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Toru Oniki
Kashima Antlers
Nagoya Grampus
Kashima Antlers
4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Nagoya Grampus
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
142258 EUR · live
Home
48.0 · implied 2.1%
46.2%
+44.1 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
40.8%
-55.4 vs price
Away
95.0 · implied 1.1%
13.0%
+12.0 vs price
Half time
1891 EUR · live
Away
5.8 · implied 17.2%
58.7%
+41.5 vs price
Draw
1.76 · implied 56.8%
24.8%
-32.1 vs price
Home
3.7 · implied 27.0%
16.5%
-10.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
157640 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
73.1%
-23.9 vs price
Over
32.0 · implied 3.1%
26.9%
+23.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3259 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
93.4%
-3.6 vs price
Over
8.6 · implied 11.6%
6.5%
-5.1 vs price
12 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
22'
⚽
L. Ceará · assist Y. Matheus1–0
25'
K. Misao · Foul
43'
🔁
Y. Matsumura ◂ Y. Matheus
Half-time · 1–0
45'
Y. Suzuki · Foul
46'
🔁
Mateus ◂ Y. Yamagishi
46'
🔁
S. Tokumoto ◂ Y. Nogami
46'
🔁
H. Hayashi ◂ M. Yoshida
48'
L. Ceará · Foul
54'
⚽
N. Ueda1–1
69'
🔁
A. Čavrić ◂ L. Ceará
69'
🔁
G. Shibasaki ◂ M. Bueno
74'
🔁
Y. Asano ◂ R. Izumi
77'
S. Inagaki · Foul
87'
🔁
K. Nagai ◂ Y. Kimura
88'
🔁
H. Tokuda ◂ Y. Suzuki
88'
🔁
Y. Sato ◂ T. Hara
Full-time · 2–1
90'+8
⚽
T. Uchida2–1
Coaches
Mihailo Petrovic 
Recent form
WAYokohama F. Marinos4-3
WHVegalta Sendai5-0
WHVissel Kobe2-0
LAVissel Kobe0-5
WHFC Tokyo1-0
LHShimizu S-Pulse0-1
LAHokkaido Consadole Sapporo0-1
LAFC Tokyo1-2
LAMachida Zelvia1-2
DHMachida Zelvia2-2
Match facts
Stadium
Kashima Soccer Stadium
City
Kashima
Kickoff
15 Aug, 09:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
1
T. Hayakawa
6.7
37
R. Hirose
6.9
55
N. Ueda
6.2
5
I. Sekigawa
7.3
7
R. Ogawa
6.9
27
Y. Matsumura
6.7
↑ 43'
6
K. Misao
6.6
77
A. Čavrić
6.6
↑ 69'
34
H. Tokuda
6.6
↑ 88'
10
G. Shibasaki
6.9
↑ 69'
24
H. Hayashi
6.9
↑ 46'
35
A. Pisano
6.5
3
Y. Sato
6.6
↑ 88'
13
H. Fujii
7.3
55
S. Tokumoto
6.8
↑ 46'
9
Y. Asano
6.3
↑ 74'
15
S. Inagaki
7.0
31
T. Takamine
7.1
27
K. Nakayama
6.3
17
T. Uchida
6.1
18
K. Nagai
6.5
↑ 87'
10
Mateus
6.3
↑ 46'
Substitutes
21GT. Yamada
35DA. Motosuna
23DK. Tsukui
3DT. H. Kim
8MM. Bueno↓ 69'7.1
18MY. Matheus↓ 43'7.0
9FL. Ceará↓ 69'7.7
30FM. Yoshida↓ 46'6.5
40FY. Suzuki↓ 88'6.5
Coach: Toru Oniki
Substitutes
36GH. Hagi
70DT. Hara↓ 88'6.4
2DY. Nogami↓ 46'6.3
14MT. Morishima
19MH. Koda
41MM. Ono
22FY. Kimura↓ 87'6.9
7FR. Izumi↓ 74'6.5
11FY. Yamagishi↓ 46'6.1
Coach: Mihailo Petrovic
Top stats
49%Possession51%
2.17Expected goals (xG)1.43
16Total shots13
6Shots on target1
1Big chances2
3Corners4
Shots
6Shots off target8
4Blocked shots4
9Shots inside box5
7Shots outside box8
1Hit woodwork1
1Big chances missed2
Attack
20Touches in box15
62Final third entries72
0Offsides1
14Free kicks14
3Fouled in final third2
Passing
481Passes480
386Accurate passes401
30/59 (51%)Long balls31/60 (52%)
2/18 (11%)Crosses8/27 (30%)
30Throw-ins15
Duels
51Duels49
30/67 (45%)Ground duels37/67 (55%)
15/22 (68%)Aerial duels7/22 (32%)
4/12 (33%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
10Dispossessed8
Defending
12Tackles18
83Tackles won61
3Interceptions18
28Clearances37
53Recoveries62
Discipline
14Fouls14
3Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves5
0Big saves2
12Goal kicks6
2Punches2
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsKashima to win (DNB) 70% · 1.52 @ merkurxtip
1X2Kashima to win 51% · 2.35 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 50% · 1.91 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.55 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 2.02 @ betfair
1X2Draw 27% · 2.71 @ efbet.net
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 1.88 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 70% · 1.39 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.32 @ BTI Sports
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
1X2Nagoya to win 22% · 4.20 @ granmadrid
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.84
Kashima Antlers
3.52
Draw
4.00
Nagoya Grampus
Double Chanceconsensus
1.21
Kashima Antlers or Draw
1.26
Kashima Antlers or Nagoya Grampus
1.84
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes
1.98
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.88
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.25
Over 1.50
3.53
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.83
Over 2.50
1.87
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.03
Over 3.50
1.33
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
6.61
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.35
Kashima Antlers
2.90
Nagoya Grampus ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
11.75
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.50
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.15
Over 6.50
4.98
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50
3.38
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.40
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.84
Over 9.50
1.85
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.34
Over 10.50
1.50
Under 10.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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