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Yoshiyuki Kobayashi
JEF United Chiba
Machida Zelvia
JEF United Chiba
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
102586 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.6%
-10.4 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
6.3%
+6.2 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.1%
+5.0 vs price
Half time
853 EUR · live
Home
65.0 · implied 1.5%
57.3%
+55.8 vs price
Away
1.19 · implied 84.0%
31.0%
-53.1 vs price
Draw
7.0 · implied 14.3%
11.6%
-2.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
56089 EUR · live
Under
2.16 · implied 46.3%
55.1%
+8.8 vs price
Over
1.85 · implied 54.1%
44.9%
-9.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2191 EUR · live
Under
1.12 · implied 89.3%
92.8%
+3.5 vs price
Over
7.4 · implied 13.5%
7.2%
-6.3 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
17'
⚽
Y. Nakayama0–1
34'
⚽
T. Yengi · assist M. Duke0–2
Half-time · 0–2
45'+3
T. Tsukui · Foul
56'
D. Hall · Foul
63'
🔁
T. Nishimura ◂ M. Duke
65'
🔁
K. Yamura ◂ M. Himeno
65'
🔁
D. Ishikawa ◂ T. Matsumura
70'
⚽
T. Nishimura0–3
71'
🔁
K. Tanaka ◂ T. Iida
71'
🔁
T. Mae ◂ T. Taguchi
81'
🔁
H. Shimoda ◂ N. Lavi
82'
⚽
H. Nakamura · assist Y. Soma0–4
82'
🔁
S. Fujio ◂ T. Yengi
83'
🔁
L. Rocha ◂ Indio
88'
🔁
H. H. Mochizuki ◂ H. Nakamura
88'
🔁
F. Tokumura ◂ Y. Soma
88'
Erison · Simulation
Full-time · 0–4
Coaches
Yoshiyuki KobayashiGo Kuroda 
Recent form
JEF United ChibaLASanfrecce Hiroshima0-3
DHKashiwa Reysol0-0
LHAvispa Fukuoka1-2
DAAvispa Fukuoka2-2
LAKashiwa Reysol2-4
Machida ZelviaWAFC Tokyo5-1
WHFujieda MYFC2-1
WHNagoya Grampus2-1
DANagoya Grampus2-2
WHUrawa Red Diamonds1-0
Match facts
Stadium
Fukuda Denshi Arena
City
Chiba
Kickoff
15 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
JEF United Chiba
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Machida Zelvia
19
J. Suárez
5.1
24
K. Toriumi
6.3
66
D. Hall
6.3
28
T. Kawano
6.3
15
T. Mae
6.5
↑ 71'
7
K. Tanaka
6.6
↑ 71'
45
L. Rocha
6.5
↑ 83'
8
T. Tsukui
6.4
29
K. Yamura
6.6
↑ 65'
20
D. Ishikawa
6.4
↑ 65'
99
Erison
6.4
1
K. Tani
7.6
3
G. Shoji
7.0
50
D. Okamura
6.6
19
Y. Nakayama
8.6
34
F. Tokumura
↑ 88'
16
H. Mae
6.8
18
H. Shimoda
6.7
↑ 81'
33
T. Akimoto
6.9
20
T. Nishimura
7.5
↑ 63'
6
H. H. Mochizuki
↑ 88'
9
S. Fujio
6.6
↑ 82'
Substitutes
23GR. Suzuki
22DT. Iida↓ 71'6.6
11DK. Yonekura
39DR. Ishio
4MT. Taguchi↓ 71'6.9
37MM. Himeno↓ 65'6.3
25MIndio↓ 83'6.0
41MT. Yasui
30FT. Matsumura↓ 65'6.4
Coach: Yoshiyuki Kobayashi
Substitutes
13GT. Morita
5DI. Drešević
31MN. Lavi↓ 81'7.4
88MH. Nakamura↓ 88'7.2
8MK. Sento
23MR. Shirasaki
7FY. Soma↓ 88'7.1
99FT. Yengi↓ 82'7.0
15FM. Duke↓ 63'6.8
Coach: Go Kuroda
Top stats
52%Possession48%
0.75Expected goals (xG)1.93
9Total shots18
2Shots on target5
0Big chances2
2Corners8
Shots
6Shots off target9
1Blocked shots4
5Shots inside box12
4Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
0Big chances missed2
Attack
17Touches in box28
50Final third entries59
1Offsides1
13Free kicks16
4Fouled in final third3
Passing
432Passes390
363Accurate passes317
17/47 (36%)Long balls16/54 (30%)
4/18 (22%)Crosses9/24 (38%)
16Throw-ins12
Duels
48Duels52
35/67 (52%)Ground duels32/67 (48%)
8/22 (36%)Aerial duels14/22 (64%)
5/16 (31%)Dribbles2/5 (40%)
4Dispossessed14
Defending
17Tackles15
65Tackles won40
3Interceptions5
19Clearances19
39Recoveries49
Discipline
16Fouls13
3Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves2
1Big saves0
9Goal kicks8
2Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsMachida to win (DNB) 66% · 1.38 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Machida to win 48% · 2.19 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.17 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 29% · 2.55 @ efbet.net
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.83 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.66 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.03 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 53% · 1.75 @ 888Sport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 64% · 1.45 @ Betway
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.46 @ 1xBet
1X2Chiba to win 23% · 5.33 @ granmadrid
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
4.97
JEF United Chiba
3.49
Draw ▲
1.72
Machida Zelvia
Double Chanceconsensus
1.98
JEF United Chiba or Draw
1.27
JEF United Chiba or Machida Zelvia ▼
1.16
Draw or Machida Zelvia ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.06
Yes
1.70
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
7.80
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
2.89
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.14
Over 2.50 ▲
1.66
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.86
Over 3.50
1.23
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.71
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
3.46
JEF United Chiba
1.27
Machida Zelvia ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.07
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.16
Over 6.50
4.25
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.32
Over 7.50
3.05
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.58
Over 8.50
2.19
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.00
Over 9.50
1.70
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.60
Over 10.50
1.42
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.5%.
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