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Ranko Popović
Kyoto Sanga FC
Avispa Fukuoka
Kyoto Sanga FC
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Avispa Fukuoka
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
2078 EUR
Draw
3.25 · implied 30.8%
56.3%
+25.5 vs price
Home
2.78 · implied 36.0%
31.7%
-4.3 vs price
Away
3.0 · implied 33.3%
16.4%
-17.0 vs price
Half time
145 EUR
Draw
2.14 · implied 46.7%
97.9%
+51.2 vs price
Away
4.0 · implied 25.0%
1.8%
-23.2 vs price
Home
0.0%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
102323 EUR · live
Under
1.39 · implied 71.9%
78.5%
+6.5 vs price
Over
3.45 · implied 29.0%
21.5%
-7.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1191 EUR · live
Under
1.14 · implied 87.7%
61.1%
-26.6 vs price
Over
7.4 · implied 13.5%
38.7%
+25.2 vs price
8 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
8'
⚽
Rafael Elias1–0
10'
K. Maeda · Foul
30'
K. Fujimoto · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
M. Yota ◂ K. Fujimoto
57'
🔁
S. Usui ◂ M. Shigemi
62'
🔁
T. Matsuda ◂ Maceió
62'
🔁
S. Nagasawa ◂ R. Nakano
63'
⚽
H. Arai · assist Rafael Elias2–0
67'
S. Yoon · Foul
68'
🔁
K. Shiihashi ◂ K. Maeda
68'
🔁
N. Shintaro ◂ Werik Popó
75'
Y. Hashimoto · Foul
81'
🔁
A. Sani Brown ◂ S. Morooka
86'
⚽
Halls2–1
89'
🔁
S. Fukuoka ◂ J. Pedro
89'
🔁
K. Nagata ◂ Weverton
Full-time · 2–1
90'+6
🔁
F. Honda ◂ H. Arai
Coaches
Ranko PopovićShinya Tsukahara 
Recent form
Kyoto Sanga FCWHFC Maruyasu Okazaki1-0
LHMito Hollyhock1-3
DAKawasaki Frontale2-2
LAV-Varen Nagasaki1-2
LHShonan Bellmare1-4
Avispa FukuokaDHVerspah Oita0-0
LAKashima Antlers2-3
WHCerezo Osaka3-0
LHVissel Kobe0-1
WHFC Osaka3-2
Match facts
Stadium
Sanga Stadium by KYOCERA
City
Kyoto
Kickoff
29 Aug, 10:00 UTC
Competition
J1 League
Highlights & clips
Kyoto Sanga FC
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Avispa Fukuoka
90
Halls
7.4
2
S. Fukuda
6.7
15
K. Nagata
6.6
↑ 89'
50
Y. Suzuki
6.5
44
K. Sato
7.3
10
S. Fukuoka
6.6
↑ 89'
25
S. Yoon
6.8
99
F. Honda
↑ 90'
18
T. Matsuda
6.5
↑ 62'
93
S. Nagasawa
6.6
↑ 62'
9
Rafael Elias
7.7
1
T. Nagaishi
5.6
23
D. Fukazawa
6.4
16
T. Oka
6.8
15
Y. Tsujioka
6.7
47
Y. Hashimoto
6.2
34
K. Shiihashi
6.5
↑ 68'
11
T. Miki
7.0
29
M. Yota
6.3
↑ 46'
32
A. Sani Brown
6.3
↑ 81'
7
S. Usui
6.6
↑ 57'
14
N. Shintaro
6.2
↑ 68'
Substitutes
1GG. Ota
43DWeverton↓ 89'7.0
5DH. A. Tawiah
40DY. Ishida
48MR. Nakano↓ 62'7.7
77MH. Arai↓ 90'6.8
6MJ. Pedro↓ 89'6.6
60MR. Yamanaka
38FMaceió↓ 62'6.4
Coach: Ranko Popović
Substitutes
41GK. Fujita
37DT. Masaya
55MK. Maeda↓ 68'7.0
6MM. Shigemi↓ 57'6.7
22MK. Fujimoto↓ 46'6.0
52MS. Takemoto
8MK. Okuno
9FWerik Popó↓ 68'6.3
13FS. Morooka↓ 81'6.3
Coach: Shinya Tsukahara
Top stats
43%Possession57%
1.21Expected goals (xG)2.35
9Total shots19
3Shots on target9
1Big chances5
1Corners6
Shots
5Shots off target7
1Blocked shots3
2Shots inside box14
7Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances missed5
Attack
5Touches in box29
47Final third entries80
1Offsides0
11Free kicks7
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
356Passes457
256Accurate passes346
19/68 (28%)Long balls17/63 (27%)
1/6 (17%)Crosses8/23 (35%)
21Throw-ins27
Duels
49Duels51
35/64 (55%)Ground duels29/64 (45%)
20/49 (41%)Aerial duels29/49 (59%)
4/9 (44%)Dribbles7/20 (35%)
11Dispossessed8
Defending
21Tackles16
62Tackles won69
11Interceptions9
38Clearances20
50Recoveries49
Discipline
7Fouls11
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
8Saves1
1Big saves0
8Goal kicks9
3Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 62% · 1.10 @ William Hill
1X2Draw 31% · 2.25 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.22 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.18 @ 10bet
1X2Fukuoka to win 33% · 3.20 @ 10bet
Who winsKyoto Sanga to win (DNB) 60% · 1.85 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 58% · 1.61 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 66% · 1.49 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 9.5 corners 54% · 1.81 @ 1xBet
1X2Kyoto Sanga to win 35% · 3.10 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 65% · 2.70 @ William Hill
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.65
Kyoto Sanga FC
3.00
Draw
2.80
Avispa Fukuoka
Double Chanceconsensus
1.40
Kyoto Sanga FC or Draw
1.36
Kyoto Sanga FC or Avispa Fukuoka
1.44
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.88
Yes
1.82
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.95
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
4.27
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.08
Over 0.50
6.56
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.50
Over 1.50
2.51
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.59
Over 2.50
1.47
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
5.15
Over 3.50
1.15
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
11.00
Over 4.50
1.04
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.83
Kyoto Sanga FC
1.89
Avispa Fukuoka
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
2.83
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.58
Over 8.50
2.22
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.97
Over 9.50
1.81
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.49
Over 10.50
1.45
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.19
Over 11.50
1.25
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.8%.
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