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Daisuke Kimori
Mito Hollyhock
Gamba Osaka
Mito Hollyhock
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Gamba Osaka
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
147808 EUR · live
Home
27.0 · implied 3.7%
49.9%
+46.2 vs price
Draw
1.05 · implied 95.2%
35.7%
-59.5 vs price
Away
55.0 · implied 1.8%
14.3%
+12.5 vs price
Half time
1207 EUR · live
Draw
4.8 · implied 20.8%
63.0%
+42.1 vs price
Home
1.33 · implied 75.2%
33.7%
-41.5 vs price
Away
24.0 · implied 4.2%
3.2%
-0.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
77887 EUR · live
Under
1.03 · implied 97.1%
77.9%
-19.1 vs price
Over
36.0 · implied 2.8%
22.1%
+19.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4557 EUR · live
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
93.4%
+5.7 vs price
Over
8.0 · implied 12.5%
6.6%
-5.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
18'
⚽
Y. Torikai · assist K. Taniguchi1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
S. Sasaki ◂ G. Ikegaya
46'
🔁
C. Kato ◂ Y. Torikai
56'
🔁
D. Hümmet ◂ T. Usami
58'
🔁
A. Kawazura ◂ Y. Kimoto
63'
🔁
H. Yamamoto ◂ K. Taniguchi
63'
🔁
K. Tada ◂ A. Watanabe
69'
🔁
E. Adams ◂ R. Mito
74'
⚽
S. Nakatani · assist R. Hatsuse1–1
81'
🔁
M. Leiria ◂ Y. Funabashi
82'
H. Yamamoto · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Tomokazu Myojin 
Recent form
LAKashiwa Reysol1-2
LHV-Varen Nagasaki0-1
LAV-Varen Nagasaki0-1
LHKawasaki Frontale1-3
LHTokyo Verdy0-1
WHUrawa Red Diamonds4-3
WAZweigen Kanazawa6-0
WARed Bull Salzburg4-0
LAAC Sparta Praha0-3
WATokyo Verdy4-2
Match facts
Stadium
K's Denki Stadium Mito
City
Mito
Kickoff
15 Aug, 09:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
34
K. Nishikawa
7.1
25
T. Mase
7.2
4
A. Kawazura
6.4
↑ 58'
17
K. Itakura
8.5
7
S. Omori
6.6
8
C. Kato
5.9
↑ 46'
19
T. Semba
7.0
70
M. Leiria
6.8
↑ 81'
39
H. Yamamoto
6.3
↑ 63'
18
K. Uchino
6.4
29
K. Tada
6.6
↑ 63'
18
R. Araki
6.8
15
T. Kishimoto
6.3
67
S. Sasaki
7.8
↑ 46'
4
S. Nakatani
8.4
21
R. Hatsuse
7.6
13
S. Abe
6.6
20
E. Adams
6.7
↑ 69'
17
R. Yamashita
7.0
23
D. Hümmet
5.8
↑ 56'
38
G. Nawata
6.3
14
A. Uenaka
6.9
Substitutes
21GS. Matsubara
15DY. Kimoto↓ 58'7.0
50DR. Ieizumi
11MY. Torikai↓ 46'8.1
20MY. Funabashi↓ 81'7.1
22MK. Taniguchi↓ 63'6.8
10FA. Watanabe↓ 63'6.7
53FS. Yamashita
9FR. Nemoto
Coach: Daisuke Kimori
Substitutes
22GJ. Ichimori
19DG. Ikegaya↓ 46'6.1
2DS. Fukuoka
27MR. Mito↓ 69'6.8
7MT. Usami↓ 56'6.3
32MY. Yoshihara
16MT. Suzuki
10MS. Kurata
37FN. Nakatsumi
Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Top stats
32%Possession68%
2.03Expected goals (xG)2.29
16Total shots19
4Shots on target4
1Big chances3
9Corners9
Shots
8Shots off target8
4Blocked shots7
11Shots inside box13
5Shots outside box6
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed3
Attack
29Touches in box33
41Final third entries82
2Offsides2
9Free kicks14
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
278Passes625
221Accurate passes559
20/46 (43%)Long balls25/52 (48%)
5/21 (24%)Crosses5/28 (18%)
12Throw-ins15
Duels
52Duels48
27/52 (52%)Ground duels25/52 (48%)
12/23 (52%)Aerial duels11/23 (48%)
4/8 (50%)Dribbles2/9 (22%)
5Dispossessed8
Defending
15Tackles9
67Tackles won67
7Interceptions7
39Clearances24
40Recoveries43
Discipline
14Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
1Big saves0
6Goal kicks4
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsGamba Osaka to win (DNB) 53% · 1.92 @ merkurxtip
1X2Gamba Osaka to win 37% · 3.20 @ betcity
1X2Draw 29% · 2.54 @ efbet.net
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 50% · 1.82 @ betfair
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 1.92 @ betinasia
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.43 @ Interwetten
CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.89 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 1.42 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.30 @ efbet.net
1X2Mito to win 35% · 3.16 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.61
Mito Hollyhock ▼
3.17
Draw
2.66
Gamba Osaka
Double Chanceconsensus
1.44
Mito Hollyhock or Draw
1.32
Mito Hollyhock or Gamba Osaka
1.45
Draw or Gamba Osaka
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes ▲
1.89
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
7.88
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.34
Over 1.50 ▲
2.99
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.05
Over 2.50
1.72
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.71
Over 3.50
1.24
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.45
Over 4.50 ▲
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.84
Mito Hollyhock ▼
1.88
Gamba Osaka ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 3.50consensus
14.75
Under 3.50
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.03
Over 4.50
13.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.09
Over 5.50
6.67
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.21
Over 6.50
3.74
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.41
Over 7.50 ▲
2.67
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.75
Over 8.50 ▲
1.98
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.21
Over 9.50 ▲
1.59
Under 9.50 ▼
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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