.97 · implied 50.8%
39.5%
-11.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
5127 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
97.3%
-0.7 vs price
Over
60.0 · implied 1.7%
2.7%
+1.0 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
35'
⚽
K. Fujimoto1–0
35'
VAR
Goal check · K. Fujimoto
43'
⚽
Y. Tsujioka2–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'
K. Maeda · Foul
46'
🔁
J. Irvine ◂ K. Okazawa
60'
🔁
Y. Komi ◂ S. Kagawa
60'
🔁
T. Andrade ◂ Y. Yokoyama
62'
🔁
N. Shintaro ◂ M. Shigemi
62'
🔁
D. Fukazawa ◂ K. Fujimoto
67'
🔁
K. Shiihashi ◂ K. Maeda
67'
🔁
S. Usui ◂ S. Morooka
74'
⚽
Werik Popó · assist D. Fukazawa3–0
78'
🔁
P. Sabbag ◂ T. Nakamura
84'
🔁
N. Tatsuki ◂ K. Mikuni
84'
🔁
K. Noborizato ◂ A. Ohata
Full-time · 3–0
Coaches
Shinya TsukaharaPablo Machin 
Recent form
Avispa FukuokaLHVissel Kobe0-1
WHFC Osaka3-2
LHGiravanz Kitakyushu1-3
WAJEF United Chiba2-1
DHJEF United Chiba2-2
Cerezo OsakaWHFagiano Okayama2-1
WHBorussia Dortmund1-0
WHTochigi City FC1-0
WAFC Tokyo3-1
DHFC Tokyo2-2
Match facts
Stadium
Best Denki Stadium
City
Fukuoka
Kickoff
15 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Avispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Cerezo Osaka
1
T. Nagaishi
7.1
16
T. Oka
7.3
3
N. Tatsuki
6.8
↑ 84'
15
Y. Tsujioka
7.8
47
Y. Hashimoto
7.1
34
K. Shiihashi
6.4
↑ 67'
11
T. Miki
7.3
23
D. Fukazawa
7.1
↑ 62'
7
S. Usui
6.6
↑ 67'
14
N. Shintaro
6.7
↑ 62'
9
Werik Popó
8.6
23
K. Nakamura
5.8
27
D. Cools
5.7
44
S. Hatanaka
6.2
4
R. Inoue
6.8
19
P. Sabbag
6.4
↑ 78'
36
J. Irvine
7.0
↑ 46'
10
S. Tanaka
6.1
6
K. Noborizato
6.6
↑ 84'
41
Y. Komi
6.6
↑ 60'
11
T. Andrade
6.3
↑ 60'
9
S. Sakuragawa
5.7
Substitutes
41GK. Fujita
20DK. Mikuni↓ 84'7.2
22MK. Fujimoto↓ 62'8.1
55MK. Maeda↓ 67'7.2
6MM. Shigemi↓ 62'6.7
21MO. Romeu
29MM. Yota
13FS. Morooka↓ 67'6.1
18FS. Sato
Coach: Shinya Tsukahara
Substitutes
31GK. Abe
2DT. Nakamura↓ 78'6.3
66DA. Ohata↓ 84'6.0
97DT. Takahashi
16DH. Okuda
8MS. Kagawa↓ 60'6.7
14MY. Yokoyama↓ 60'6.5
28MK. Okazawa↓ 46'6.4
77ML. Fernandes
Coach: Pablo Machin
Top stats
33%Possession67%
1.1Expected goals (xG)0.36
13Total shots7
6Shots on target1
3Big chances1
4Corners2
Shots
5Shots off target4
2Blocked shots2
9Shots inside box3
4Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork1
2Big chances scored0
1Big chances missed1
Attack
17Touches in box11
58Final third entries78
6Offsides0
11Free kicks11
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
265Passes536
162Accurate passes449
27/69 (39%)Long balls22/61 (36%)
4/13 (31%)Crosses2/14 (14%)
20Throw-ins21
Duels
62Duels38
40/67 (60%)Ground duels27/67 (40%)
28/43 (65%)Aerial duels15/43 (35%)
14/21 (67%)Dribbles6/13 (46%)
5Dispossessed8
Defending
15Tackles12
60Tackles won67
8Interceptions8
21Clearances40
43Recoveries37
Discipline
11Fouls11
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves3
0Big saves2
4Goal kicks6
2Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsCerezo Osaka to win (DNB) 51% · 1.90 @ merkurxtip
1X2Draw 30% · 2.46 @ msport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
1X2Cerezo Osaka to win 35% · 3.08 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.85 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.84 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.04 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.38 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.60 @ Pinnacle
1X2Fukuoka to win 35% · 3.10 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.66
Avispa Fukuoka
3.19
Draw
2.64
Cerezo Osaka ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.43
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
1.32
Avispa Fukuoka or Cerezo Osaka ▼
1.43
Draw or Cerezo Osaka
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.76
Yes
1.96
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.72
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.31
Over 1.50
3.22
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.00
Over 2.50
1.74
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.43
Over 3.50
1.28
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.00
Over 4.50
1.10
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.85
Avispa Fukuoka
1.84
Cerezo Osaka
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
4.98
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.28
Over 7.50
3.34
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.50
Over 8.50
2.38
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.85
Over 9.50
1.82
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.36
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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