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Mihailo Petrovic
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
Gamba Osaka
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
76196 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.0%
-24.0 vs price
Draw
950.0 · implied 0.1%
17.6%
+17.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
7.4%
+7.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
41137 EUR · live
Over
2.2 · implied 45.5%
70.8%
+25.4 vs price
Under
1.82 · implied 54.9%
29.2%
-25.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
2407 EUR · live
Under
1.99 · implied 50.3%
53.8%
+3.5 vs price
Over
2.0 · implied 50.0%
46.2%
-3.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
Y. Kimura · assist R. Izumi1–0
11'
⚽
R. Meshino · assist R. Yamashita1–1
40'
T. Kishimoto · Foul
43'
D. Hümmet · Foul
Half-time · 1–1
60'
🔁
Y. Nogami ◂ T. Uchida
63'
🔁
E. Adams ◂ A. Uenaka
63'
🔁
G. Nawata ◂ R. Meshino
67'
🔁
Mateus ◂ R. Izumi
78'
🔁
Y. Asano ◂ Y. Yamagishi
78'
🔁
Y. Sato ◂ K. Nakayama
78'
🔁
M. Ono ◂ T. Morishima
79'
🔁
N. Nakatsumi ◂ D. Hümmet
83'
⚽
Y. Asano2–1
86'
S. Abe · Violent conduct
86'
🔁
T. Usami ◂ R. Mito
Full-time · 3–1
90'+7
⚽
M. Ono · assist Y. Asano3–1
Coaches
Mihailo PetrovicTomokazu Myojin 
Recent form
Nagoya GrampusLAKashima Antlers1-2
LHShimizu S-Pulse0-1
LAHokkaido Consadole Sapporo0-1
LAFC Tokyo1-2
LAMachida Zelvia1-2
Gamba OsakaDAMito Hollyhock1-1
WHUrawa Red Diamonds4-3
WAZweigen Kanazawa6-0
WARed Bull Salzburg4-0
LAAC Sparta Praha0-3
Where to watch
DAZN
Match facts
Stadium
Toyota Stadium
City
Toyota
Kickoff
22 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Nagoya Grampus
5-3-2 · 4-2-3-1
Gamba Osaka
35
A. Pisano
6.8
10
Mateus
7.3
↑ 67'
70
T. Hara
6.8
15
S. Inagaki
7.8
31
T. Takamine
7.9
55
S. Tokumoto
7.0
2
Y. Nogami
6.8
↑ 60'
3
Y. Sato
7.1
↑ 78'
41
M. Ono
7.5
↑ 78'
9
Y. Asano
7.8
↑ 78'
22
Y. Kimura
8.0
18
R. Araki
7.5
15
T. Kishimoto
7.5
4
S. Nakatani
6.4
67
S. Sasaki
6.2
21
R. Hatsuse
6.5
13
S. Abe
5.9
7
T. Usami
6.5
↑ 86'
17
R. Yamashita
7.0
38
G. Nawata
6.5
↑ 63'
20
E. Adams
6.4
↑ 63'
37
N. Nakatsumi
6.5
↑ 79'
Substitutes
36GH. Hagi
14MT. Morishima↓ 78'7.3
17MT. Uchida↓ 60'6.7
27MK. Nakayama↓ 78'6.5
19MH. Koda
58MT. Koyamatsu
11FY. Yamagishi↓ 78'6.8
7FR. Izumi↓ 67'6.7
18FK. Nagai
Coach: Mihailo Petrovic
Substitutes
22GJ. Ichimori
2DS. Fukuoka
19DG. Ikegaya
8MR. Meshino↓ 63'7.5
27MR. Mito↓ 86'6.5
14MA. Uenaka↓ 63'5.4
10MS. Kurata
16MT. Suzuki
23FD. Hümmet↓ 79'5.9
Coach: Tomokazu Myojin
Top stats
52%Possession48%
2.92Expected goals (xG)1.13
21Total shots10
12Shots on target3
5Big chances1
4Corners3
Shots
5Shots off target1
4Blocked shots6
15Shots inside box3
6Shots outside box7
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
4Big chances missed1
Attack
40Touches in box7
58Final third entries46
3Offsides1
19Free kicks10
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
417Passes398
342Accurate passes326
24/60 (40%)Long balls15/54 (28%)
8/17 (47%)Crosses2/8 (25%)
18Throw-ins27
Duels
60Duels40
38/67 (57%)Ground duels29/67 (43%)
18/26 (69%)Aerial duels8/26 (31%)
4/15 (27%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)
6Dispossessed8
Defending
15Tackles17
67Tackles won71
8Interceptions8
19Clearances23
53Recoveries47
Discipline
10Fouls19
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves8
1Big saves1
3Goal kicks6
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 63 bookmakers
GoalsOver 3.5 goals 54% · 3.30 @ paddypower
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 74% · 4.05 @ 1xBet
BTTSBoth teams to score 69% · 3.25 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 89% · 2.02 @ Unibet
1X2Gamba Osaka to win 41% · 3.25 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.53 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 55% · 1.89 @ Unibet
Who winsNagoya to win (DNB) 55% · 1.73 @ forbet
1X2Draw 20% · 2.60 @ msport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.54 @ Unibet
1X2Nagoya to win 39% · 2.85 @ fonbet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.29
Nagoya Grampus ▼
3.42
Draw ▲
2.86
Gamba Osaka ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.38
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
1.29
Nagoya Grampus or Gamba Osaka ▲
1.56
Draw or Gamba Osaka ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.67
Yes ▲
2.08
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
4.20
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50 ▲
3.55
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.83
Over 2.50
1.91
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.03
Over 3.50 ▲
1.34
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.74
Over 4.50
1.12
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.67
Nagoya Grampus ▼
2.08
Gamba Osaka ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.10
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.49
Over 8.50
2.38
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
2.07
Over 9.50 ▼
1.66
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.30
Over 10.50
1.53
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.85
Over 11.50
1.31
Under 11.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
89% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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