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Ricardo Rodriguez
Kashiwa Reysol
V-Varen Nagasaki
Kashiwa Reysol
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
213128 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
67.5%
-31.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
18.2%
+18.1 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.4%
+14.2 vs price
Half time
2535 EUR · live
Home
1.12 · implied 89.3%
78.9%
-10.4 vs price
Draw
9.6 · implied 10.4%
15.5%
+5.1 vs price
Away
70.0 · implied 1.4%
5.5%
+4.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
50900 EUR · live
Over
1.36 · implied 73.5%
66.0%
-7.5 vs price
Under
3.7 · implied 27.0%
34.0%
+6.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
7610 EUR · live
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
87.3%
-0.4 vs price
Over
7.4 · implied 13.5%
12.7%
-0.8 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
6'
⚽
T. Ominami1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
T. Matsumoto ◂ Y. Shunya
46'
🔁
M. Watai ◂ H. Yamauchi
46'
🔁
R. Yamada ◂ D. Pituca
48'
Y. Koizumi · Foul
51'
⚽
T. Matsumoto · assist Y. Hotaru1–1
56'
⚽
I. Yuto1–2
57'
🔁
Y. Segawa ◂ Y. Kakita
63'
⚽
Y. Koizumi · assist Y. Segawa2–2
65'
🔁
S. Ryosuke ◂ T. Ominami
73'
🔁
M. Sekiguchi ◂ Y. Egawa
77'
⚽
Y. Segawa · assist N. Nakagawa3–2
80'
🔁
K. Yuba ◂ K. Endo
83'
⚽
M. Sekiguchi4–2
84'
🔁
K. Rei-Jin ◂ T. Santana
84'
VAR
Goal check · T. Kubo
Full-time · 4–2
90'+1
🔁
M. Hosoya ◂ Y. Koizumi
90'+1
🔁
S. Baba ◂ T. Kubo
Coaches
Takuya Takagi 
Recent form
WATokyo Verdy3-1
WHMito Hollyhock2-1
DAJEF United Chiba0-0
LHKyoto Sanga FC0-1
WAKyoto Sanga FC6-2
LAFagiano Okayama0-1
WHKyoto Sanga FC2-1
LANEC Nijmegen1-3
WAMito Hollyhock1-0
WHMito Hollyhock1-0
Where to watch
Betano
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium
City
Kashiwa
Kickoff
21 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
25
R. Kojima
6.0
42
W. Harada
6.8
4
T. Koga
7.2
26
D. Sugioka
6.5
88
S. Baba
↑ 90'
27
K. Kumasaka
7.4
39
N. Nakagawa
7.3
44
K. Yuba
6.6
↑ 80'
9
M. Hosoya
↑ 90'
11
M. Watai
7.2
↑ 46'
20
Y. Segawa
7.8
↑ 57'
1
G. Masaaki
6.0
50
S. Ryosuke
6.1
↑ 65'
29
A. Ikki
5.8
3
M. Sekiguchi
6.1
↑ 73'
24
R. Yamada
6.5
↑ 46'
5
Y. Hotaru
6.6
34
T. Matsumoto
7.4
↑ 46'
22
O. Hijiri
6.7
41
M. Hasegawa
6.6
8
I. Yuto
7.8
39
K. Rei-Jin
6.5
↑ 84'
Substitutes
29GK. Nagai
2DH. Mitsumaru
24MT. Kubo↓ 90'6.6
5MK. Endo↓ 80'6.1
21MY. Konishi
40MR. Harakawa
8FY. Koizumi↓ 90'6.9
18FY. Kakita↓ 57'6.4
87FH. Yamauchi↓ 46'6.3
Coach: Ricardo Rodriguez
Substitutes
26GK. Ioka
13GH. Go
6DY. Egawa↓ 73'6.5
25DT. Ominami↓ 65'5.5
45DR. Hyeong-Jun
23MY. Shunya↓ 46'6.9
21MD. Pituca↓ 46'6.5
19MS. Takashi
9FT. Santana↓ 84'6.1
Coach: Takuya Takagi
Top stats
69%Possession31%
1.37Expected goals (xG)0.63
12Total shots5
5Shots on target4
2Big chances1
8Corners2
Shots
4Shots off target1
3Blocked shots0
6Shots inside box2
6Shots outside box3
2Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed1
Attack
33Touches in box3
78Final third entries33
1Offsides0
6Free kicks7
Passing
839Passes377
755Accurate passes299
29/44 (66%)Long balls8/41 (20%)
2/12 (17%)Crosses1/7 (0%)
18Throw-ins10
Duels
43Duels57
16/46 (35%)Ground duels30/46 (65%)
11/17 (65%)Aerial duels6/17 (35%)
5/12 (42%)Dribbles4/6 (67%)
12Dispossessed4
Defending
6Tackles19
67Tackles won79
9Interceptions12
7Clearances16
56Recoveries47
Discipline
7Fouls6
1Yellow cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves3
0Big saves3
1Goal kicks10
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 75 bookmakers
Who winsKashiwa to win (DNB) 74% · 1.32 @ kto
1X2Kashiwa to win 57% · 2.05 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ Interwetten
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.05 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 59% · 1.50 @ Betway
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.98 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 3.40 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 24% · 2.83 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 65% · 1.60 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.06 @ Novibet
1X2Nagasaki to win 19% · 5.33 @ granmadrid
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.57
Kashiwa Reysol ▼
3.96
Draw ▲
5.40
V-Varen Nagasaki ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
Kashiwa Reysol or Draw ▼
1.22
Kashiwa Reysol or V-Varen Nagasaki ▼
2.27
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.80
Yes ▲
1.91
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.76
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
11.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50 ▼
3.78
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.76
Over 2.50 ▼
1.99
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.86
Over 3.50 ▼
1.37
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.40
Over 4.50
1.13
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.21
Kashiwa Reysol ▼
4.01
V-Varen Nagasaki ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.12
Over 6.50
5.50
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50
3.50
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50
2.46
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.79
Over 9.50
1.93
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Kashiwa Reysol to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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