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Takashi Kiyama
Fagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Tokyo Verdy
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
99089 EUR · live
Home
29.0 · implied 3.4%
55.5%
+52.1 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
36.3%
-59.9 vs price
Away
240.0 · implied 0.4%
8.2%
+7.8 vs price
Half time
3627 EUR · live
Draw
1.1 · implied 90.9%
45.9%
-45.0 vs price
Home
8.4 · implied 11.9%
40.1%
+28.2 vs price
Away
18.5 · implied 5.4%
14.0%
+8.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
30015 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
80.3%
-18.7 vs price
Over
110.0 · implied 0.9%
19.7%
+18.8 vs price
9 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
42'
R. Inoue · Foul
Half-time · 0–0
56'
S. Mizoguchi · Foul
56'
🔁
Y. Matsuhashi ◂ J. Yamamoto
60'
🔁
N. Browne ◂ T. Yamane
61'
🔁
L. Gaúcho ◂ Lucao
64'
H. Omori · Foul
65'
🔁
I. Kumatoriya ◂ Y. Fukuda
65'
🔁
G. Yamada ◂ H. Hirao
67'
🔁
K. Ichimi ◂ S. Na
77'
🔁
Y. Kamiya ◂ A. Esaka
77'
🔁
S. Mori ◂ K. Shirai
86'
🔁
R. Shirai ◂ I. Someno
86'
🔁
K. Suzuki ◂ K. Miyahara
Full-time · 0–0
Coaches
Takashi KiyamaHiroshi Jofuku 
Recent form
Fagiano OkayamaWHV-Varen Nagasaki1-0
LACerezo Osaka1-2
LAFC Schalke 041-3
LASV Werder Bremen0-2
WHFC Kharkiv2-1
Tokyo VerdyLHKashiwa Reysol1-3
DHKawasaki Frontale1-1
LHGamba Osaka2-4
DAGamba Osaka1-1
LHYokohama F. Marinos0-6
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
JFE Harenokuni Stadium
City
Okayama
Kickoff
22 Aug, 09:30 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Fagiano Okayama
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Tokyo Verdy
1
L. Moser
6.5
6
H. Omori
7.3
48
Y. Tatsuta
7.0
43
Y. Suzuki
6.9
44
S. Mori
6.6
↑ 77'
80
O. Alionço
7.2
41
E. Miyamoto
7.5
79
N. Browne
6.7
↑ 60'
22
K. Ichimi
6.4
↑ 67'
33
Y. Kamiya
7.1
↑ 77'
9
L. Gaúcho
6.6
↑ 61'
1
M. Vidotto
8.0
15
K. Suzuki
6.5
↑ 86'
4
N. Hayashi
7.3
5
R. Inoue
6.7
22
Y. Uchida
6.7
7
Y. Matsuhashi
6.4
↑ 56'
16
R. Hirakawa
6.7
18
S. Mizoguchi
6.8
13
G. Yamada
6.5
↑ 65'
25
I. Kumatoriya
6.5
↑ 65'
27
R. Shirai
6.7
↑ 86'
Substitutes
13GS. Matsuda
18DD. Tagami
51MK. Shirai↓ 77'7.2
88MT. Yamane↓ 60'6.7
26MH. Motoyama
66MJ. Nishikawa
8FA. Esaka↓ 77'6.9
10FS. Na↓ 67'6.8
99FLucao↓ 61'6.2
Coach: Takashi Kiyama
Substitutes
21GY. Nagasawa
6DK. Miyahara↓ 86'7.1
28MJ. Yamamoto↓ 56'6.7
40MY. Arai
20MS. Meshino
9FI. Someno↓ 86'7.3
71FH. Hirao↓ 65'6.7
14FY. Fukuda↓ 65'6.0
38FS. Kanda
Coach: Hiroshi Jofuku
Top stats
57%Possession43%
1.14Expected goals (xG)0.09
17Total shots5
3Shots on target0
3Big chances0
6Corners1
Shots
7Shots off target2
7Blocked shots3
9Shots inside box1
8Shots outside box4
0Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed0
Attack
18Touches in box8
80Final third entries49
1Offsides2
14Free kicks12
2Fouled in final third3
Passing
447Passes350
351Accurate passes245
24/62 (39%)Long balls22/64 (34%)
4/30 (13%)Crosses2/5 (40%)
23Throw-ins17
Duels
52Duels48
40/73 (55%)Ground duels33/73 (45%)
28/58 (48%)Aerial duels30/58 (52%)
6/14 (43%)Dribbles5/17 (29%)
8Dispossessed8
Defending
20Tackles16
55Tackles won56
5Interceptions5
28Clearances42
43Recoveries39
Discipline
12Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
0Saves3
0Big saves1
6Goal kicks11
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
1X2Okayama to win 52% · 2.70 @ merkurxtip
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 5.80 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 4.33 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 2.57 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 61% · 1.51 @ Pinnacle
Who winsOkayama to win (DNB) 62% · 1.62 @ merkurxtip
1X2Draw 23% · 2.30 @ fonbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 63% · 1.54 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 52% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
1X2Tokyo Verdy to win 24% · 4.15 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 65% · 1.18 @ msport
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.15
Fagiano Okayama ▼
2.95
Draw ▲
3.64
Tokyo Verdy ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.26
Fagiano Okayama or Draw ▼
1.36
Fagiano Okayama or Tokyo Verdy ▲
1.63
Draw or Tokyo Verdy ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.10
Yes ▲
1.65
No ▼
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.35
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.00
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.09
Over 0.50
6.73
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.48
Over 1.50
2.47
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.49
Over 2.50 ▲
1.48
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.71
Over 3.50 ▲
1.15
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
10.25
Over 4.50
1.03
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.50
Fagiano Okayama
2.45
Tokyo Verdy
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.16
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.40
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.92
Over 9.50
1.80
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.26
Over 10.50
1.54
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.85
Over 11.50
1.31
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
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